Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Loudoun United
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Sporting JAX
Segra Field· M. Maric 04/07/2026
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
2-2
Finished
Sporting JAXSporting JAX

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+17.1%
Loudoun United Rest
9 days
Sporting JAX Rest
13 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.64
X
23%4.00
2
30%4.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.14
X2
53%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.53
No
56%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.14
Over 2.5
39%1.49
Over 3.5
19%2.29
Under 1.5
36%4.65
Under 2.5
61%2.40
Under 3.5
81%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'B. AkinyodeFoul
24'K. AwuahFoul
45+1'K. SadlierAssist: E. Jaaskelainen
63'J. Murphy INA. Souper out
63'J. Panayotou INA. Ordonez out
65'R. Somersall INH. Neville out
74'W. KuzainFoul
77'C. Torres INP. Niyongabire out
77'K. Sadlier INA. Al Qaq out
81'A. OrdonezAssist: T. Ulfarsson
89'R. Pedder INJ. Evans out
90+1'A. AboukouraAssist: K. Awuah
90+2'A. Aboukoura INN. Adnan out
90+3'E. JaaskelainenAssist: E. Rito

Lineups

Loudoun United
3-4-1-2Coach: Anthony Limbrick
Sporting JAX
4-2-3-1
E. Bandre41E. BandreE. Bandre
J. Erlandson24J. ErlandsonJ. Erlandson
S. Mazzaferro5S. MazzaferroS. Mazzaferro
J. Murphy8J. MurphyJ. Murphy
B. Akinyode21B. AkinyodeB. Akinyode
K. Awuah6K. AwuahK. Awuah
J. Panayotou16J. PanayotouJ. Panayotou
Þ. Úlfarsson17Þ. ÚlfarssonÞ. Úlfarsson
Abdellatif Aboukoura11A. AboukouraAbdellatif Aboukoura
C. Olivares31C. OlivaresC. Olivares
E. Rito12E. RitoE. Rito
W. Ackwei18W. AckweiW. Ackwei
A. Gomez22A. GomezA. Gomez
J. Rossiter6J. RossiterJ. Rossiter
R. Sommersall44R. SommersallR. Sommersall
Wan Kuzain8W. KuzainWan Kuzain
K. Sadlier10K. SadlierK. Sadlier

Loudoun United Substitutes

14A. SouperM
20S. YoungM
9A. OrdoñezF
7P. NiyongabireD
33Luca PirasD

Sporting JAX Substitutes

1J. McGuireG
2H. NevilleD

Team Comparison

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
1389Elo Rating 1371
1.11Attack 1.17
0.81Defense 0.44
0%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
1W1D3L
25/06/2026
Charleston BatteryLoudoun United
41
L21/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
11
D14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
L
11/06/2026
Greenville TriumphLoudoun United
31
L
07/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRichmond Kickers
20
W
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
0W1D4L
21/06/2026
Sporting JAXCharleston Battery
25
L14/06/2026
Sporting JAXDetroit City
26
L11/06/2026
Monterey BaySporting JAX
21
L
07/06/2026
Sporting JAXTampa Bay Rowdies
02
L
31/05/2026
Sporting JAXBrooklyn
22
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies25156445:23+2251WLWDL
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery25134850:31+1943WDLWW
3Detroit CityDetroit City24117629:19+1040WLDDW
4Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds261151028:26+238LWDDL
5Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic25911527:24+338DWWDW
6Louisville CityLouisville City25106941:40+136WLDDL
7Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2396832:28+433WDDLW
8Rhode IslandRhode Island2395935:26+932LWDLW
9Miami FCMiami FC25691030:43-1327WDDLL
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion243111032:42-1020LDDDL
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United243111027:42-1520LLLLD
12BrooklynBrooklyn24461425:45-2018DLDLW
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX25351730:65-3514LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies2545:2351
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery2550:3143
3Detroit CityDetroit City2429:1940
4Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds2628:2638
5Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic2527:2438
6Louisville CityLouisville City2541:4036
7Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2332:2833
8Rhode IslandRhode Island2335:2632
9Miami FCMiami FC2530:4327
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion2432:4220
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United2427:4220
12BrooklynBrooklyn2425:4518
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX2530:6514

Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

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Key Factors for This Match

Loudoun United and Sporting JAX have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.