Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Prediction

Motor Lublin
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin· Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Poland 31/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel51%RiskMediumGap+13.2%
Motor Lublin Rest
5 days
Jagiellonia Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%2.80
X
23%3.50
2
53%2.30
Double Chance
1X
47%1.56
X2
76%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.55
No
45%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.5 = 2.69
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
47%1.67
Over 3.5
24%2.58
Under 1.5
26%4.25
Under 2.5
53%2.18
Under 3.5
76%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
62%1.42
Over 9.5
50%1.71
Over 10.5
39%2.15
Under 8.5
38%2.55
Under 9.5
50%2.02
Under 10.5
61%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.5
69%1.41
Over 4.5
53%1.90
Under 3.5
31%2.57
Under 4.5
47%1.82

Match Events

33'N. Prelec
40'G. MontoiaFoul
62'R. Conceicao INJ. Agbonifo out
68'N. Prelec IND. Rallis out
68'J. Imaz INA. Klynge out
79'M. Legowski INP. Meyer out
79'T. Santos INM. Aiko out
82'B. VitalFoul
82'K. CzubakAssist: M. Ndiaye
85'S. LozanoAssist: K. Szmyt
86'Y. Bourhane INT. Plavotic out
87'Kikis INF. Haxha out
87'K. Szmyt INK. Jozwiak out
87'S. Lozano INA. Konstantopoulos out
90+2'K. JozwiakFoul

Lineups

Motor Lublin
4-1-4-1Coach: Mariusz Misiura
Jagiellonia
4-4-2Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
Mihai Popa71M. PopaMihai Popa
Thomas Santos29T. SantosThomas Santos
Bartosz Bereszyński18B. BereszyńskiBartosz Bereszyński
Marek Kristián Bartoš39M. Kristián BartošMarek Kristián Bartoš
Filip Luberecki24F. LubereckiFilip Luberecki
Yacine Bourhane27Y. BourhaneYacine Bourhane
Mbaye Ndiaye30M. NdiayeMbaye Ndiaye
Christopher Simon8C. SimonChristopher Simon
Mateusz Łęgowski6M. ŁęgowskiMateusz Łęgowski
Fábio Ronaldo11F. RonaldoFábio Ronaldo
Karol Czubak10K. CzubakKarol Czubak
Sławomir Abramowicz50S. AbramowiczSławomir Abramowicz
Norbert Wojtuszek15N. WojtuszekNorbert Wojtuszek
Bernardo Vital5B. VitalBernardo Vital
Yuki Kobayashi4Y. KobayashiYuki Kobayashi
Guilherme Montóia23G. MontóiaGuilherme Montóia
Rodrigo Conceição27R. ConceiçãoRodrigo Conceição
Taras Romanczuk6T. RomanczukTaras Romanczuk
Sergio Lozano21S. LozanoSergio Lozano
Kajetan Szmyt7K. SzmytKajetan Szmyt
Jesús Imaz11J. ImazJesús Imaz
Nik Prelec99N. PrelecNik Prelec

Motor Lublin Substitutes

33Gašper TratnikG
4Tin PlavotićD
5Artem AkatovD
13Krystian BrzozowskiD
2Paskal MeyerD
16Franciszek LewandowskiM
21Konrad KraskaM
22Marcel ZłomańczukM
90Dominik GregorskiF
23Florian HaxhaM
20Kacper PlichtaF
70Makan AïkoM

Jagiellonia Substitutes

1Michał PerchelG
61Bartlomiej KrasiewiczD
44Apostolos KonstantopoulosD
8Dawid DrachalM
10Jeremy AgbonifoF
2Cezary PolakD
19Ferslev Anders KlyngeM
85Eryk KozłowskiM
72Kamil JóźwiakM
80Zachary ZalewskiM
9Dimitris RallisF
17Youssuf SyllaF

Match Stats

Motor LublinJagiellonia
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
4Fouls11
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
433Total Passes523
378Passes Accurate447
87%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
JagielloniaJagiellonia
1474Elo Rating 1664
1.45Attack 1.76
1.30Defense 1.37
19%Hit Rate 54%
13.7Shots per Game 11.2
3.9Shots on Target 3.1
4.7Corners per Game 2.3
1.0Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend58% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JagielloniaJagiellonia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Motor Lublin 0%Draw 27%73% Jagiellonia
3.17Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
4W1D0L
26/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźMotor Lublin
22
D
17/07/2026
Motor LublinHapoel Katamon
20
W
11/07/2026
Motor LublinPolonia Warszawa
21
W
03/07/2026
Motor LublinWarta Poznań
41
W
27/06/2026
Motor LublinDinamo Bucuresti
31
W
JagielloniaJagiellonia
4W1D0L
25/07/2026
JagielloniaKorona Kielce
10
W
17/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandJagiellonia
12
W
16/07/2026
JagielloniaSparta Praha
10
W
12/07/2026
JagielloniaPafos
10
W
09/07/2026
PolessyaJagiellonia
00
D

Referee Profile

Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Poland · 41 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 16% of referees analysed

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze870116:8+821WWWWL
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa844016:7+916DWDDW
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan751112:6+616LWWWW
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin843111:8+315WWDDD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow842215:11+414WDWDL
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice841315:13+213WWWDL
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin733110:5+512WDDDW
8JagielloniaJagiellonia740311:10+112LWLWL
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce83329:8+112LWDWD
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice730413:11+29LLWWL
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź916213:1309DDDLD
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow82247:11-48LLLWW
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock72237:12-58WDLLL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom82246:15-98LDWDL
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw813410:13-36LLDDL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków812511:17-65DLDLL
17Motor LublinMotor Lublin81259:15-65LLLDW
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810710:18-83LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze816:821
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa816:716
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan712:616
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin811:815
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow815:1114
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice815:1313
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin710:512
8JagielloniaJagiellonia711:1012
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce89:812
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice713:119
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź913:139
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow87:118
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock77:128
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom86:158
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw810:136
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków811:175
17Motor LublinMotor Lublin89:155
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810:183
Relegation

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ekstraklasa fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ekstraklasa

ScorePredicts covers Poland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia have met 4 times recently, averaging 3.17 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.