Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco Prediction

11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Mortágua Rest
21 days
Benfica Castelo Branco Rest
28 days

Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco: the result in context

Benfica Castelo Branco beat Mortágua 1-0 in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.01
X
28%3.22
2
28%3.25
Double Chance
1X
72%1.28
X2
56%1.65
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

62'

Team Comparison

MortáguaMortágua
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco
1527Elo Rating 1531
0.67Attack 1.23
1.91Defense 1.25
31%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MortáguaMortágua
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MortáguaMortágua0Wins · 0%
Draws770%
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco3Wins · 30%
1.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C10/01/2026
Benfica Castelo BrancoMortágua
31
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C10/08/2025
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco
11
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C16/02/2025
Benfica Castelo BrancoMortágua
11
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C06/10/2024
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco
00
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C21/01/2024
Benfica Castelo BrancoMortágua
20
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C03/09/2023
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco
12
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C12/03/2023
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco
22
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C27/11/2022
Benfica Castelo BrancoMortágua
00
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E21/02/2021
MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco
11
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E13/12/2020
Benfica Castelo BrancoMortágua
00

Recent Form

MortáguaMortágua
6W1D3L
20/09/2026
MortáguaLeça
02
L
13/09/2026
UD da SerraMortágua
11
D
06/09/2026
MortáguaFazendense
21
W
30/08/2026
SC CovilhaMortágua
0011
W
23/08/2026
SertanenseMortágua
13
W
16/08/2026
MortáguaNazarenos
31
W
18/04/2026
MortáguaEléctrico
21
W
12/04/2026
Vitória de SernacheMortágua
10
L
04/04/2026
MortáguaOs Marialvas
02
L
29/03/2026
MortáguaMarinhense
10
W
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco
3W2D5L
13/09/2026
Benfica Castelo BrancoAD Nogueirense
23
L
06/09/2026
FC Alverca IIBenfica Castelo Branco
01
W
29/08/2026
FátimaBenfica Castelo Branco
31
L
23/08/2026
Benfica Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
14
L
16/08/2026
Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
23
W
18/04/2026
FátimaBenfica Castelo Branco
41
L
12/04/2026
Benfica Castelo BrancoSamora Correir
12
L
04/04/2026
PenicheBenfica Castelo Branco
02
W
25/03/2026
Vitória de SernacheBenfica Castelo Branco
00
D
21/03/2026
Benfica Castelo BrancoOliveira Hospital
11
D

League Table

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oliveira HospitalOliveira Hospital641110:6+413DWWWW
2MortáguaMortágua641111:5+613WLDWW
3O ElvasO Elvas641110:5+513WLWWW
4Os MarialvasOs Marialvas641110:3+713WDWWL
5UD da SerraUD da Serra63309:6+312DWDDW
6Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco63039:12-39LWLWL
7Atlético MalveiraAtlético Malveira62228:9-18DWDWL
8Naval 1893Naval 189362136:607LDWLW
9AD NogueirenseAD Nogueirense61418:10-27LDWDD
10FC Alverca IIFC Alverca II620410:7+36WLWLL
11FátimaFátima61239:10-15DLLLW
12SertanenseSertanense60425:9-44DDLDL
13NazarenosNazarenos61145:12-74DWLLL
14FazendenseFazendense60157:17-101LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oliveira HospitalOliveira Hospital610:613
2MortáguaMortágua611:513
3O ElvasO Elvas610:513
4Os MarialvasOs Marialvas610:313
5UD da SerraUD da Serra69:612
6Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco69:129
7Atlético MalveiraAtlético Malveira68:98
8Naval 1893Naval 189366:67
9AD NogueirenseAD Nogueirense68:107
10FC Alverca IIFC Alverca II610:76
11FátimaFátima69:105
12SertanenseSertanense65:94
13NazarenosNazarenos65:124
14FazendenseFazendense67:171
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About the Mortágua vs Benfica Castelo Branco forecast

The forecasts for this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mortágua and Benfica Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Mortágua are 2nd and Benfica Castelo Branco 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Mortágua 11-5, Benfica Castelo Branco 9-12. The full standings are on the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.