MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II Prediction

MSV Duisburg
3-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Hoffenheim II
MSV-Arena, Duisburg·Leonidas Exuzidis 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
MSV Duisburg Rest
19 days
Hoffenheim II Rest
21 days

MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II: result, form and history

MSV Duisburg beat Hoffenheim II 3-2 in the 3. Liga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.70
X
23%3.94
2
21%3.88
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
44%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.47
No
39%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.32 + 1.11 = 3.43
Over 1.5
84%1.13
Over 2.5
65%1.44
Over 3.5
46%2.13
Under 1.5
16%5.00
Under 2.5
35%2.50
Under 3.5
54%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'Tobias FlecksteinOG
24'Diren DağdevirenFoul
39'Blessing Makanda MalekoAssist: Tiago Poller
40'Diren Dağdeviren INMatthew moore out
43'Joshua BitterFoul
44'Sean DulicFoul
45'Conor Noss INRamien Safi out
45'Martin Ens INPeter Remmert out
45'Can Coskun INFrederik Christensen out
60'Tiago PollerFoul
63'Christian Viet INAljaž Casar out
66'Jykese FieldsFoul
67'Jykese Fields INjakov dedic out
67'Yasin Zor INLion Wagenbach out
69'Lion WagenbachFoul
71'Peter Remmert
71'Lex-Tyger LobingerFoul
72'Peter RemmertAssist: Lex-Tyger Lobinger
72'Dominik Kother INPatrick Sussek out
75'Ramien SafiFoul
77'Peter RemmertAssist: Rasim Bulic
78'Peter RemmertFoul
82'Tiago Poller INAlex honajzer out
82'Tristan Spranger INMaximilian Theuer out

Lineups

MSV Duisburg
3-4-3Coach: D. Hirsch
Hoffenheim II
4-2-3-1Coach: Stefan Kleineheismann
M. Braune1M. Braune
Martin Ens4M. Ens
T. Fleckstein5T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke40B. Schlicke
J. Bitter29J. Bitter
R. Bulić6R. Bulić
C. Viet10C. Viet
C. Coşkun27C. Coşkun
C. Noß14C. Noß
L. Lobinger9L. Lobinger
D. Kother11D. Kother
L. Petersson1L. Petersson
Natnael Abraha2N. Abraha
Sean Dulic3S. Dulic
V. Lässig6V. Lässig
Tristan Spranger13T. Spranger
L. Engelns16L. Engelns
Diren Dağdeviren8D. Dağdeviren
B. Makanda17B. Makanda
Juan Tiago Esteban Poller20J. Tiago Esteban Poller
Y. B. Zor Muhammed10Y. B. Zor Muhammed
J. Fields11J. Fields

MSV Duisburg Substitutes

3F. Christensen45'for Can Coskun
20N. Jessen
8A. Casar63'for Christian Viet
17M. Besuschkow
26F. Krüger
39P. Remmert45'for Martin Ens71'72'77'78'
19Ramien Safi45'for Conor Noss75'
33T. Stahl
37P. Sussek72'for Dominik Kother

Hoffenheim II Substitutes

36J. Dedic67'for Jykese Fields
23Alex Honajzer82'for Tiago Poller
15Matthew moore40'replaced by Diren Dağdeviren
44Maxime Ndong Penda
40Pistrol Santino
47Maximilian Theuer82'for Tristan Spranger
27T. Trautner
18L. Wagenbach67'for Yasin Zor69'
26K. Čížek

Match Stats

MSV DuisburgHoffenheim II
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards5
9Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
1709Elo Rating 1576
2.34Attack 1.83
1.37Defense 1.32
50%Hit Rate 58%
11.0Shots per Game 13.1
5.1Shots on Target 6.0
3.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1Wins · 50%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

3. Liga18/04/2026
MSV DuisburgHoffenheim II
31
3. Liga21/11/2025
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
41

Recent Form

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
6W2D2L
20/09/2026
SV WehenMSV Duisburg
14
W
15/09/2026
MSV DuisburgHavelse
21
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
L
05/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
12
W
29/08/2026
MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers
30
W
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
L
15/08/2026
VerlMSV Duisburg
24
W
08/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
30
W
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
25/07/2026
Arminia BielefeldMSV Duisburg
11
D
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
4W1D5L
19/09/2026
Hoffenheim IISV Meppen
10
W
16/09/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04Hoffenheim II
12
W
13/09/2026
Hoffenheim IIFortuna Köln
22
D
06/09/2026
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachHoffenheim II
10
L
29/08/2026
Hoffenheim IISSV Jahn Regensburg
51
W
15/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfHoffenheim II
02
W
09/08/2026
Hoffenheim IIHansa Rostock
23
L
01/08/2026
FC 08 HomburgHoffenheim II
21
L
25/07/2026
Freiburg IIHoffenheim II
30
L
18/07/2026
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachHoffenheim II
20
L

Referee Profile

Leonidas Exuzidis84 matches

5.36Cards per match
5.12Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Leonidas Exuzidis5.36
Other referees4.92

5.36 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).

Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1181228:14+1425LDWWW
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1172230:15+1523WDDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1163219:13+621WLWDD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1152426:20+617LWLDW
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041152415:16-117WWWLL
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1151520:17+316WLLWW
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1151521:19+216LWLLW
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1144318:20-216DLLWD
10SV WehenSV Wehen1143419:16+315WDWWL
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1143412:14-215DLWDL
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1142516:17-114WDWDL
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1142518:20-214LWWDD
15VerlVerl1133516:22-612LLDDW
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1133513:25-1212LWDLL
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1132615:23-811LWDLL
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1124520:20010LDDWD
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln112458:12-410LLLDW
20HavelseHavelse1123616:25-99WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1128:1425
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1130:1523
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1119:1321
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1126:2017
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041115:1617
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1120:1716
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1121:1916
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1118:2016
10SV WehenSV Wehen1119:1615
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1112:1415
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1116:1714
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1118:2014
15VerlVerl1116:2212
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1113:2512
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1115:2311
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1120:2010
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln118:1210
20HavelseHavelse1116:259
PromotionRelegation

About the MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, MSV Duisburg are 1st and Hoffenheim II 8th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: MSV Duisburg 28-14, Hoffenheim II 21-19. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

MSV Duisburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Hoffenheim II have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. MSV Duisburg and Hoffenheim II have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.