Naples vs Union Omaha Prediction

Naples
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Union Omaha
Paradise Coast Sports Complex 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.28
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseHighGap-1.0%
Naples Rest
3 days
Union Omaha Rest
4 days

Naples vs Union Omaha: the result in context

Naples beat Union Omaha 2-0 in the USL League One on 27 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Union Omaha had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Naples.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%3.25
X
13%3.50
2
73%1.96
Double Chance
1X
27%1.70
X2
86%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.55
No
56%2.24
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.17
Over 2.5
39%1.65
Over 3.5
19%2.60
Under 1.5
37%4.10
Under 2.5
61%2.10
Under 3.5
81%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'O. CissFoul
30'L. MastrantonioFoul
40'N. Likulia
45+3'L. Delgado INJ. Grant out
46'A. Billhardt INS. Ors Navarro out
51'S. Ors NavarroFoul
58'A. Mesias INC. Garcia out
58'N. Likulia INA. Ferrin out
61'E. Caceres INR. Jiba out
61'P. Botello Faz IND. Gutierrez out
73'K. Tekiela INA. Gomez out
75'A. FerrinAssist: K. O'Connor
77'G. Miglietti INT. Collins out
77'O. Ciss INA. Bulai-Tudor out
78'A. Gavilanes INM. Vargas out
85'A. Ferrin(Penalty missed)
86'J. Cisneros INT. Rose out
86'Gabriel Cabral INB. Kallman out

Team Comparison

NaplesNaples
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
1490Elo Rating 1601
1.53Attack 0.89
1.26Defense 2.03
73%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

NaplesNaples
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

NaplesNaples1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
Union OmahaUnion Omaha2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

USL League One31/05/2026
Union OmahaNaples
21
USL League One02/11/2025
NaplesUnion Omaha
4030
USL League One05/10/2025
Union OmahaNaples
21
USL League One26/05/2025
NaplesUnion Omaha
31

Recent Form

NaplesNaples
2W0D8L
23/08/2026
AltaNaples
12
W
16/08/2026
Westchester SCNaples
32
L
06/08/2026
NaplesAlta
21
W
26/07/2026
Forward MadisonNaples
31
L
12/07/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesNaples
20
L
09/07/2026
NY CosmosNaples
10
L
04/07/2026
NaplesPortland Hearts of Pine
23
L
21/06/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesNaples
10
L
14/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
43
L
07/06/2026
NaplesSarasota Paradise
02
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Naples vs Union Omaha forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Naples and Union Omaha in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Union Omaha are 2nd and Naples 8th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Naples 39-46, Union Omaha 54-34. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.