Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX Prediction

Segra Field·M. Maric 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+17.1%
Loudoun United Rest
9 days
Sporting JAX Rest
13 days

Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX: result, form and history

Loudoun United and Sporting JAX drew 2-2 in the USL Championship on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.64
X
23%4.00
2
30%4.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.14
X2
53%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.54
No
56%2.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.16
Over 2.5
39%1.49
Over 3.5
19%2.27
Under 1.5
36%4.65
Under 2.5
61%2.40
Under 3.5
81%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'B. AkinyodeFoul
24'K. AwuahFoul
45+1'K. SadlierAssist: E. Jaaskelainen
63'J. Murphy INA. Souper out
63'J. Panayotou INA. Ordonez out
65'R. Somersall INH. Neville out
74'W. KuzainFoul
77'C. Torres INP. Niyongabire out
77'K. Sadlier INA. Al Qaq out
81'A. OrdonezAssist: T. Ulfarsson
89'R. Pedder INJ. Evans out
90+1'A. AboukouraAssist: K. Awuah
90+2'A. Aboukoura INN. Adnan out
90+3'E. JaaskelainenAssist: E. Rito

Lineups

Loudoun United
3-4-1-2Coach: Anthony Limbrick
Sporting JAX
4-2-3-1
E. Bandre41E. Bandre
J. Erlandson24J. Erlandson
S. Mazzaferro5S. Mazzaferro
J. Murphy8J. Murphy
B. Akinyode21B. Akinyode
K. Awuah6K. Awuah
J. Panayotou16J. Panayotou
Þ. Úlfarsson17Þ. Úlfarsson
Abdellatif Aboukoura11A. Aboukoura
C. Olivares31C. Olivares
E. Rito12E. Rito
W. Ackwei18W. Ackwei
A. Gomez22A. Gomez
J. Rossiter6J. Rossiter
R. Sommersall44R. Sommersall
Wan Kuzain8W. Kuzain
K. Sadlier10K. Sadlier

Loudoun United Substitutes

14A. Souper63'replaced by J. Murphy
20S. Young
9A. Ordoñez63'for J. Panayotou81'
7P. Niyongabire77'replaced by C. Torres
33Luca Piras

Sporting JAX Substitutes

1J. McGuire
2H. Neville65'replaced by R. Somersall

Team Comparison

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
1434Elo Rating 1313
1.55Attack 0.31
1.86Defense 0.58
44%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
2W4D4L
25/06/2026
Charleston BatteryLoudoun United
41
L
21/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
11
D
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
L
11/06/2026
Greenville TriumphLoudoun United
31
L
07/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRichmond Kickers
20
W
31/05/2026
Monterey BayLoudoun United
41
L
24/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedDetroit City
00
D
10/05/2026
BrooklynLoudoun United
01
W
02/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedOakland Roots
22
D
19/04/2026
Hartford AthleticLoudoun United
00
D
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
0W2D8L
21/06/2026
Sporting JAXCharleston Battery
25
L
14/06/2026
Sporting JAXDetroit City
26
L
11/06/2026
Monterey BaySporting JAX
21
L
07/06/2026
Sporting JAXTampa Bay Rowdies
02
L
31/05/2026
Sporting JAXBrooklyn
22
D
28/05/2026
Sporting JAXSan Antonio
44
D
17/05/2026
NaplesSporting JAX
3111
L
10/05/2026
Indy ElevenSporting JAX
21
L
03/05/2026
Charleston BatterySporting JAX
40
L
18/04/2026
Louisville CitySporting JAX
10
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Loudoun United and Sporting JAX in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Loudoun United are 10th and Sporting JAX 13th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Loudoun United 38-48, Sporting JAX 32-78. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Loudoun United and Sporting JAX have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.