Moldova vs Faroe Islands Prediction

Moldova
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Faroe Islands
Zimbru, Chisinau·Julian Weinberger 29/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Moldova Rest
2 days
Faroe Islands Rest
3 days

Moldova vs Faroe Islands: the result in context

Moldova and Faroe Islands drew 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 29 Sep 2026. Faroe Islands had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Moldova.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%2.88
X
23%2.92
2
53%2.67
Double Chance
1X
46%1.44
X2
76%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.04
No
57%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.28 + 2.41 = 2.69
Over 1.5
68%1.50
Over 2.5
43%2.50
Over 3.5
26%4.55
Under 1.5
32%2.60
Under 2.5
57%1.50
Under 3.5
74%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.2 + 5.5 = 8.7
Over 8.5
54%1.95
Over 9.5
44%2.55
Over 10.5
32%3.50
Under 8.5
46%1.80
Under 9.5
56%1.44
Under 10.5
68%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.4 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.67
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
50%2.10
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

26'Viljormur Davidsen(Penalty)
45'Dmitri Mandricenco INNicky Clescenco out
52'Vladyslav Baboglo INVadim Rață out
52'Danila Forov INSergiu Perciun out
52'Victor Stina INNikita Motpan out
61'Géza Dávid Turi INPetur Knudsen out
61'hanus Sorensen INJóannes Bjartalíð out
62'Andrias EdmundssonFoul
66'Sergiu Perciun
74'Vlad Raileanu INŞtefan Bodişteanu out
75'Viljormur Davidsen INMartin Agnarsson out
85'Áki Samuelsen INAron Benjaminsen out
85'Mattias Hellisdal INEmil Weihe Joensen out

Lineups

Moldova
3-5-1-1Coach: L. Popescu
Faroe Islands
5-4-1Coach: E. Klakstein
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.30
D. Celeadnic6.512D. Celeadnic
C. Cucoș6.85C. Cucoș
I. Iovu7.118I. Iovu
M. Gherasimencov6.86M. Gherasimencov
D. Forov6.416D. Forov
V. Răileanu6.714V. Răileanu
V. Baboglo6.34V. Baboglo
V. Stînă7.211V. Stînă
O. Reabciuk6.92O. Reabciuk
D. Mandrîcenco6.221D. Mandrîcenco
Petru Popescu6.515P. Popescu
M. Lamhauge6.11M. Lamhauge
J. Benjaminsen6.319J. Benjaminsen
S. Chukwudi6.34S. Chukwudi
G. Vatnhamar6.816G. Vatnhamar
A. Edmundsson6.15A. Edmundsson
V. í Davidsen6.23V. í Davidsen
Á. Samuelsen5.910Á. Samuelsen
M. Hellisdal6.422M. Hellisdal
G. Turi6.421G. Turi
H. Sørensen6.220H. Sørensen
A. Justinussen6.717A. Justinussen

Moldova Substitutes

20N. Cleșcenco45'for Dmitri Mandricenco7.0
10Ș. Bodișteanu74'for Vlad Raileanu6.6
13S. Cojocari
17O. David
8C. Dros
19D. Dumbrăvanu
23A. Kozhukhar
7N. Moțpan52'for Victor Stina6.7
9S. Perciun52'for Danila Forov66'8.2
22V. Raţă52'for Vladyslav Baboglo7.0
3M. Ștefan
1E. Tîmbur

Faroe Islands Substitutes

9J. Nielsen
12A. Petersen
23B. Reynatrod
8H. Vatnsdal
14P. Kallsberg
15O. Færø
13M. Agnarsson75'for Viljormur Davidsen6.0
2J. Danielsen
11P. Knudsen61'for Géza Dávid Turi6.2
7J. Bjartalíð61'for hanus Sorensen6.6
18A. Benjaminsen85'for Áki Samuelsen6.5
6E. Joensen85'for Mattias Hellisdal6.2

Match Stats

MoldovaFaroe Islands
70%Ball Possession30%
7Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
599Total Passes263
533Passes Accurate186
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

MoldovaMoldova
Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
1312Elo Rating 1485
0.79Attack 1.27
0.60Defense 1.87
23%Hit Rate 14%
14.4Shots per Game 13.1
4.3Shots on Target 4.0
5.4Corners per Game 4.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MoldovaMoldova
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

MoldovaMoldova1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Euro Championship - Qualification10/09/2023
Faroe IslandsMoldova
01
Euro Championship - Qualification24/03/2023
MoldovaFaroe Islands
11
World Cup - Qualification Europe07/09/2021
Faroe IslandsMoldova
21
World Cup - Qualification Europe25/03/2021
MoldovaFaroe Islands
11

Recent Form

MoldovaMoldova
0W3D7L
26/09/2026
SlovakiaMoldova
20
L
09/06/2026
ArmeniaMoldova
11
D
05/06/2026
MoldovaBulgaria
22
D
16/11/2025
IsraelMoldova
41
L
13/11/2025
MoldovaItaly
02
L
14/10/2025
EstoniaMoldova
11
D
09/09/2025
NorwayMoldova
111
L
05/09/2025
MoldovaIsrael
04
L
09/06/2025
ItalyMoldova
20
L
25/03/2025
MoldovaEstonia
23
L
Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
5W1D4L
26/09/2026
Faroe IslandsKazakhstan
11
D
09/06/2026
LatviaFaroe Islands
01
W
06/06/2026
EstoniaFaroe Islands
10
L
14/11/2025
CroatiaFaroe Islands
31
L
12/10/2025
Faroe IslandsCzech Republic
21
W
09/10/2025
Faroe IslandsMontenegro
40
W
08/09/2025
GibraltarFaroe Islands
01
W
05/09/2025
Faroe IslandsCroatia
01
L
09/06/2025
Faroe IslandsGibraltar
21
W
25/03/2025
MontenegroFaroe Islands
10
L

Referee Profile

Julian Weinberger164 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Julian Weinberger4.49
Other referees4.44

4.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.44).

Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SlovakiaSlovakia43109:2+710WDWW
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands40405:504DDDD
3MoldovaMoldova41123:8-54LWDL
4KazakhstanKazakhstan40225:7-22DLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SlovakiaSlovakia49:210
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands45:54
3MoldovaMoldova43:84
4KazakhstanKazakhstan45:72
Promotion

About the Moldova vs Faroe Islands forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Moldova and Faroe Islands in the UEFA Nations League table

In the UEFA Nations League table, Moldova (3rd) and Faroe Islands (2nd) are level on 4 points. League goal record so far: Moldova 3-8, Faroe Islands 5-5. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.