Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United Prediction

Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.15
SignalHIGHModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-9.5%
Kitakyushu Rest
6 days
Kagoshima United Rest
6 days

Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United: the result in context

Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United drew 1-1 in the J3 League on 26 Sep 2026. Kagoshima United had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Kitakyushu.

Kagoshima United have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%4.73
X
21%3.75
2
63%1.58
Double Chance
1X
37%2.10
X2
84%1.15
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'K. Hirose INK. Muramatsu out
31'K. Muramatsu
54'M. Yoshinaga INK. Hara out
56'W. Tanaka INM. Endo out
56'K. Kawamura INA. Takahashi out
63'S. YasumitsuAssist: K. Yoshida
68'K. Muramatsu INM. Fukuda out
68'R. Arita INJuanma Delgado out
76'K. Yoshida INR. Nagai out
76'S. Koh INM. Nishimura out
87'Juanma Delgado
90+2'K. Fukumori INR. Hirahara out
90+2'Y. Sakashita INH. Izawa out

Team Comparison

KitakyushuKitakyushu
Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
1352Elo Rating 1526
1.90Attack 1.74
1.75Defense 1.39
61%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

KitakyushuKitakyushu
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KitakyushuKitakyushu0Wins · 0%
Draws440%
Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United6Wins · 60%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

J2/J3 League24/05/2026
KitakyushuKagoshima United
15
J2/J3 League05/04/2026
Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu
8171
J3 League11/10/2025
KitakyushuKagoshima United
11
J3 League23/03/2025
Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu
10
J3 League26/08/2023
KitakyushuKagoshima United
11
Emperor Cup21/05/2023
KitakyushuKagoshima United
22
J3 League04/05/2023
Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu
20
J3 League19/09/2022
Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu
10
J3 League02/07/2022
KitakyushuKagoshima United
12
Emperor Cup22/05/2022
Kagoshima UnitedKitakyushu
31

Recent Form

KitakyushuKitakyushu
2W3D5L
20/09/2026
SagamiharaKitakyushu
12
W
12/09/2026
KitakyushuGainare Tottori
24
L
09/09/2026
FC RyukyuKitakyushu
30
L
05/09/2026
Ehime FCKitakyushu
42
L
02/09/2026
KitakyushuIwaki
10
W
30/08/2026
KitakyushuMatsumoto Yamaga
11
D
22/08/2026
Tochigi SCKitakyushu
22
D
19/08/2026
KitakyushuOkinawa SV
1121
L
15/08/2026
KitakyushuKamatamare Sanuki
00
D
18/07/2026
Yokohama FCKitakyushu
32
L
Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
8W1D1L
19/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedTochigi SC
31
W
13/09/2026
Biwako ShigaKagoshima United
12
W
05/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
21
W
02/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedConsadole Sapporo
01
L
29/08/2026
Kamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
34
W
26/08/2026
Albirex NiigataKagoshima United
04
W
22/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFC Gifu
00
D
19/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedRenofa Yamaguchi
21
W
16/08/2026
Nara ClubKagoshima United
13
W
08/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedThespakusatsu Gunma
10
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

About the Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Kagoshima United are 1st and Kitakyushu 12th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Kitakyushu 19-22, Kagoshima United 27-16. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.