Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions Prediction

14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel35%RiskHighGap+5.5%
Moreton City Excelsior Rest
6 days
Lions Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.45
X
20%3.66
2
46%2.33
Double Chance
1X
54%1.49
X2
66%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.31
No
38%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.91 = 3.25
Over 1.5
84%1.07
Over 2.5
65%1.34
Over 3.5
44%1.85
Under 1.5
16%5.95
Under 2.5
35%2.83
Under 3.5
56%1.83
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'
78'
82'

Team Comparison

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
LionsLions
1527Elo Rating 1686
0.87Attack 2.22
1.35Defense 2.00
17%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals

Game State Tendencies

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LionsLions
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Moreton City Excelsior 17%Draw 19%64% Lions
2.03Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
2W1D2L
08/08/2026
OlympicMoreton City Excelsior
12
W
02/08/2026
Brisbane Roar IIMoreton City Excelsior
20
L
18/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorPeninsula Power
22
D
11/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorMagic United
43
W
04/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
21
L
LionsLions
5W0D0L
11/08/2026
LionsMelbourne City
20
W
07/08/2026
LionsBrisbane Roar II
42
W
01/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
10
W
21/07/2026
LionsPerth Glory
4020
W
18/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedLions
01
W

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Queensland NPL fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Queensland NPL

ScorePredicts covers Australia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Lions have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Moreton City Excelsior and Lions have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.03 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.