Maria da Fonte vs Bragança Prediction

Maria da Fonte
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Bragança
25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Maria da Fonte Rest
14 days
Bragança Rest
8 days

Maria da Fonte vs Bragança: the result in context

Bragança beat Maria da Fonte 2-1 in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bragança had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Maria da Fonte.

Maria da Fonte have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.16
X
28%3.20
2
45%2.04
Double Chance
1X
55%1.60
X2
73%1.29
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'
58'
66'

Team Comparison

Maria da FonteMaria da Fonte
BragançaBragança
1457Elo Rating 1593
0.81Attack 2.08
0.47Defense 1.81
14%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Maria da FonteMaria da Fonte
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BragançaBragança
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Maria da FonteMaria da Fonte3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
BragançaBragança1Wins · 20%
3.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A22/01/2023
BragançaMaria da Fonte
13
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A25/09/2022
Maria da FonteBragança
00
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A03/04/2021
BragançaMaria da Fonte
32
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A03/01/2021
Maria da FonteBragança
32
Taça de Portugal08/09/2019
Maria da FonteBragança
30

Recent Form

Maria da FonteMaria da Fonte
2W1D7L
11/10/2026
Maia LidadorMaria da Fonte
11
D
20/09/2026
ParedesMaria da Fonte
51
L
13/09/2026
Maria da FonteSC Braga B
04
L
06/09/2026
BritoMaria da Fonte
21
L
30/08/2026
Maria da FonteUniao Nogueirense
10
W
23/08/2026
Maria da FonteCeloricense
01
L
16/08/2026
VinhaisMaria da Fonte
01
W
31/07/2026
FafeMaria da Fonte
20
L
31/08/2025
Maria da FonteBrito
12
L
20/10/2024
Maria da FonteArouca
05
L
BragançaBragança
6W1D3L
17/10/2026
União de LeiriaBragança
21
L
11/10/2026
BragançaMontalegre
02
L
20/09/2026
BragançaCeloricense
61
W
13/09/2026
BragançaPonte da Barca
30
W
06/09/2026
Maia LidadorBragança
01
W
30/08/2026
RebordeloBragança
04
W
23/08/2026
BragançaSC Braga B
00
D
16/08/2026
BritoBragança
23
W
31/05/2026
LeçaBragança
10
L
23/05/2026
BragançaVianense
10
W

League Table

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SC Braga BSC Braga B642012:5+714WWWDD
2Os LimianosOs Limianos642013:8+514WWDWD
3BragançaBragança64119:5+413WLWWD
4Chaves IIChaves II64029:5+412LWWWW
5MontalegreMontalegre62317:4+39LWDDW
6TirsenseTirsense630312:10+29LLWLW
7RebordosaRebordosa622210:3+78WDDWL
8CeloricenseCeloricense62225:508LDLWW
9Vila MeãVila Meã62228:6+28LDWLD
10Ponte da BarcaPonte da Barca62135:8-37WDLLW
11BritoBrito62047:13-66WLLWL
12Maia LidadorMaia Lidador61238:9-15WDDLL
13Maria da FonteMaria da Fonte61144:10-64LDLLL
14VinhaisVinhais60062:20-180LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SC Braga BSC Braga B612:514
2Os LimianosOs Limianos613:814
3BragançaBragança69:513
4Chaves IIChaves II69:512
5MontalegreMontalegre67:49
6TirsenseTirsense612:109
7RebordosaRebordosa610:38
8CeloricenseCeloricense65:58
9Vila MeãVila Meã68:68
10Ponte da BarcaPonte da Barca65:87
11BritoBrito67:136
12Maia LidadorMaia Lidador68:95
13Maria da FonteMaria da Fonte64:104
14VinhaisVinhais62:200
PromotionRelegation

About the Maria da Fonte vs Bragança forecast

The forecasts for this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maria da Fonte and Bragança in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A table

The table shows a wide gap: Bragança are 3rd in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while Maria da Fonte sit 13th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: Maria da Fonte 4-10, Bragança 9-5. The full standings are on the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bragança have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.