Cup Predictions

About Cup Predictions

Our model analyzes Cup fixtures in Lithuania using Elo ratings, recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and live market movement. Predictions are updated as new data becomes available and ahead of every scheduled kickoff.

As a knockout competition, Cup also includes two-legged ties, extra-time and penalty scenarios. Our bracket view tracks each tie's aggregate score and the predicted path through to the final.

How to Read the Forecasts

Every Cup pick comes with a confidence signal ranging from Neutral up through Solid, Good, High and Strong. A Strong signal means the model sees a large, well-supported probability gap behind that pick; a Neutral signal means the match is closer to a coin flip and the forecast should be treated with more caution. We show this openly so you can weigh each forecast against your own read of the match, rather than trusting a single number in the dark.

Cup Season Statistics

So far this season, Cup matches have averaged 4.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 36% of matches and 70% going over 2.5 total goals.

Home teams have won 29% of Cup matches this season, compared to 4% draws and 68% away wins.

Since we started covering Cup, our Best Pick model has correctly forecast 100% of 1 graded predictions.