Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City Prediction

Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane/Pretoria·Cedrick Muvhali 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel80%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Mamelodi Sundowns Rest
4 days
Durban City Rest
3 days

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City: result, form and history

Mamelodi Sundowns beat Durban City 4-1 in the Premier Soccer League on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Cedrick Muvhali averages 4.73 cards a game, 1.11 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.25
X
19%4.92
2
7%10.00
Double Chance
1X
93%1.04
X2
26%3.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.36
No
61%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.62 = 2.66
Over 1.5
73%1.22
Over 2.5
50%1.77
Over 3.5
30%2.95
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
50%1.92
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'Thabang MatuludiAssist: Marcelo Allende
45'Ethan Brooks INBokang Mokwena out
45'L. Sifumba INSamkelo Maseko out
45'K. Jurgens INTylo Jordan Sanger out
62'Tashreeq Matthews INAntonio Van Wyk out
62'Cassius Mailula INS. Mthanti out
62'Brayan Leon Muniz INIqraam Rayners out
66'Thabang MatuludiAssist: Aubrey Modiba
70'L. Koapeng INS Green out
78'Bathusi Aubaas INKatlego Ntsabeleng out
79'Iqraam RaynersAssist: S. Mthanti
82'Nuno Santos INArthur Sales out
85'Thabang MatuludiFoul
86'Jean Lwamba
90+4'Antonio Van WykAssist: Arthur Sales

Lineups

Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1-3-2Coach: Miguel Cardoso
Durban City
4-1-4-1Coach: E. Tinkler
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.05
R. Goss6.631R. Goss
T. Matuludi8.922T. Matuludi
Malibongwe Khoza7.342M. Khoza
K. Ndamane7.43K. Ndamane
A. Modiba8.26A. Modiba
M. Allende7.711M. Allende
Nuno Santos6.510N. Santos
B. Aubaas6.915B. Aubaas
T. Matthews6.217T. Matthews
C. Mailula6.633C. Mailula
B. León6.412B. León
F. Asare6.633F. Asare
B. Shandu5.92B. Shandu
S. Ncanana5.75S. Ncanana
M. Mkhize6.230M. Mkhize
J. Mokone5.524J. Mokone
B. Poggenpoel6.318B. Poggenpoel
L. Sifumba5.635L. Sifumba
K. Jurgens6.117K. Jurgens
E. Brooks6.028E. Brooks
Jean Lwamba7.520J. Lwamba
1414L. Koapeng

Mamelodi Sundowns Substitutes

38S. Mthanti62'for Cassius Mailula6.8
40M. Mvala
23F. Basadien
34T. Ntsabeleng78'for Bathusi Aubaas6.8
1D. Onyango
13I. Rayners62'for Brayan Leon Muniz79'7.7
29A. Van Wyk62'for Tashreeq Matthews90+4'7.5
18T. Zwane
9Arthur Sales82'for Nuno Santos6.9

Durban City Substitutes

23Tylo Sanger45'for K. Jurgens5.8
29Alou Doumbia
13Seth Green70'replaced by L. Koapeng5.8
1Salim Magoola
16L. Makua
10S. Maseko45'for L. Sifumba5.9
15Bokang Mokwena45'replaced by Ethan Brooks
27Siyabonga Msomi
26T. Nodada

Match Stats

Mamelodi SundownsDurban City
68%Ball Possession32%
11Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
22Total Shots5
9Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
14Fouls6
1Offsides4
0Goalkeeper Saves5
627Total Passes284
577Passes Accurate221
6Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
Durban CityDurban City
1715Elo Rating 1521
1.44Attack 1.58
2.61Defense 1.79
58%Hit Rate 42%
22.0Shots per Game 13.3
9.0Shots on Target 2.5
7.0Corners per Game 5.5
1.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+194 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
Durban CityDurban City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Durban CityDurban City0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier Soccer League07/04/2026
Durban CityMamelodi Sundowns
01
Premier Soccer League20/09/2025
Mamelodi SundownsDurban City
31

Recent Form

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
7W3D0L
27/10/2026
Mamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
10
W
23/10/2026
Mamelodi SundownsWiliete
11
D
18/10/2026
WilieteMamelodi Sundowns
00
D
13/10/2026
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14
W
10/10/2026
Orlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
02
W
19/09/2026
Mamelodi SundownsAl-Ahli Jeddah
21
W
12/09/2026
Chippa UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
11
D
09/09/2026
Mamelodi SundownsSiwelele
30
W
06/09/2026
Golden ArrowsMamelodi Sundowns
12
W
02/09/2026
Mamelodi SundownsMilford FC
20
W
Durban CityDurban City
5W2D3L
28/10/2026
Durban CityStellenbosch
02
L
25/10/2026
ASPL 2000Durban City
03
W
18/10/2026
Durban CityASPL 2000
31
W
13/10/2026
Durban CityAmazulu
12
L
20/09/2026
Milford FCDurban City
11
D
17/09/2026
Orlando PiratesDurban City
20
L
13/09/2026
RukinzoDurban City
12
W
06/09/2026
Durban CityRukinzo
10
W
01/09/2026
Durban CityStellenbosch
00
D
25/08/2026
Kruger UnitedDurban City
02
W

Referee Profile

Cedrick Muvhali16 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.47Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Cedrick Muvhali4.73
Other referees3.62

4.73 cards a match, 1.11 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.62).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Soccer League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns1082027:9+1826WWDWW
2Orlando PiratesOrlando Pirates981021:2+1925WWWWW
3AmazuluAmazulu971113:8+522WWWWW
4Milford FCMilford FC1053211:7+418WWDWD
5Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs935114:10+414LDDDW
6Sekhukhune UnitedSekhukhune United94239:9014LWWDD
7Chippa UnitedChippa United92526:7-111WLWDD
8StellenboschStellenbosch92439:10-110LDWDD
9Kruger UnitedKruger United93157:13-610WWLWL
10Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows91533:5-28LLDDL
11Polokwane CityPolokwane City91538:11-38DLLDD
12TS GalaxyTS Galaxy91447:12-57DLLLD
13Durban CityDurban City91446:11-57LLDLD
14SiweleleSiwelele91359:16-76LWDLL
15Marumo GallantsMarumo Gallants91269:17-85WLLLD
16Richards BayRichards Bay903611:23-123LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns1027:926
2Orlando PiratesOrlando Pirates921:225
3AmazuluAmazulu913:822
4Milford FCMilford FC1011:718
5Kaizer ChiefsKaizer Chiefs914:1014
6Sekhukhune UnitedSekhukhune United99:914
7Chippa UnitedChippa United96:711
8StellenboschStellenbosch99:1010
9Kruger UnitedKruger United97:1310
10Golden ArrowsGolden Arrows93:58
11Polokwane CityPolokwane City98:118
12TS GalaxyTS Galaxy97:127
13Durban CityDurban City96:117
14SiweleleSiwelele99:166
15Marumo GallantsMarumo Gallants99:175
16Richards BayRichards Bay911:233

About the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mamelodi Sundowns and Durban City in the Premier Soccer League table

The table shows a wide gap: Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st in the Premier Soccer League, while Durban City sit 13th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Mamelodi Sundowns 27-9, Durban City 6-11. The full standings are on the Premier Soccer League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mamelodi Sundowns have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Mamelodi Sundowns and Durban City have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.