Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF Prediction

Malmo FF
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kalmar FF
Eleda Stadion, Malmö·Oscar Johnson 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Malmo FF Rest
9 days
Kalmar FF Rest
6 days

Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF: result, form and history

Malmo FF beat Kalmar FF 1-0 in the Allsvenskan on 12 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Malmo FF had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Kalmar FF.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.31 cards a game, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.67
X
24%3.94
2
17%4.63
Double Chance
1X
83%1.18
X2
41%2.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.69
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.07 = 2.90
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.72
Over 3.5
33%2.72
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.08
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.35
Over 9.5
52%1.61
Over 10.5
43%2.02
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
48%2.14
Under 10.5
57%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

40'Carl GustafssonFoul
45'Jovan Milosavljević INSead Hakšabanović out
57'Andrej DjuricFoul
68'Miska YlitolvaFoul
69'Melker Hallberg INTobias Lauritsen out
69'Mayckel Lahdo INAnders Christiansen out
72'Otto RosengrenAssist: Jens Stryger Larsen
73'Abdussalam Magashy INNoah Shamoun out
73'vilmer tyren INEskild Dall out
78'Anton Sebastian Höög INTheodor Lundbergh out
78'Daniel Gudjohnsen INEmmanuel Ekong out
80'Victor Larsson INSivert Overby out
80'Marius Soderback INAmara Camara out
88'Emmanuel EkongFoul
88'Otto Rosengren INBleon Kurtulus out

Lineups

Malmo FF
4-3-3Coach: G. Helstrup
Kalmar FF
4-2-3-1Coach: T. Koskela
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.66
R. Olsen7.61R. Olsen
J. Stryger Larsen8.317J. Stryger Larsen
A. Đurić6.95A. Đurić
M. Pålsson7.444M. Pålsson
Busanello7.125Busanello
O. Rosengren8.27O. Rosengren
A. Skogmar6.437A. Skogmar
J. Milosavljević7.128J. Milosavljević
A. Hoog6.745A. Hoog
D. Guðjohnsen6.332D. Guðjohnsen
M. Lahdo6.215M. Lahdo
S. Brolin7.31S. Brolin
M. Ylitolva6.926M. Ylitolva
L. Sætra7.039L. Sætra
J. Löfgren7.44J. Löfgren
V. Larsson6.72V. Larsson
C. Gustafsson6.617C. Gustafsson
M. Hallberg6.85M. Hallberg
M. Söderbäck6.410M. Söderbäck
A. Magashy6.521A. Magashy
C. Sagoe7.224C. Sagoe
V. Tyren6.06V. Tyren

Malmo FF Substitutes

10A. Christiansen69'for Mayckel Lahdo6.8
27J. Dahlin
11E. Ekong78'for Daniel Gudjohnsen88'6.6
29S. Hakšabanović45'for Jovan Milosavljević7.2
6Y. Karabelyov
4B. Kurtulus88'for Otto Rosengren7.0
47Theodor Lundbergh78'for Anton Sebastian Höög6.8
54A. Sundgren
42V. Jeppsson

Kalmar FF Substitutes

3S. Øverby80'for Victor Larsson6.6
23R. Gojani
12Z. Råvik
25N. Shamoun73'for Abdussalam Magashy6.3
9M. Stolt
22T. Lauritsen69'for Melker Hallberg6.4
30J. Kindberg
19E. Dall73'for vilmer tyren6.3
13Amara Camara80'replaced by Marius Soderback

Match Stats

Malmo FFKalmar FF
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots4
21Fouls26
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
449Total Passes423
375Passes Accurate352
26Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

Malmo FFMalmo FF
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
1679Elo Rating 1556
0.76Attack 0.46
2.30Defense 0.80
34%Hit Rate 23%
19.1Shots per Game 14.2
5.4Shots on Target 3.4
6.6Corners per Game 5.5
1.8Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Malmo FFMalmo FF
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Malmo FFMalmo FF5Wins · 56%
Draws222%
Kalmar FFKalmar FF2Wins · 22%
2.4Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan20/07/2026
Kalmar FFMalmo FF
22
Allsvenskan24/08/2024
Kalmar FFMalmo FF
22
Allsvenskan24/05/2024
Malmo FFKalmar FF
50
Allsvenskan08/10/2023
Kalmar FFMalmo FF
10
Allsvenskan01/04/2023
Malmo FFKalmar FF
10
Allsvenskan28/08/2022
Malmo FFKalmar FF
01
Allsvenskan03/04/2022
Kalmar FFMalmo FF
01
Allsvenskan28/11/2021
Kalmar FFMalmo FF
01
Allsvenskan17/05/2021
Malmo FFKalmar FF
31

Referee Profile

Oscar Johnson137 matches

4.31Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oscar Johnson4.31
Other referees3.61

4.31 cards a match, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.61).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius25174456:32+2455LDWWW
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF25153752:23+2948DWWLW
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF24144650:21+2946WLWWD
4BK HackenBK Hacken25129447:30+1745WWWWD
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg25119537:24+1342DDWWW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK25115936:38-238LWLWW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF251141038:34+437DLWLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm25107840:43-337WDLLD
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg25107835:44-937DDWWW
10IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna25961039:43-433WLWLL
11GaisGais25871031:26+531DLLWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF24581128:40-1223LDLDD
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF25641523:41-1822LWLLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF25551521:41-2020LLDLL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS25471431:56-2519DWLLL
16HalmstadHalmstad25451618:46-2817WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2556:3255
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2552:2348
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF2450:2146
4BK HackenBK Hacken2547:3045
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2537:2442
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2536:3838
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2538:3437
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2540:4337
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2535:4437
10IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2539:4333
11GaisGais2531:2631
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2428:4023
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2523:4122
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2521:4120
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2531:5619
16HalmstadHalmstad2518:4617
Relegation

About the Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Malmo FF and Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Malmo FF are 7th and Kalmar FF 13th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Malmo FF 38-34, Kalmar FF 23-41. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.