Rhode Island vs Orange County SC Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Rhode Island
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
Centreville Bank Stadium 05/07/2026
Rhode IslandRhode Island
1-1
Finished
Orange County SCOrange County SC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseHighGap+12.0%
Rhode Island Rest
21 days
Orange County SC Rest
10 days

Rhode Island vs Orange County SC: result, form and history

Rhode Island and Orange County SC drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%1.36
X
28%4.40
2
35%6.60
Double Chance
1X
65%1.07
X2
63%2.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.83
No
56%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.64
Over 3.5
19%2.58
Under 1.5
36%4.20
Under 2.5
61%2.14
Under 3.5
81%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'C. HolstadFoul
20'A. RodriguezFoul
39'N. CiottaFoul
45+4'G. TubbsFoul
46'C. Holstad INLeo Afonso out
46'J. Johnson INE. Zubak out
51'H. Bacharach CapdevilaAssist: A. Shapiro-Thompson
61'H. Bacharach CapdevilaFoul
62'A. Rodriguez INN. Fuson out
67'O. Sylla
72'J. Kwizera IND. Atkinson out
84'F. Nodarse INA. Sanchez out

Team Comparison

Rhode IslandRhode Island
Orange County SCOrange County SC
1528Elo Rating 1385
0.86Attack 1.00
1.94Defense 1.05
17%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+144 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Orange County SCOrange County SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Rhode IslandRhode Island0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Orange County SCOrange County SC1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

USL Championship15/09/2024
Orange County SCRhode Island
10

Recent Form

Rhode IslandRhode Island
5W1D4L
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
W
07/06/2026
Rhode IslandWestchester SC
30
W
31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
L
24/05/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
41
W
16/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island
21
L
10/05/2026
Rhode IslandTampa Bay Rowdies
11
D
03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
L
23/04/2026
Rhode IslandCharleston Battery
40
W
15/04/2026
New England RevolutionRhode Island
3111
L
12/04/2026
LexingtonRhode Island
13
W
Orange County SCOrange County SC
4W3D3L
25/06/2026
Miami FCOrange County SC
24
W21/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
23
W14/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
11
D07/06/2026
AltaOrange County SC
21
L
24/05/2026
Orange County SCOakland Roots
32
W
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
L
09/05/2026
Colorado SpringsOrange County SC
22
D
03/05/2026
Sacramento RepublicOrange County SC
32
L
19/04/2026
Orange County SCLexington
00
D
12/04/2026
FC TulsaOrange County SC
01
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

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About the Rhode Island vs Orange County SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

More USL Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the USL Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rhode Island and Orange County SC have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.