O Elvas vs Sertanense Prediction

O Elvas
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sertanense
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-8.9%
O Elvas Rest
7 days
Sertanense Rest
14 days

O Elvas vs Sertanense: the result in context

O Elvas beat Sertanense 2-0 in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 27 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: O Elvas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Sertanense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.82
X
27%3.12
2
23%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
50%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'
90+7'

Team Comparison

O ElvasO Elvas
SertanenseSertanense
1523Elo Rating 1425
2.33Attack 0.34
1.91Defense 1.76
54%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

O ElvasO Elvas
  • Leads at half-time in 75% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SertanenseSertanense
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

O ElvasO Elvas1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
SertanenseSertanense0Wins · 0%
0.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C02/03/2025
SertanenseO Elvas
00
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C03/11/2024
O ElvasSertanense
10

Recent Form

O ElvasO Elvas
4W4D2L
19/09/2026
O ElvasUnião de Leiria
02
L
13/09/2026
FazendenseO Elvas
12
W
06/09/2026
O ElvasSão Roque (Açores)
90
W
23/08/2026
NazarenosO Elvas
01
W
16/08/2026
O ElvasFátima
11
D
18/04/2026
O ElvasMoncarapachense
00
D
12/04/2026
Comércio IndústriaO Elvas
00
D
04/04/2026
O ElvasFC Serpa
32
W
22/03/2026
AlcochetenseO Elvas
20
L
15/03/2026
O ElvasOriental Lisboa
00
D
SertanenseSertanense
1W3D6L
13/09/2026
SertanenseAtlético Malveira
11
D
30/08/2026
AlcainsSertanense
10
L
23/08/2026
SertanenseMortágua
13
L
16/08/2026
AD NogueirenseSertanense
11
D
13/04/2025
Benfica Castelo BrancoSertanense
10
L
06/04/2025
SertanenseAlcains
31
W
29/03/2025
Os MarialvasSertanense
21
L
16/03/2025
SertanenseMortágua
02
L
09/03/2025
Arronches e BenficaSertanense
10
L
02/03/2025
SertanenseO Elvas
00
D

League Table

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oliveira HospitalOliveira Hospital641110:6+413DWWWW
2MortáguaMortágua641111:5+613WLDWW
3O ElvasO Elvas641110:5+513WLWWW
4Os MarialvasOs Marialvas641110:3+713WDWWL
5UD da SerraUD da Serra63309:6+312DWDDW
6Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco63039:12-39LWLWL
7Atlético MalveiraAtlético Malveira62228:9-18DWDWL
8Naval 1893Naval 189362136:607LDWLW
9AD NogueirenseAD Nogueirense61418:10-27LDWDD
10FC Alverca IIFC Alverca II620410:7+36WLWLL
11FátimaFátima61239:10-15DLLLW
12SertanenseSertanense60425:9-44DDLDL
13NazarenosNazarenos61145:12-74DWLLL
14FazendenseFazendense60157:17-101LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oliveira HospitalOliveira Hospital610:613
2MortáguaMortágua611:513
3O ElvasO Elvas610:513
4Os MarialvasOs Marialvas610:313
5UD da SerraUD da Serra69:612
6Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco69:129
7Atlético MalveiraAtlético Malveira68:98
8Naval 1893Naval 189366:67
9AD NogueirenseAD Nogueirense68:107
10FC Alverca IIFC Alverca II610:76
11FátimaFátima69:105
12SertanenseSertanense65:94
13NazarenosNazarenos65:124
14FazendenseFazendense67:171
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About the O Elvas vs Sertanense forecast

The forecasts for this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

O Elvas and Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table

The table shows a wide gap: O Elvas are 3rd in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, while Sertanense sit 12th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: O Elvas 10-5, Sertanense 5-9. The full standings are on the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

O Elvas have led at half-time in 75% of their recent matches. O Elvas and Sertanense have met only 2 times recently, averaging 0.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.