Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21 Prediction

Academy Stadium, Manchester·S. Copeland 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.17
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-9.2%
Manchester City U21 Rest
34 days
Stoke City U21 Rest
3 days

Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21: result, form and history

Manchester City U21 beat Stoke City U21 4-3 in the Premier League 2 Division One on 23 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Manchester City U21 had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Stoke City U21.

Referee S. Copeland averages 3.07 cards a game, 0.97 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.17
X
14%6.42
2
11%11.25
Double Chance
1X
89%1.04
X2
25%4.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'A. Walker INL. Bradbury out
49'T. MidwoodAssist: E. Fearn
55'F. Fapetu
58'K. Midwood INT. Lamb out
58'J. Wilson-Esbrand INM. Barrett out
58'H. Parker INL. Drake out
61'M. Henderson-Hall
62'L. BradburyAssist: F. Nixon
66'L. Bradbury(Penalty)
70'F. Gorman INB. Nfonkeu out
71'F. Fapetu INH. Miles out
75'X. ParkerAssist: T. Lamb
77'M. Barrett
80'T. LambAssist: X. Parker
87'L. Knight
90'H. MilesAssist: X. Parker
90+4'

Team Comparison

Manchester City U21Manchester City U21
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21
1567Elo Rating 1446
2.85Attack 1.62
0.00Defense 0.13
41%Hit Rate 0%
12.0Shots per Game -
8.0Shots on Target -
4.0Corners per Game -
2.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Manchester City U21Manchester City U21
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Manchester City U21Manchester City U21
2W0D3L
19/09/2026
Tottenham Hotspur U21Manchester City U21
42
L
15/09/2026
ChesterfieldManchester City U21
53
L
28/08/2026
Nottingham Forest U21Manchester City U21
21
L
24/08/2026
Manchester City U21Wolves U21
40
W
19/08/2026
Mansfield TownManchester City U21
14
W
Stoke City U21Stoke City U21
1W2D7L
20/10/2026
Stoke City U21Nordsjælland U21
02
L
16/10/2026
Stoke City U21Chelsea U21
12
L
13/10/2026
FC Halifax TownStoke City U21
42
L
09/10/2026
Stoke City U21Charlton Athletic U21
22
D
21/09/2026
AFC Bournemouth U21Stoke City U21
21
L
16/09/2026
Stoke City U21Borussia M'gladbach II
02
L
11/09/2026
Stoke City U21Wolves U21
40
W
08/09/2026
WealdstoneStoke City U21
60
L
04/09/2026
Stockport County U21Stoke City U21
40
L
28/08/2026
Norwich City U21Stoke City U21
00
D

Referee Profile

S. Copeland92 matches

3.07Cards per match
2.93Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
20.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Copeland3.07
Other referees4.04

3.07 cards a match, 0.97 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2 Division One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tottenham Hotspur U21Tottenham Hotspur U21651017:8+916WWWWD
2Southampton U21Southampton U21541012:4+813WWWWD
3Chelsea U21Chelsea U21641117:11+613DWWWW
4Norwich City U21Norwich City U21641114:10+413WWLWD
5Nottingham Forest U21Nottingham Forest U21640211:11012LWWWW
6Liverpool U21Liverpool U21632111:6+511DWWLW
7Sunderland U21Sunderland U21631217:14+310LDWWL
8Fulham U21Fulham U21631216:14+210LWLDW
9AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21631214:13+110LDWLW
10Reading U21Reading U2163129:8+110WLDWW
11Manchester United U21Manchester United U21430114:6+89LWWW
12Brentford U21Brentford U21630315:13+29WLLLW
13Everton U21Everton U2152216:4+28WDWLD
14Brighton U21Brighton U21622214:1408WDLWD
15West Ham United U21West Ham United U21622210:1008WLDWL
16Aston Villa U21Aston Villa U2152218:808WDDLW
17Crystal Palace U21Crystal Palace U2152129:8+17LWLWD
18Derby County U21Derby County U21621316:1607LWLLD
19Leeds United U21Leeds United U21521212:13-17LWDLW
20Manchester City U21Manchester City U21420211:9+26WLLW
21Ipswich Town U21Ipswich Town U21420211:10+16WLWL
22Blackburn Rovers U21Blackburn Rovers U2142028:9-16WWLL
23Stoke City U21Stoke City U21611411:1104LLLWD
24Leicester City U21Leicester City U2151135:10-54WLDLL
25Arsenal U21Arsenal U2160427:13-64LDDLD
26Burnley U21Burnley U2161059:13-43LLWLL
27Newcastle United U21Newcastle United U2141034:11-73WLLL
28Wolves U21Wolves U2141032:11-93WLLL
29Middlesbrough U21Middlesbrough U2160249:14-52LLDDL
30Birmingham City U21Birmingham City U2150235:16-112LLDLD
31West Bromwich Albion U21West Bromwich Albion U21501411:17-61LLLDL
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About the Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manchester City U21 and Stoke City U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One table

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, Manchester City U21 are 20th and Stoke City U21 23rd, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester City U21 11-9, Stoke City U21 11-11. The full standings are on the Premier League 2 Division One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Manchester City U21 and Stoke City U21 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.