Naft vs Al Karkh Prediction

Naft
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Al Karkh
14/08/2026
NaftNaft
2-0
Finished
Al KarkhAl Karkh

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel30%SurpriseHighGap+11.1%
Naft Rest
74 days
Al Karkh Rest
73 days

Naft vs Al Karkh: the result in context

Naft beat Al Karkh 2-0 in the Iraqi League on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%1.99
X
36%3.08
2
26%3.62
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
62%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.96
No
53%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.01 = 2.05
Over 1.5
59%1.37
Over 2.5
30%2.27
Over 3.5
15%4.25
Under 1.5
41%2.66
Under 2.5
70%1.55
Under 3.5
85%1.15
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'CaiqueAssist: S. Gbadebo
22'CaiqueAssist: C. M. Kouvouama
50'S. Hien

Team Comparison

NaftNaft
Al KarkhAl Karkh
1566Elo Rating 1473
1.13Attack 1.45
3.00Defense 1.26
77%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

NaftNaft
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
Al KarkhAl Karkh
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NaftNaft4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Al KarkhAl Karkh1Wins · 10%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Iraqi League06/03/2026
NaftAl Karkh
01
Iraqi League03/10/2025
Al KarkhNaft
22
Iraqi League27/04/2025
Al KarkhNaft
11
Iraqi League25/11/2024
NaftAl Karkh
10
Iraqi League17/05/2024
Al KarkhNaft
00
Iraqi League25/11/2023
NaftAl Karkh
22
Iraqi League30/05/2023
NaftAl Karkh
32
Iraqi League25/12/2022
Al KarkhNaft
01
Iraqi League19/02/2022
Al KarkhNaft
12
Iraqi League30/09/2021
NaftAl Karkh
00

Recent Form

NaftNaft
2W5D3L
01/06/2026
NaftNewroz
21
W
27/05/2026
Al Zawra'aNaft
01
W
19/05/2026
NaftDuhok
11
D
14/05/2026
NaftAl Minaa Basra
11
D
10/05/2026
Naft MaysanNaft
30
L
05/05/2026
NaftAl-Karma
00
D
01/05/2026
Al ShortaNaft
10
L
27/04/2026
NaftZakho
11
D
22/04/2026
MosulNaft
00
D
18/04/2026
DiyalaNaft
10
L
Al KarkhAl Karkh
4W3D3L
01/06/2026
Al TalabaAl Karkh
11
D
28/05/2026
Al KarkhAl Shorta
02
L
20/05/2026
Al NajafAl Karkh
25
W
15/05/2026
GharrafAl Karkh
22
D
11/05/2026
Al KarkhBaghdad
21
W
06/05/2026
Al KarkhZakho
31
W
02/05/2026
ErbilAl Karkh
10
L
27/04/2026
Al KahrabaaAl Karkh
13
W
22/04/2026
Al KarkhAl-Karma
00
D
18/04/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Karkh
30
L

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1393123:10+1330WWLDW
2NewrozNewroz1375118:5+1326WDDWW
3NaftNaft1374215:7+825LWDWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1366115:7+824WDW
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1365219:12+723WWWWD
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1363417:12+521LWLLL
7ErbilErbil1355316:9+720DDLLD
8DuhokDuhok1346320:16+418WLWLW
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1345412:13-117DDWLW
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal133739:10-116DDWWL
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1337315:18-316DDWWD
12DiyalaDiyala1335515:18-314DLDWL
13GharrafGharraf133559:15-614DWDWD
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1327414:14013LDLDW
15ZakhoZakho1334610:17-713LDWLL
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1333716:21-512WLDDL
17MosulMosul1333713:21-812LLDWL
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa132569:15-611WLLLD
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan131668:19-119LDLLD
20KarbalaKarbala1314811:25-147LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1323:1030
2NewrozNewroz1318:526
3NaftNaft1315:725
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1315:724
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1319:1223
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1317:1221
7ErbilErbil1316:920
8DuhokDuhok1320:1618
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1312:1317
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal139:1016
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1315:1816
12DiyalaDiyala1315:1814
13GharrafGharraf139:1514
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1314:1413
15ZakhoZakho1310:1713
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1316:2112
17MosulMosul1313:2112
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa139:1511
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan138:199
20KarbalaKarbala1311:257
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Naft vs Al Karkh forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Naft and Al Karkh in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Naft are 3rd and Al Karkh 16th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Naft 15-7, Al Karkh 16-21. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.