Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle Prediction

26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Lota Schwager Rest
28 days
Provincial Ovalle Rest
18 days

Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle: the result in context

Provincial Ovalle beat Lota Schwager 2-1 in the Segunda División on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.76
X
26%3.40
2
23%3.95
Double Chance
1X
77%1.20
X2
49%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.04 = 2.55
Over 1.5
70%1.32
Over 2.5
46%2.03
Over 3.5
26%3.58
Under 1.5
30%2.88
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'
14'
25'R. Tarifeno
42'
45+2'
45+4'C. Duma
68'
71'
79'
90'
90+3'
90+4'

Team Comparison

Lota SchwagerLota Schwager
Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle
1500Elo Rating 1367
2.36Attack 1.05
2.17Defense 1.12
69%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Lota SchwagerLota Schwager
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Lota SchwagerLota Schwager
3W5D2L
Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle
2W4D4L
07/09/2026
Provincial OvalleColina
10
W
30/08/2026
Santiago MorningProvincial Ovalle
00
D
22/08/2026
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
11
D
16/08/2026
General VelásquezProvincial Ovalle
10
L
04/07/2026
Provincial OvalleColina
21
W
26/06/2026
Santiago CityProvincial Ovalle
32
L
21/06/2026
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
16
L
08/06/2026
Provincial OvalleTrasandino
11
D
30/05/2026
Concón NationalProvincial Ovalle
10
L
25/05/2026
Provincial OvalleMunicipal Salamanca
11
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Provincial OsornoProvincial Osorno1266015:5+1024WDWDD
2Municipal SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca1257011:5+622LWWDW
3ColchaguaColchagua1264215:11+422LLWDD
4Concón NationalConcón National1263316:10+621LWLDW
5Santiago CitySantiago City1255218:19-120LWLWD
6Linares UnidoLinares Unido1261516:12+419WWWLD
7TrasandinoTrasandino1253419:17+218LLWWD
8General VelásquezGeneral Velásquez1251611:15-416WLWWD
9Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín1234516:17-113LLDWL
10Lota SchwagerLota Schwager1234511:13-213DWLDW
11ColinaColina1233615:14+112WLDLL
12Deportes RengoDeportes Rengo1232710:17-711WLWLL
13Santiago MorningSantiago Morning122469:14-510LLDLD
14Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle1213811:24-136LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Provincial OsornoProvincial Osorno1215:524
2Municipal SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca1211:522
3ColchaguaColchagua1215:1122
4Concón NationalConcón National1216:1021
5Santiago CitySantiago City1218:1920
6Linares UnidoLinares Unido1216:1219
7TrasandinoTrasandino1219:1718
8General VelásquezGeneral Velásquez1211:1516
9Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín1216:1713
10Lota SchwagerLota Schwager1211:1313
11ColinaColina1215:1412
12Deportes RengoDeportes Rengo1210:1711
13Santiago MorningSantiago Morning129:1410
14Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle1211:246

About the Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lota Schwager and Provincial Ovalle in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Lota Schwager are 10th and Provincial Ovalle 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lota Schwager 11-13, Provincial Ovalle 11-24. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lota Schwager and Provincial Ovalle have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.