Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction

Lynn Family Stadium 30/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap-2.7%
Louisville City Rest
3 days
Birmingham Legion Rest
17 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.40
X
19%4.60
2
12%6.38
Double Chance
1X
88%1.07
X2
31%2.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.66
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.14
Over 2.5
39%1.49
Over 3.5
19%2.21
Under 1.5
36%5.10
Under 2.5
61%2.44
Under 3.5
81%1.59
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'K. LambertAssist: A. McFadden
17'Z. DuncanFoul
32'P. VassellFoul
34'S. AntwiFoul
42'S. ShashouaAssist: G. Diarbian
46'Z. Duncan INE. Davila out
54'A. McFaddenFoul
55'G. DiarbianFoul
58'A. McFadden INE. Perez out
61'R. Damus INR. Williams out
61'P. Vassell INS. McIllhatton out
74'K. LambertAssist: T. Davila
74'C. Donovan INT. Showunmi out
74'J. Wilson INR. Serrano out
80'D. McCartney INS. Saucedo out
87'J. Morris INA. Dia out
88'G. Diarbian INS. Ngoma out
88'R. SerranoFoul
90'S. SaucedoFoul

Team Comparison

Louisville CityLouisville City
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
1566Elo Rating 1417
0.61Attack 2.54
1.98Defense 0.15
0%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+149 Elo
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Louisville CityLouisville City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Louisville City 54%Draw 46%0% Birmingham Legion
3.84Avg Goals
86%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies24146441:23+1848LWDLW
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery25134850:31+1943WDLWW
3Detroit CityDetroit City24117629:19+1040WLDDW
4Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds261151028:26+238LWDDL
5Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic24910526:23+337WWDWW
6Louisville CityLouisville City25106941:40+136WLDDL
7Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2396832:28+433WDDLW
8Rhode IslandRhode Island2295834:24+1032WDLWL
9Miami FCMiami FC24591028:42-1424DDLLL
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion23311932:38-620DDDLL
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United243111027:42-1520LLLLD
12BrooklynBrooklyn23451423:43-2017LDLWL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX25351730:65-3514LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies2441:2348
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery2550:3143
3Detroit CityDetroit City2429:1940
4Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds2628:2638
5Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic2426:2337
6Louisville CityLouisville City2541:4036
7Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2332:2833
8Rhode IslandRhode Island2234:2432
9Miami FCMiami FC2428:4224
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion2332:3820
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United2427:4220
12BrooklynBrooklyn2323:4317
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX2530:6514

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Louisville City and Birmingham Legion have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.84 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.