Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town Prediction

Merthyr Town
4-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Hebburn Town
07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Merthyr Town Rest
7 days
Hebburn Town Rest
7 days

Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town: the result in context

Merthyr Town beat Hebburn Town 4-1 in the National League - North on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.06
X
25%3.63
2
32%2.92
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
57%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.3 = 2.86
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
37%2.36
Under 1.5
20%4.70
Under 2.5
41%2.27
Under 3.5
63%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'K. Evans
42'J. Donaldson
45'K. Simpson
90'E. Watts
90+3'

Team Comparison

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
Hebburn TownHebburn Town
1475Elo Rating 1494
1.31Attack 0.87
0.61Defense 1.24
0%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals

Game State Tendencies

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Hebburn TownHebburn Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Recent Form

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
1W5D4L
31/10/2026
RadcliffeMerthyr Town
33
D
27/10/2026
Oxford CityMerthyr Town
30
L
24/10/2026
Merthyr TownMorecambe
13
L
17/10/2026
Merthyr TownKing's Lynn Town
11
D
10/10/2026
Darlington 1883Merthyr Town
11
D
26/09/2026
Merthyr TownMarine
12
L
22/09/2026
Truro CityMerthyr Town
20
L
19/09/2026
Merthyr TownTruro City
11
D
12/09/2026
Scarborough AthleticMerthyr Town
00
D
08/09/2026
ChesterMerthyr Town
01
W
Hebburn TownHebburn Town
1W4D5L
31/10/2026
Hebburn TownHarborough Town
11
D
24/10/2026
AFC Telford UnitedHebburn Town
22
D
17/10/2026
Hebburn TownScarborough Athletic
02
L
10/10/2026
Hebburn TownOxford City
03
L
26/09/2026
Darlington 1883Hebburn Town
11
D
19/09/2026
Hebburn TownGuiseley AFC
14
L
12/09/2026
Hebburn TownHednesford Town
21
W
08/09/2026
RadcliffeHebburn Town
51
L
05/09/2026
Hebburn TownChester
11
D
31/08/2026
MacclesfieldHebburn Town
30
L

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South ShieldsSouth Shields15102330:20+1032WWWWL
2HerefordHereford1693428:14+1430DWLLW
3Oxford CityOxford City1584327:12+1528DLWDW
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1383221:11+1027WLWWD
5Hednesford TownHednesford Town1683530:22+827WWLWW
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1683527:21+627WWLDD
7BuxtonBuxton1683532:27+527DWWWD
8ChesterChester1582518:14+426WLWLW
9MorecambeMorecambe1673625:20+524DLWWW
10Bedford TownBedford Town1471617:19-222LWWLD
11AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1664618:22-422WWWDW
12Spalding UnitedSpalding United1563620:17+321LWDLL
13ChorleyChorley1562724:25-120LLWLW
14Worksop TownWorksop Town1562720:21-120LWDDW
15Hebburn TownHebburn Town1555520:28-820LDDLL
16MarineMarine1561820:20019WLLDW
17Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1647522:23-119WDLLD
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1654718:27-919LWDLL
19Harborough TownHarborough Town1445513:17-417DLDWL
20Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1644822:25-316LDLLW
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1551919:27-816DLWWW
22Darlington 1883Darlington 188316331020:29-912DLLWL
23SouthportSouthport1524915:30-1510LLDLL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1524914:29-1510LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1South ShieldsSouth Shields1530:2032
2HerefordHereford1628:1430
3Oxford CityOxford City1527:1228
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1321:1127
5Hednesford TownHednesford Town1630:2227
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1627:2127
7BuxtonBuxton1632:2727
8ChesterChester1518:1426
9MorecambeMorecambe1625:2024
10Bedford TownBedford Town1417:1922
11AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1618:2222
12Spalding UnitedSpalding United1520:1721
13ChorleyChorley1524:2520
14Worksop TownWorksop Town1520:2120
15Hebburn TownHebburn Town1520:2820
16MarineMarine1520:2019
17Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1622:2319
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1618:2719
19Harborough TownHarborough Town1413:1717
20Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1622:2516
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1519:2716
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831620:2912
23SouthportSouthport1515:3010
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1514:2910
PromotionRelegation

About the Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town forecast

The forecasts for this National League - North match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town in the National League - North table

Hebburn Town and Merthyr Town are close in the National League - North table, 15th and 17th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Merthyr Town 22-23, Hebburn Town 20-28. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.