Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl Prediction

Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Verl
Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf·Sebastian Hilsberg 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-10.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rest
22 days
Verl Rest
8 days

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl: the result in context

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl drew 2-2 in the 3. Liga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.73
X
25%3.80
2
27%3.89
Double Chance
1X
73%1.20
X2
52%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.52
No
40%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.64 = 3.05
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.50
Over 3.5
38%2.35
Under 1.5
19%4.75
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Andreas MüllerFoul
37'nick seidelFoul
38'Tim Christopher OberdorfAssist: Philipp Förster
45'Tim HeikeAssist: Almin mesanovic
46'Jorrit Hendrix
55'Janne BernerAssist: Mika Clausen
59'Erik WekesserFoul
67'nick seidel INRaphael Araoye out
69'Philipp Förster INJomaine Consbruch out
69'Erik Wekesser INSascha Risch out
69'Anas Slimani INJordi Paulina out
73'Jorrit Hendrix INYassine Bouchama out
78'Elias ArdenFoul
80'Joshua Eze INFabian Wessig out
84'Tim Christopher OberdorfFoul
85'Elias Arden INMarcel Benger out
86'Tim Heike INDominik Martinovic out

Lineups

Fortuna Düsseldorf
4-3-1-2Coach: A. Ende
Verl
4-2-3-1Coach: Orest Shala
L. Lord22L. Lord
S. van der Sloot2S. van der Sloot
T. Oberdorf15T. Oberdorf
L. Bornschein4L. Bornschein
E. Wekesser7E. Wekesser
A. Müller6A. Müller
E. Arden38E. Arden
J. Hendrix8J. Hendrix
P. Förster10P. Förster
A. Slimani34A. Slimani
F. Schleusener24F. Schleusener
T. Schlieck1T. Schlieck
Janne Berner34J. Berner
N. König22N. König
Nick Seidel5N. Seidel
N. Kijewski19N. Kijewski
D. Waidner8D. Waidner
J. Eze6J. Eze
M. Clausen21M. Clausen
A. Mešanović30A. Mešanović
A. Leipold20A. Leipold
T. Heike25T. Heike

Fortuna Düsseldorf Substitutes

18M. Goncalves
23F. Gerezgiher
27J. Paulina69'for Anas Slimani
1L. Rieß
28S. Risch69'for Erik Wekesser
25M. Zimmermann
14J. Consbruch69'for Philipp Förster
5Y. Bouchama73'for Jorrit Hendrix
16M. Benger85'for Elias Arden

Verl Substitutes

32F. Pekruhl
17Y. Otto
14P. Lehmann
11M. Kaube
29Emmanuel Bamba
2Raphael Araoye67'for nick seidel
23K. Rabihić
18F. Wessig80'for Joshua Eze
24D. Martinović86'for Tim Heike

Match Stats

Fortuna DüsseldorfVerl
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
VerlVerl
1562Elo Rating 1593
1.22Attack 1.50
1.38Defense 0.87
19%Hit Rate 14%
12.0Shots per Game 10.4
3.0Shots on Target 4.2
4.8Corners per Game 6.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
VerlVerl
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)

Recent Form

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
4W1D5L
19/09/2026
Alemannia AachenFortuna Düsseldorf
10
L
15/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf
12
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
W
06/09/2026
Fortuna KölnFortuna Düsseldorf
00
D
28/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfStuttgart II
10
W
23/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
15
L
15/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfHoffenheim II
02
L
07/08/2026
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Düsseldorf
21
L
25/07/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfBorussia Dortmund
21
W
18/07/2026
Lask LinzFortuna Düsseldorf
20
L
VerlVerl
3W1D6L
03/10/2026
Hannover 96Verl
20
L
18/09/2026
VerlWürzburger Kickers
21
W
15/09/2026
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachVerl
11
D
12/09/2026
VerlSV Meppen
21
W
05/09/2026
Waldhof MannheimVerl
01
W
29/08/2026
VerlFortuna Köln
12
L
24/08/2026
VerlHamburger SV
03
L
15/08/2026
VerlMSV Duisburg
24
L
09/08/2026
Alemannia AachenVerl
41
L
01/08/2026
RB LeipzigVerl
40
L

Referee Profile

Sebastian Hilsberg32 matches

5.36Cards per match
5.27Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sebastian Hilsberg5.36
Other referees4.88

5.36 cards a match, 0.48 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1181228:14+1425LDWWW
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1172230:15+1523WDDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1163219:13+621WLWDD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1152426:20+617LWLDW
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041152415:16-117WWWLL
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1151520:17+316WLLWW
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1151521:19+216LWLLW
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1144318:20-216DLLWD
10SV WehenSV Wehen1143419:16+315WDWWL
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1143412:14-215DLWDL
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1142516:17-114WDWDL
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1142518:20-214LWWDD
15VerlVerl1133516:22-612LLDDW
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1133513:25-1212LWDLL
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1132615:23-811LWDLL
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1124520:20010LDDWD
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln112458:12-410LLLDW
20HavelseHavelse1123616:25-99WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1128:1425
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1130:1523
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1119:1321
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1126:2017
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041115:1617
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1120:1716
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1121:1916
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1118:2016
10SV WehenSV Wehen1119:1615
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1112:1415
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1116:1714
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1118:2014
15VerlVerl1116:2212
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1113:2512
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1115:2311
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1120:2010
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln118:1210
20HavelseHavelse1116:259
PromotionRelegation

About the Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl forecast

The forecasts for this 3. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, Fortuna Düsseldorf are 12th and Verl 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortuna Düsseldorf 12-14, Verl 16-22. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.