Lillestrom vs Viking Prediction

Lillestrom
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Viking
Åråsen, Lillestrøm·Rohit Saggi, Norway 22/07/2026
LillestromLillestrom
1-2
Finished
VikingViking

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.58
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+12.1%
Lillestrom Rest
4 days
Viking Rest
4 days

Lillestrom vs Viking: the result in context

Viking beat Lillestrom 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Viking have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Referee Rohit Saggi averages 3.99 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.02
X
29%3.60
2
45%2.16
Double Chance
1X
55%1.67
X2
74%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.46
No
42%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.62 = 2.94
Over 1.5
81%1.16
Over 2.5
56%1.53
Over 3.5
30%2.32
Under 1.5
19%4.75
Under 2.5
44%2.40
Under 3.5
70%1.58
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.28
Over 9.5
52%1.48
Over 10.5
44%1.87
Under 8.5
37%3.35
Under 9.5
48%2.48
Under 10.5
56%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

25'Henrik HeggheimFoul
31'Kristoffer AskildsenAssist: Edvin Austbø
46'Henrik Heggheim INSondre Flem Bjørshol out
55'Peter Christiansen
58'Zlatko TripićFoul
62'Anders BaertelsenFoul
62'Zlatko Tripić INNiklas Kemp Fuglestad out
63'Lars RangerAssist: Frederik Elkær
63'Edvin Austbø INRuben Alte out
64'Yaw Paintsil INFredrik Gulbrandsen out
64'Markus Karlsbakk INKevin Martin Krygard out
70'Fredrik GulbrandsenFoul
74'Ylldren IbrahimajFoul
77'Ruben AlteFoul
77'Thomas Lehne Olsen INGustav Nordh out
78'Kristoffer Haugen INVetle Auklend out
83'Felix Vá INKparobo Arierhi out
84'Ylldren Ibrahimaj INHarald Woxen out
89'Peter Christiansen INViljar Vevatne out

Lineups

Lillestrom
Coach: Hans Odegaard
Viking
Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim

Lillestrom Starting XI

12Pontus Dahlberg7.0
2Lars Ranger63'7.7
4Espen Bjørnsen Garnås6.9
28Ruben GabrielsenC6.9
11Frederik Elkær6.3
29Ylldren Ibrahimaj74'84'replaced by Harald Woxen6.9
26Yaw Paintsil64'replaced by Fredrik Gulbrandsen6.7
8Markus Karlsbakk64'replaced by Kevin Martin Krygard6.5
14Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim6.3
20Felix Vá83'replaced by Kparobo Arierhi6.9
10Thomas Lehne Olsen77'replaced by Gustav Nordh6.2
Avg rating6.66

Viking Starting XI

30Ľubomír Belko5.3
5Henrik Heggheim25'46'replaced by Sondre Flem Bjørshol6.6
6Gianni Stensness6.9
21Anders Baertelsen62'6.7
28Kristoffer Haugen78'replaced by Vetle Auklend6.2
8Joe Bell6.3
10Zlatko TripićC58'62'replaced by Niklas Kemp Fuglestad6.9
7Kristoffer Askildsen31'8.2
26Simen Kvia-Egeskog6.5
17Edvin Austbø63'replaced by Ruben Alte7.2
20Peter Christiansen55'89'replaced by Viljar Vevatne7.2
Avg rating6.67

Lillestrom Substitutes

18Kevin Martin Krygard64'for Markus Karlsbakk6.6
77Fredrik Gulbrandsen64'for Yaw Paintsil70'6.2
15Gustav Nordh77'for Thomas Lehne Olsen6.3
9Kparobo Arierhi83'for Felix Vá6.5
6Harald Woxen84'for Ylldren Ibrahimaj6.7
1Stephan Hagerup
3Sturla Ottesen
5Sander Moen Foss
47Stian Kristiansen

Viking Substitutes

18Sondre Flem Bjørshol46'for Henrik Heggheim7.0
23Niklas Kemp Fuglestad62'for Zlatko Tripić6.2
16Ruben Alte63'for Edvin Austbø77'6.2
24Vetle Auklend78'for Kristoffer Haugen6.6
3Viljar Vevatne89'for Peter Christiansen6.7
1Arild Østbø
2Herman Johan Haugen
29Tobias Moi
15Ola Visted

Match Stats

LillestromViking
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards4
9Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots1
17Fouls20
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
504Total Passes433
392Passes Accurate334
78%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

LillestromLillestrom
VikingViking
1685Elo Rating 1872
1.70Attack 2.34
0.96Defense 0.62
66%Hit Rate 39%
12.2Shots per Game 11.7
4.2Shots on Target 4.4
2.6Corners per Game 4.9
2.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LillestromLillestrom
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

LillestromLillestrom2Wins · 25%
Draws00%
VikingViking6Wins · 75%
3.8Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien29/09/2024
LillestromViking
14
Eliteserien16/05/2024
VikingLillestrom
14
Eliteserien13/08/2023
LillestromViking
13
Eliteserien15/04/2023
VikingLillestrom
20
Eliteserien09/10/2022
VikingLillestrom
03
Eliteserien10/07/2022
LillestromViking
01
Eliteserien23/10/2021
VikingLillestrom
51
Eliteserien24/05/2021
LillestromViking
13

Recent Form

LillestromLillestrom
4W0D6L
18/07/2026
LillestromKFUM Oslo
21
W
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
W
26/06/2026
LillestromDegerfors IF
23
L
20/06/2026
FC MidtjyllandLillestrom
10
L
25/05/2026
Ham-KamLillestrom
20
L
20/05/2026
LillestromKristiansund BK
12
L
16/05/2026
LillestromSandefjord
31
W
10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
L
03/05/2026
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
40
W
26/04/2026
LillestromBodo/Glimt
02
L
VikingViking
8W1D1L
18/07/2026
VikingSandefjord
21
W
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
L
03/07/2026
SonderjyskeViking
11
D
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
W
16/05/2026
VikingStart
63
W
10/05/2026
KFUM OsloViking
02
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
W
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
W
18/04/2026
VikingBrann
32
W
11/04/2026
VikingBodo/Glimt
50
W

Referee Profile

Rohit Saggi167 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.77Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rohit Saggi3.99
Other referees3.49

3.99 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Lillestrom vs Viking forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lillestrom and Viking in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Viking are 1st and Lillestrom 5th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Lillestrom 36-33, Viking 64-26. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.