Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Geodis Park, Nashville· F. Dujic 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel64%RiskMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel60%RiskMediumGap+4.6%
Nashville SC Rest
54 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
54 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.53
X
16%4.35
2
19%5.74
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
35%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.75
No
41%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 0.86 = 2.85
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
61%1.66
Over 3.5
35%2.64
Under 1.5
16%4.33
Under 2.5
39%2.18
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.84
Over 10.5
36%2.37
Under 8.5
39%2.45
Under 9.5
50%1.88
Under 10.5
64%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.5 = 3.9
Over 3.5
60%1.62
Over 4.5
42%2.27
Under 3.5
40%2.23
Under 4.5
58%1.59

Match Events

11'A. Fortune INW. Reilly out
62'M. Edwards INR. Hernandez out
63'E. Tagseth INB. Acosta out
63'J. Bauer INA. Najar out
73'A. Qasem INA. Muyl out
73'J. Maher INJ. Palacios out
79'S. MohammedAssist: A. Muyl
83'L. Brennan INF. Picault out
83'C. Sanchez INE. Latte Lath out
85'S. Mohammed
90+5'S. Mohammed INJ. Knight out
90+10'E. Mihaj

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-4-2Coach: Brian Callaghan
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Coach: Gerardo Martino
Brian Schwake99B. SchwakeBrian Schwake
Josh Bauer22J. BauerJosh Bauer
Jack Maher5J. MaherJack Maher
Maxwell Woledzi3M. WoledziMaxwell Woledzi
Daniel Lovitz2D. LovitzDaniel Lovitz
Shakur Mohammed14S. MohammedShakur Mohammed
Matthew Corcoran16M. CorcoranMatthew Corcoran
Edvard Tagseth20E. TagsethEdvard Tagseth
Ahmed Qasem37A. QasemAhmed Qasem
Hany Mukhtar10H. MukhtarHany Mukhtar
Sam Surridge9S. SurridgeSam Surridge
Lucas Hoyos1L. HoyosLucas Hoyos
Matthew Edwards47M. EdwardsMatthew Edwards
Tomás Jacob55T. JacobTomás Jacob
Enea Mihaj4E. MihajEnea Mihaj
Elías Báez3E. BáezElías Báez
Cooper Sanchez48C. SanchezCooper Sanchez
Tristan Muyumba8T. MuyumbaTristan Muyumba
Ajani Fortune35A. FortuneAjani Fortune
Luke Brennan20L. BrennanLuke Brennan
Aleksey Miranchuk59A. MiranchukAleksey Miranchuk
Miguel Almirón10M. AlmirónMiguel Almirón

Nashville SC Substitutes

31Andy NajarD
6Bryan AcostaM
4Jeisson PalaciosD
19Alex MuylM
23Jordan KnightD
1Joe WillisG
21Thomas WilliamsD
12Charles-Emile BrunetM
17Woobens PaciusF

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

28William ReillyM
2Ronald HernándezD
9Emmanuel Latte LathF
22Fafà PicaultF
42Jayden HibbertG
18Pedro AmadorD
16Adrian GillM
56Ignacio Suarez-CouriM
30Cayman TogashiF

Match Stats

Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots5
10Fouls13
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
434Total Passes480
371Passes Accurate415
85%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1746Elo Rating 1500
1.85Attack 1.13
1.72Defense 1.45
31%Hit Rate 14%
14.9Shots per Game 15.6
4.3Shots on Target 3.2
5.3Corners per Game 7.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+246 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend34% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Nashville SC 44%Draw 34%23% Atlanta United FC
1.77Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Nashville SCNashville SC
3W1D1L
24/05/2026
Nashville SCNew York City FC
21
W
18/05/2026
Nashville SCLos Angeles FC
32
W
14/05/2026
New England RevolutionNashville SC
03
W
10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
22
D
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
L
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1W1D3L
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
L
20/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
41
L
17/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
11
D
10/05/2026
Atlanta United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
12
L
03/05/2026
Atlanta United FCCF Montreal
31
W

Referee Profile

F. Dujic · 54 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 26% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.77 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.