Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

Cardinale Stadium· C. May 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel76%RiskMediumGap+0.3%
Monterey Bay Rest
7 days
Sacramento Republic Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
7%3.74
X
13%3.40
2
80%1.85
Double Chance
1X
20%1.80
X2
93%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.80
No
56%1.88
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'O. GlasgowAssist: F. Barajas
64'F. Ajago INC. Jennings out
65'T. Leibold INR. Spaulding out
72'F. Barajas INW. Leggett out
72'T. Wolff INK. Edwards out
72'B. Willey INA. Midence out
77'J. GarciaUnsportsmanlike conduct
82'N. Ross INJudson out
82'J. Garcia INQ. Elliot out
84'C. Jennings
85'J. Casas INF. Kleemann out
90+4'N. Gordon INZ. Farnsworth out
90+5'R. Nakamura IND. Otoya out

Team Comparison

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
1323Elo Rating 1544
1.14Attack 1.17
1.05Defense 2.24
0%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Monterey Bay 19%Draw 64%17% Sacramento Republic
1.92Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
0W1D4L
23/08/2026
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
31
L
16/08/2026
Oakland RootsMonterey Bay
11
D
09/08/2026
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25
L
06/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay
10
L
02/08/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
32
L
Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
2W2D1L
23/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising
22
D
16/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicLexington
10
W
09/08/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
00
D
06/08/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
10
L
02/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicSporting JAX
50
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive24134741:30+1143WWWWW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United23126537:27+1042DDWLW
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs24114940:37+337WWWLL
4LexingtonLexington251141043:30+1337WWLLL
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa23106727:21+636LDWWL
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2399530:20+1036WDDDW
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2599734:40-636LLDDL
8San AntonioSan Antonio2499629:28+136LDWLL
9Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2489734:32+233WDWDW
10Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights24951031:34-332WLLLW
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2469929:35-627LDWDL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay25461525:43-1818LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2441:3043
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2337:2742
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2440:3737
4LexingtonLexington2543:3037
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa2327:2136
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2330:2036
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2534:4036
8San AntonioSan Antonio2429:2836
9Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2434:3233
10Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2431:3432
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2429:3527
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2525:4318

Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.92 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.