Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori Prediction

Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseHighGap-9.0%
Matsumoto Yamaga Rest
3 days
Gainare Tottori Rest
3 days

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori: the result in context

Gainare Tottori beat Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 in the J3 League on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.55
X
25%3.80
2
20%5.20
Double Chance
1X
79%1.12
X2
45%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.77
No
48%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.25 = 2.69
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.78
Over 3.5
32%2.85
Under 1.5
26%3.66
Under 2.5
48%1.99
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'N. MikiAssist: H. Oshima
60'R. Sato INA. Inoue out
60'S. Kaneko INR. Sawazaki out
66'A. Tojo INI. Fujita out
66'N. Miki INS. Yamamoto out
73'S. Tanaka INY. Taguchi out
73'K. Saso INK. Kitazume out
74'R. Arai
76'H. Murakami INK. Fujieda out
78'R. Arai INM. Moon out
78'D. Shinoda INI. Yoshida out
82'M. Lorenz
90+1'K. Hombo INT. Kiuchi out

Team Comparison

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori
1404Elo Rating 1404
0.93Attack 0.62
2.21Defense 1.21
44%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori2Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

J3 League23/08/2025
Gainare TottoriMatsumoto Yamaga
00
J3 League18/05/2025
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
10
J3 League20/10/2024
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
34
J3 League08/06/2024
Gainare TottoriMatsumoto Yamaga
04
J3 League05/08/2023
Gainare TottoriMatsumoto Yamaga
21
J3 League02/04/2023
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
00
J3 League18/09/2022
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
21
J3 League05/06/2022
Gainare TottoriMatsumoto Yamaga
00

Recent Form

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
3W5D2L
29/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata
10
W
26/09/2026
Tochigi SCMatsumoto Yamaga
12
W
18/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoMatsumoto Yamaga
00
D
13/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSagamihara
13
L
09/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaShonan Bellmare
4333
W
05/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaOsaka
00
D
30/08/2026
KitakyushuMatsumoto Yamaga
11
D
22/08/2026
Matsumoto YamagaEhime FC
22
D
16/08/2026
Matsumoto YamagaBiwako Shiga
23
L
08/08/2026
Kochi UnitedMatsumoto Yamaga
00
D
Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori
7W0D3L
29/09/2026
Gainare TottoriV-varen Nagasaki
20
W
26/09/2026
KanazawaGainare Tottori
41
L
19/09/2026
Gainare TottoriNara Club
23
L
12/09/2026
KitakyushuGainare Tottori
24
W
05/09/2026
Gainare TottoriRenofa Yamaguchi
03
L
02/09/2026
Gainare TottoriOmiya Ardija
31
W
30/08/2026
Biwako ShigaGainare Tottori
01
W
26/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusGainare Tottori
13
W
22/08/2026
Gainare TottoriFukushima United
21
W
19/08/2026
Gainare TottoriRoasso Kumamoto
6151
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

About the Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Matsumoto Yamaga and Gainare Tottori in the J3 League table

Gainare Tottori and Matsumoto Yamaga are close in the J3 League table, 13th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Matsumoto Yamaga 12-15, Gainare Tottori 13-23. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.