Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha Prediction

Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav·Stanislav Volek, Czechia 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Mlada Boleslav Rest
6 days
Sparta Praha Rest
4 days

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha: result, form and history

Mlada Boleslav beat Sparta Praha 2-0 in the Czech Liga on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Mlada Boleslav had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sparta Praha.

Sparta Praha have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%4.00
X
29%3.75
2
36%1.75
Double Chance
1X
64%1.98
X2
65%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.53
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.32 = 2.80
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.55
Over 3.5
32%2.35
Under 1.5
18%4.90
Under 2.5
42%2.35
Under 3.5
68%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 5 = 10.2
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
50%1.55
Over 10.5
41%1.89
Under 8.5
38%2.97
Under 9.5
50%2.23
Under 10.5
59%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.51
Over 4.5
31%2.07
Under 3.5
49%2.27
Under 4.5
69%1.63

Match Events

14'Martin Šubert
19'Dominik HollýFoul
44'Roman MacekFoul
45+1'Jiří Klíma(Penalty)
46'Jiří Klíma INFilip Špatenka out
46'John Mercado INJosimar Alcócer out
46'Dominik Hollý INSantiago Eneme out
46'Hugo Sochurek INAdam Karabec out
46'Matyáš Vojta INJonatan Braut Brunes out
50'Martin ŠubertFoul
55'Filip Špatenka INLukáš Letenay out
66'Martin Šubert INJosef Kolářík out
70'Jaroslav ZelenýFoul
72'Jaroslav Zelený INMatěj Ryneš out
85'Ondrej Karafiat INAdam Kadlec out
85'Solomon John INJan Buryan out
87'Pavel KadeřábekFoul

Lineups

Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1Coach: Ales Majer
Sparta Praha
4-3-3Coach: Brian Priske
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.67
Jiří Floder6.659J. Floder
Denis Donát8.013D. Donát
Ondrej Karafiat8.044O. Karafiat
Martin KrálikC7.33M. Králik
Matěj Hybš7.211M. Hybš
David Kozel7.219D. Kozel
Jan Zíka7.276J. Zíka
Solomon John6.620S. John
Daniel Langhamer6.328D. Langhamer
Martin Šubert7.221M. Šubert
Jiří Klíma6.723J. Klíma
Jakub Surovčík6.344J. Surovčík
Pavel Kadeřábek6.03P. Kadeřábek
Adam ŠevinskýC7.719A. Ševinský
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal7.56T. Kvalvagnes Guddal
Jaroslav Zelený6.230J. Zelený
Hugo Sochurek6.238H. Sochurek
Roman Macek6.928R. Macek
Dominik Hollý6.524D. Hollý
Garang Kuol6.936G. Kuol
Matyáš Vojta6.329M. Vojta
John Mercado6.317J. Mercado

Mlada Boleslav Substitutes

17Filip Špatenka46'for Jiří Klíma55'for Lukáš Letenay6.5
9Lukáš Letenay55'replaced by Filip Špatenka6.5
49Josef Kolářík66'for Martin Šubert6.7
27Adam Kadlec85'for Ondrej Karafiat6.9
70Jan Buryan85'for Solomon John6.3
42Vojtěch Vorel
47Marek Obdržálek
24Dominik Mareš
26Matěj Zachoval
5Harustak Jan
15Nicolas Penner

Sparta Praha Substitutes

5Santiago Eneme46'for Dominik Hollý6.9
10Adam Karabec46'for Hugo Sochurek7.0
7Josimar Alcócer46'for John Mercado6.9
14Jonatan Braut Brunes46'for Matyáš Vojta6.2
11Matěj Ryneš72'for Jaroslav Zelený6.9
47Krisztián Hegyi
25Asger Sørensen
15Viktor Vitályos
18Andy Irving
21Joao Grimaldo
2Martin Suchomel

Match Stats

Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
33%Ball Possession67%
1Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots5
14Fouls14
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves2
312Total Passes607
244Passes Accurate551
78%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
1676Elo Rating 1696
1.86Attack 1.10
1.94Defense 1.50
66%Hit Rate 17%
12.7Shots per Game 15.4
4.9Shots on Target 5.1
5.3Corners per Game 5.2
1.6Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha6Wins · 60%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup03/03/2026
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
4020
Czech Liga22/11/2025
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
12
Czech Liga27/07/2025
Sparta PrahaMlada Boleslav
32
Czech Liga13/04/2025
Sparta PrahaMlada Boleslav
20
Czech Liga10/11/2024
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
22
Czech Liga18/05/2024
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
05
Czech Liga07/04/2024
Sparta PrahaMlada Boleslav
11
Czech Liga29/10/2023
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
31
Czech Liga05/02/2023
Sparta PrahaMlada Boleslav
41
Czech Liga20/08/2022
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
13

Recent Form

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav
7W1D2L
02/08/2026
Sigma OlomoucMlada Boleslav
22
D
27/07/2026
ArtisMlada Boleslav
24
W
18/07/2026
Mlada BoleslavRied
40
W
15/07/2026
Energie CottbusMlada Boleslav
24
W
11/07/2026
Mlada BoleslavTáborsko
30
W
04/07/2026
Mlada BoleslavViktoria Žižkov
30
W
26/06/2026
Mlada BoleslavDukla Praha
20
W
23/05/2026
Mlada BoleslavTeplice
02
L
16/05/2026
SlováckoMlada Boleslav
03
W
12/05/2026
Mlada BoleslavDukla Praha
12
L
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
6W1D3L
04/08/2026
Sparta PrahaLyon
21
W
31/07/2026
Sparta PrahaZlin
31
W
25/07/2026
Zbrojovka BrnoSparta Praha
31
L
17/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandSparta Praha
51
L
16/07/2026
JagielloniaSparta Praha
10
L
11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
30
W
04/07/2026
Sparta PrahaOpava
41
W
24/05/2026
Sparta PrahaHradec Králové
21
W
17/05/2026
Slovan LiberecSparta Praha
02
W
12/05/2026
Sparta PrahaPlzen
00
D

Referee Profile

Stanislav Volek105 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.26Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stanislav Volek4.58
Other referees4.25

4.58 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 50 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha14104036:8+2834WWDDW
2Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1382316:8+826WWLLD
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1474322:15+725DWDWL
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1473426:14+1224DDWDW
5Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1473422:20+224LWDWD
6TepliceTeplice1463522:22021LWDLD
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1463516:18-221DLWLW
8PlzenPlzen1455429:22+720DWLWW
9Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051455415:15020LWDDW
10Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1462617:22-520LLDWL
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1453617:18-118WLLDL
12PardubicePardubice1452719:20-117WLWWL
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava1342710:23-1314WLDLD
14ArtisArtis1424815:28-1310LLDDW
15SlováckoSlovácko1424813:26-1310WLLLW
16ZlinZlin14031111:27-163LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1436:834
2Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1316:826
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1422:1525
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1426:1424
5Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1422:2024
6TepliceTeplice1422:2221
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1416:1821
8PlzenPlzen1429:2220
9Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051415:1520
10Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1417:2220
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1417:1818
12PardubicePardubice1419:2017
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava1310:2314
14ArtisArtis1415:2810
15SlováckoSlovácko1413:2610
16ZlinZlin1411:273
Relegation

About the Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Mlada Boleslav and Sparta Praha in the Czech Liga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Mlada Boleslav are 3rd in the Czech Liga, 1 point ahead of Sparta Praha in 4th. League goal record so far: Mlada Boleslav 22-15, Sparta Praha 26-14. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mlada Boleslav have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.