Monarcas vs Tlaxcala Prediction

Monarcas
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
Estadio Morelos, Morelia·A. Lopez 04/10/2026
MonarcasMonarcas
1-1
Finished
TlaxcalaTlaxcala

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Monarcas Rest
7 days
Tlaxcala Rest
7 days

Monarcas vs Tlaxcala: result, form and history

Monarcas and Tlaxcala drew 1-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Monarcas have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.44
X
21%4.35
2
16%5.85
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
37%2.54
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'D. ZamoraAssist: D. Aguilar
9'J. Freyfeld
30'M. Ramirez
39'B. Flores
41'P. Gonzalez
45+1'J. Martinez
46'D. Zamora
54'D. Aguilar
59'M. Nambo INA. Flores out
66'M. A. Trejo Castro
69'J. Martinez INE. Castellanos out
70'M. Dominguez INV. Lopez out
70'A. Iniestra INC. Gonzalez out
70'Christian IND. Alvarez out
80'B. Flores INE. Hernandez out
80'I. Govea IND. Hernandez out
89'E. Robles(Penalty)
90+3'D. Aguilar INA. Andrade out
90+3'D. Zamora INP. Romero out

Team Comparison

MonarcasMonarcas
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
1553Elo Rating 1499
1.14Attack 2.31
1.71Defense 1.08
14%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

MonarcasMonarcas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonarcasMonarcas6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
TlaxcalaTlaxcala1Wins · 10%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX12/04/2026
MonarcasTlaxcala
00
Liga de Expansión MX02/11/2025
TlaxcalaMonarcas
01
Liga de Expansión MX20/04/2025
TlaxcalaMonarcas
11
Liga de Expansión MX01/11/2024
MonarcasTlaxcala
21
Liga de Expansión MX09/02/2024
MonarcasTlaxcala
31
Liga de Expansión MX21/09/2023
TlaxcalaMonarcas
23
Liga de Expansión MX07/01/2023
TlaxcalaMonarcas
00
Liga de Expansión MX07/07/2022
MonarcasTlaxcala
20
Liga de Expansión MX10/01/2022
TlaxcalaMonarcas
04
Liga de Expansión MX10/11/2021
MonarcasTlaxcala
13

Recent Form

MonarcasMonarcas
7W0D3L
27/09/2026
Venados FCMonarcas
21
L
20/09/2026
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
W
13/09/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcas
01
W
06/09/2026
MonarcasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
41
W
29/08/2026
DoradosMonarcas
01
W
21/08/2026
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
13
L
15/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoMonarcas
12
W
09/08/2026
MonarcasCancún
41
W
02/08/2026
PiratasMonarcas
10
L
26/07/2026
MonarcasCA La Paz
42
W
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
3W2D5L
27/09/2026
TlaxcalaCancún
41
W
21/09/2026
TapatíoTlaxcala
40
L
13/09/2026
TlaxcalaCDS Tampico Madero
31
W
05/09/2026
DurangoTlaxcala
11
D
30/08/2026
TlaxcalaVenados FC
31
W
21/08/2026
TepatitlánTlaxcala
32
L
16/08/2026
DoradosTlaxcala
22
D
07/08/2026
TlaxcalaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
02
L
01/08/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasTlaxcala
31
L
26/07/2026
TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG
24
L

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1373330:17+1324DWLWW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1373329:19+1024LDWWL
3MonarcasMonarcas1372423:15+823LDDLW
4PiratasPiratas1363421:14+721WLWLW
5Venados FCVenados FC1363428:23+521DDWWL
6DurangoDurango1363416:11+521WDWWW
7CancúnCancún1354422:18+419DDWLW
8Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1353526:23+318LDLWW
9TapatíoTapatío1352623:25-217LWLLW
10DoradosDorados1344523:24-116WLLLD
11Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1344521:22-116LLDWL
12TlaxcalaTlaxcala1344525:27-216DWDWL
13Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1351712:24-1216WWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1343614:20-615WDLLD
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1335516:20-414WWDLL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán13211010:37-277LLDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1330:1724
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1329:1924
3MonarcasMonarcas1323:1523
4PiratasPiratas1321:1421
5Venados FCVenados FC1328:2321
6DurangoDurango1316:1121
7CancúnCancún1322:1819
8Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1326:2318
9TapatíoTapatío1323:2517
10DoradosDorados1323:2416
11Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1321:2216
12TlaxcalaTlaxcala1325:2716
13Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1312:2416
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1314:2015
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1316:2014
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1310:377
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About the Monarcas vs Tlaxcala forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monarcas and Tlaxcala in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Monarcas are 3rd and Tlaxcala 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Monarcas 23-15, Tlaxcala 25-27. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monarcas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.