Macara vs LDU de Quito Prediction

Macara
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
LDU de Quito
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato·B. L. Salazar 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Macara Rest
30 days
LDU de Quito Rest
3 days

Macara vs LDU de Quito: result, form and history

Macara beat LDU de Quito 1-0 in the Liga Pro on 5 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: LDU de Quito had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Macara.

LDU de Quito have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.24
X
27%3.10
2
39%2.18
Double Chance
1X
61%1.62
X2
66%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.85
No
51%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.23 = 2.35
Over 1.5
64%1.36
Over 2.5
41%2.16
Over 3.5
22%3.85
Under 1.5
36%2.90
Under 2.5
59%1.65
Under 3.5
78%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'M. VieraAssist: M. Tello
46'J. W. Cuero Mercado INI. Zambrano out
46'C. Luna Tobar INJ. Carabali out
46'F. Cornejo ING. Villamil out
64'M. Estrada INDeyverson out
68'M. Tello INJ. Estacio out
68'M. Viera INA. I. Campana out
76'J. Pretell INJ. Corozo out
78'J. Klinger INJ. Jimenez out
83'Goal Disallowed - video review
90'D. Bolanos INJ. Espinoza out
90'M. Ayala INJ. Mohor out

Team Comparison

MacaraMacara
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
1713Elo Rating 1640
1.91Attack 0.97
2.63Defense 1.14
100%Hit Rate 0%
13.5Shots per Game 13.6
6.8Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 4.5
1.9Cards per Game 0.9

Game State Tendencies

MacaraMacara
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

MacaraMacara2Wins · 22%
Draws111%
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito6Wins · 67%
3.1Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Pro01/03/2026
LDU de QuitoMacara
02
Liga Pro30/08/2025
LDU de QuitoMacara
11
Liga Pro10/05/2025
MacaraLDU de Quito
01
Liga Pro04/08/2024
MacaraLDU de Quito
04
Liga Pro05/03/2024
LDU de QuitoMacara
21
Liga Pro22/10/2022
MacaraLDU de Quito
05
Liga Pro30/05/2022
LDU de QuitoMacara
32
Liga Pro17/10/2021
MacaraLDU de Quito
21
Liga Pro02/05/2021
LDU de QuitoMacara
21

Recent Form

MacaraMacara
4W4D2L
05/06/2026
Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsMacara
01
W
02/06/2026
Leones del NorteMacara
11
D
29/05/2026
America de CaliMacara
00
D
22/05/2026
MacaraAlianza Atletico
00
D
16/05/2026
MacaraIndependiente del Valle
03
L
11/05/2026
Manta FCMacara
01
W
07/05/2026
MacaraTigre
22
D
03/05/2026
MacaraOrense SC
12
L
01/05/2026
Alianza AtleticoMacara
02
W
26/04/2026
MacaraLibertad
30
W
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
6W2D2L
02/07/2026
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
30
W
18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
00
D
27/05/2026
LDU de QuitoAlways Ready
32
W
24/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
11
D
21/05/2026
LDU de QuitoLanus
20
W
15/05/2026
LDU de QuitoTecnico Universitario
21
W
12/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLDU de Quito
13
W
08/05/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
20
L
02/05/2026
LDU de QuitoGuayaquil City FC
10
W
29/04/2026
LanusLDU de Quito
10
L

Referee Profile

B. L. Salazar4 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle35273581:37+4484WWDLW
2MacaraMacara36207952:37+1567DWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3614121056:35+2154DLDWL
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito361591238:32+654DLLDW
5AucasAucas361591240:42-254LWLDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3512131039:32+749DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3581:3784
2MacaraMacara3652:3767
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3656:3554
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3638:3254
5AucasAucas3640:4254
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3539:3249
PromotionRelegation

About the Macara vs LDU de Quito forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Macara and LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro table

Macara and LDU de Quito are close in the Liga Pro table, 3rd and 5th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Macara 41-33, LDU de Quito 31-24. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Macara have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.