Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

BMO Stadium, Los Angeles· P. Lauziere 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel59%RiskMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.58
SignalHIGHModel56%RiskMediumGap+13.2%
Los Angeles FC Rest
5 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.70
X
25%4.13
2
18%4.40
Double Chance
1X
82%1.20
X2
43%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.53
No
29%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.16 = 2.94
Over 1.5
84%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.50
Over 3.5
36%2.30
Under 1.5
16%5.25
Under 2.5
39%2.50
Under 3.5
64%1.61
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
50%1.85
Over 10.5
36%2.34
Under 8.5
39%2.38
Under 9.5
50%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
72%1.58
Over 4.5
55%2.15
Under 3.5
28%2.29
Under 4.5
45%1.66

Match Events

11'Son Heung-Min
40'D. BouangaAssist: M. Choiniere
64'J. Shaffelburg IND. Martinez out
64'S. Spierings INV. Olatunji out
64'M. Choiniere INJ. Terry out
68'D. YedlinOG
72'Son Heung-Min INJ. Ebobisse out
78'D. Luna INS. Lobjanidze out
79'M. Guilavogui ING. Dillon out
79'S. Solans INZ. Booth out
84'D. Bouanga INT. Boyd out
84'R. Hollingshead INK. Nielsen out
84'J. Sanabria INA. Katranis out
86'L. EngelAssist: S. Lobjanidze

Lineups

Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Real Salt Lake
3-4-2-1Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
Hugo Lloris1H. LlorisHugo Lloris
Ryan Hollingshead24R. HollingsheadRyan Hollingshead
Ryan Porteous5R. PorteousRyan Porteous
Nkosi Tafari91N. TafariNkosi Tafari
Yevhen Cheberko23Y. CheberkoYevhen Cheberko
Mathieu Choinière66M. ChoinièreMathieu Choinière
Eddie Segura4E. SeguraEddie Segura
Mark Delgado8M. DelgadoMark Delgado
Jacob Shaffelburg18J. ShaffelburgJacob Shaffelburg
Son Heung-min7S. Heung-minSon Heung-min
Denis Bouanga99D. BouangaDenis Bouanga
Rafael Cabral1R. CabralRafael Cabral
DeAndre Yedlin2D. YedlinDeAndre Yedlin
Philip Quinton26P. QuintonPhilip Quinton
Lukas Engel4L. EngelLukas Engel
Zavier Gozo72Z. GozoZavier Gozo
Stijn Spierings6S. SpieringsStijn Spierings
Noel Caliskan92N. CaliskanNoel Caliskan
Juan Sanabria8J. SanabriaJuan Sanabria
Diego Luna10D. LunaDiego Luna
Morgan Guilavogui9M. GuilavoguiMorgan Guilavogui
Sergi Solans22S. SolansSergi Solans

Los Angeles FC Substitutes

22Jude TerryM
30David Martínez MoralesF
17Jeremy EbobisseF
45Kenny NielsenD
19Tyler BoydF
12Thomas HasalG
33Aaron LongD
40Sebastian NavaF
21Ryan RaposoM

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

17Victor OlatunjiF
12Saba LobzhanidzeM
23Zach BoothM
27Griffin DillonM
98Alexandros KatranisD
31Mason StajduharG
29Sam JunquaD
21Juan Jose AriasD
7Pablo RuízM

Match Stats

Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
29%Ball Possession71%
7Corner Kicks12
12Total Shots28
3Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal15
6Shots Inside Box14
6Shots Outside Box14
5Blocked Shots7
5Fouls7
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
295Total Passes703
234Passes Accurate641
79%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1656Elo Rating 1545
1.26Attack 0.62
1.66Defense 1.02
23%Hit Rate 0%
20.2Shots per Game 12.5
7.1Shots on Target 5.1
9.9Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+112 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Los Angeles FC 50%Draw 19%31% Real Salt Lake
3.52Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
2W0D3L
18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
W
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
W
18/05/2026
Nashville SCLos Angeles FC
32
L
14/05/2026
St. Louis CityLos Angeles FC
21
L
11/05/2026
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
14
L
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
3W1D1L
16/07/2026
Real Salt LakeBurnley
41
W
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
21
W
14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
W
10/05/2026
FC DallasReal Salt Lake
31
L

Referee Profile

P. Lauziere · 70 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
22.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 10% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego25861142:42030LLLWW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2542:4230
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.52 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.