Maranhão vs Paysandu Prediction

Maranhão
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Paysandu
21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel13%SurpriseHighGap-3.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel9%SurpriseHighGap+4.5%
Maranhão Rest
5 days
Paysandu Rest
6 days

Maranhão vs Paysandu: the result in context

Paysandu beat Maranhão 1-0 in the Serie C on 21 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Paysandu had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Maranhão.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.70
X
27%2.95
2
41%2.53
Double Chance
1X
59%1.41
X2
68%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.85
No
56%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.38
Over 2.5
38%2.20
Over 3.5
18%3.97
Under 1.5
36%2.78
Under 2.5
62%1.61
Under 3.5
82%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Pedro Henrique
46'Rafael Teixeira INLuis Gustavo out
46'Luis Gustavo
53'Vagalume
63'Henrico INTiago Indio out
63'Kleiton Pego INLucas Cardoso out
71'Edson Fernando INRailson out
71'Felipe Cruz INFelipe Sales out
71'Will INJoelson out
74'Thayllon INThalyson out
74'Juninho INItalo Carvalho out
79'Rosivan INRodrigo out
80'F. Bonifazi INLuciano Taboca out
90+4'Italo Carvalho

Team Comparison

MaranhãoMaranhão
PaysanduPaysandu
1567Elo Rating 1522
1.71Attack 0.83
2.07Defense 1.87
59%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

MaranhãoMaranhão
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PaysanduPaysandu
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

MaranhãoMaranhão
3W4D3L
16/06/2026
MaringáMaranhão
00
D
31/05/2026
AnápolisMaranhão
00
D
24/05/2026
MaranhãoCaxias
00
D
19/05/2026
ConfiançaMaranhão
21
L
09/05/2026
MaranhãoBotafogo PB
31
W
05/05/2026
FlorestaMaranhão
12
W
26/04/2026
MaranhãoVolta Redonda
21
W
19/04/2026
AmazonasMaranhão
20
L
12/04/2026
BarraMaranhão
30
L
04/04/2026
MaranhãoGuarani Campinas
11
D
PaysanduPaysandu
6W1D3L
14/06/2026
PaysanduInter De Limeira
12
L
01/06/2026
FigueirensePaysandu
21
L
29/05/2026
Nacional AMPaysandu
24
W
26/05/2026
PaysanduFloresta
21
W
21/05/2026
PaysanduNacional AM
10
W
17/05/2026
CaxiasPaysandu
20
L
14/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaPaysandu
22
D
09/05/2026
PaysanduAnápolis
21
W
04/05/2026
PaysanduBotafogo PB
42
W
25/04/2026
AO ItabaianaPaysandu
14
W

League Table

Serie C 2026

First stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB19103628:19+933LLLLW
2BrusqueBrusque1995528:22+632WDWWD
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1986522:15+730DWDDL
4MaringáMaringá1986532:30+230LWLLW
5FlorestaFloresta1986522:20+230DLWDD
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1986522:20+230LWDDW
7PaysanduPaysandu1992826:27-129WWWDD
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1985620:15+529WLLLD
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1985627:24+329DWDWW
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1977534:24+1028DLDLW
11FigueirenseFigueirense1977519:22-328WDWDW
12MaranhãoMaranhão1976619:18+127LWWWD
13AmazonasAmazonas1975721:23-226DDDWW
14CaxiasCaxias1967617:16+125DLLWL
15ItuanoItuano1964918:21-322LLLWL
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda19631013:25-1221LLWLL
17BarraBarra1956821:21021WLWLL
18AnápolisAnápolis19541017:22-519DWLWW
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana19451014:27-1317LLLLD
20ConfiançaConfiança19341211:20-913LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB1928:1933
2BrusqueBrusque1928:2232
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1922:1530
4MaringáMaringá1932:3030
5FlorestaFloresta1922:2030
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1922:2030
7PaysanduPaysandu1926:2729
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1920:1529
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1927:2429
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1934:2428
11FigueirenseFigueirense1919:2228
12MaranhãoMaranhão1919:1827
13AmazonasAmazonas1921:2326
14CaxiasCaxias1917:1625
15ItuanoItuano1918:2122
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda1913:2521
17BarraBarra1921:2121
18AnápolisAnápolis1917:2219
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1914:2717
20ConfiançaConfiança1911:2013

Second stage - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FerroviáriaFerroviária632110:7+311DWDDL
2Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira614111:1107LWDDW
3BrusqueBrusque614110:1007WDWWD
4PaysanduPaysandu61235:8-35WWWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FerroviáriaFerroviária610:711
2Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira611:117
3BrusqueBrusque610:107
4PaysanduPaysandu65:85
PromotionRelegation

About the Maranhão vs Paysandu forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maranhão and Paysandu in the Serie C table

In the Serie C table, Paysandu are 7th and Maranhão 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Maranhão 19-18, Paysandu 26-27. The full standings are on the Serie C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Maranhão and Paysandu have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.