Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom Prediction

Fredrikstad
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad· Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalGOODModel39%RiskMediumGap+8.0%
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalGOODModel37%RiskMediumGap+14.7%
Fredrikstad Rest
7 days
Lillestrom Rest
15 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.90
X
28%3.35
2
33%2.32
Double Chance
1X
67%1.57
X2
61%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.60
No
49%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.11 = 2.54
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
42%1.76
Over 3.5
20%2.85
Under 1.5
28%3.80
Under 2.5
58%2.00
Under 3.5
80%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.6 = 10.5
Over 8.5
67%1.42
Over 9.5
55%1.70
Over 10.5
46%2.13
Under 8.5
33%2.67
Under 9.5
45%2.06
Under 10.5
54%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.4 = 3.3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
16%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
84%-

Match Events

15'M. Karlsbakk
43'M. Nilsson
59'L. Alperud INFelix Va out
59'M. Karlsbakk INK. Krygard out
61'D. Eid
61'S. Rafn
62'G. NyheimAssist: S. Drammeh
68'S. Laghzaoui INL. Owusu out
73'T. OlsenAssist: Felix Va
75'B. Faraas INJ. Nunez out
84'M. Nilsson INJ. Nysveen out
84'O. Ohlenschlaeger INJ. Norbye out
84'F. Ghebreyohannes INA. Andresen out
90+1'T. Olsen INK. Arierhi out
90+5'S. Drammeh INS. Foss out
90+5'G. Nyheim INH. Woxen out

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
LillestromLillestrom
1614Elo Rating 1682
2.58Attack 1.89
1.91Defense 1.97
50%Hit Rate 69%
11.4Shots per Game 8.1
4.4Shots on Target 2.5
3.6Corners per Game 4.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend72% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LillestromLillestrom
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

Fredrikstad 61%Draw 39%0% Lillestrom
2.61Avg Goals
72%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FredrikstadFredrikstad
2W1D2L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
W
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
W
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
L
LillestromLillestrom
1W0D4L
26/06/2026
LillestromDegerfors IF
23
L
20/06/2026
FC MidtjyllandLillestrom
10
L
25/05/2026
Ham-KamLillestrom
20
L
20/05/2026
LillestromKristiansund BK
12
L
16/05/2026
LillestromSandefjord
31
W

Referee Profile

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway · 18 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 55% of referees analysed

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt20162252:17+3550WWWWW
2VikingViking20152351:20+3147WDWLW
3MoldeMolde20113643:30+1336WWWWL
4TromsoTromso20105537:27+1035LLDLW
5LillestromLillestrom20102828:26+232WWLDL
6RosenborgRosenborg2093836:29+730WWLWW
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2083924:31-727DLWWW
8BrannBrann20821037:31+626LLDWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2067723:26-325DDDLL
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2065927:41-1423LLDLD
11ValerengaValerenga20641033:42-922LDLDL
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo20641022:34-1222WLLDW
13SandefjordSandefjord20551018:27-920LDDWL
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK20541120:37-1719LWDLW
15AalesundAalesund2039831:45-1418LWLDD
16StartStart20441222:41-1916WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2052:1750
2VikingViking2051:2047
3MoldeMolde2043:3036
4TromsoTromso2037:2735
5LillestromLillestrom2028:2632
6RosenborgRosenborg2036:2930
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2024:3127
8BrannBrann2037:3126
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2023:2625
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2027:4123
11ValerengaValerenga2033:4222
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2022:3422
13SandefjordSandefjord2018:2720
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2020:3719
15AalesundAalesund2031:4518
16StartStart2022:4116
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eliteserien fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eliteserien

ScorePredicts covers Norway football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fredrikstad have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lillestrom have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fredrikstad and Lillestrom have met 3 times recently, averaging 2.61 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.