Navbahor vs Pakhtakor Prediction

Navbahor
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Pakhtakor
Markaziy Stadium, Namangan·I. Tantashev 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-7.1%
Navbahor Rest
6 days
Pakhtakor Rest
5 days

Navbahor vs Pakhtakor: result, form and history

Navbahor and Pakhtakor drew 1-1 in the Super League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.27
X
28%3.27
2
32%2.88
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
61%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.68
No
46%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.36 = 2.58
Over 1.5
71%1.25
Over 2.5
49%1.90
Over 3.5
30%3.16
Under 1.5
29%3.29
Under 2.5
51%1.84
Under 3.5
70%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'S. Sobirkhuzhaev
35'D. Saitov
40'D. Komilov
43'Flamarion
46'D. Komilov INU. Adkhamzoda out
49'M. Abdumazhidov
57'R. Jiyanov(Penalty missed)
58'V. Ilic
63'V. Ilic INJ. Jaloliddinov out
65'S. Chinedu INA. Hussein out
65'D. Khamdamov INB. Resan out
68'K. Norchaev INJ. Kojo out
77'O. Bozorov
81'D. Saitov INM. Karimov out
84'M. Khamraliev
88'B. Teidi INA. Rakhimzhonov out
90+5'

Team Comparison

NavbahorNavbahor
PakhtakorPakhtakor
1626Elo Rating 1703
2.49Attack 1.56
1.64Defense 2.00
58%Hit Rate 36%
-Shots per Game 19.0
-Shots on Target 4.0
-Corners per Game 5.0
-Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NavbahorNavbahor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NavbahorNavbahor3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
PakhtakorPakhtakor3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League10/03/2026
PakhtakorNavbahor
02
Super League29/11/2025
NavbahorPakhtakor
11
Super League06/07/2025
PakhtakorNavbahor
20
Super League09/11/2024
NavbahorPakhtakor
52
Cup30/08/2024
PakhtakorNavbahor
0010
Super League16/06/2024
PakhtakorNavbahor
00
Super League10/08/2023
NavbahorPakhtakor
12
Super League17/03/2023
PakhtakorNavbahor
21
Cup02/09/2022
NavbahorPakhtakor
21
Super League28/08/2022
NavbahorPakhtakor
11

Recent Form

NavbahorNavbahor
8W2D0L
11/10/2026
OlmaliqNavbahor
22
D
17/09/2026
NavbahorDinamo Samarqand
32
W
11/09/2026
BuxoroNavbahor
14
W
04/09/2026
NavbahorLokomotiv
11
D
30/08/2026
NavbahorNasaf
10
W
26/08/2026
Mash'alNavbahor
02
W
21/08/2026
NavbahorNasaf
10
W
14/08/2026
NavbahorBunyodkor
43
W
07/08/2026
SurkhonNavbahor
01
W
02/08/2026
NavbahorXorazm
51
W
PakhtakorPakhtakor
5W4D1L

Referee Profile

I. Tantashev143 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

I. Tantashev3.68
Other referees3.62

3.68 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.62).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi24174356:21+3555WDWWL
2PakhtakorPakhtakor24158143:22+2153DWWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor24137442:24+1846DDWWD
4BuxoroBuxoro24124837:32+540WWLLL
5OlmaliqOlmaliq24116734:31+339WDWLW
6LokomotivLokomotiv24116739:30+939DWLWD
7NasafNasaf24108635:22+1338DWWWW
8QizilqumQizilqum241031124:30-633WDWLW
9AndijanAndijan24931229:32-330LLLWL
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand24861035:38-330LLLWD
11SogdianaSogdiana24851141:47-629DLLDW
12SurkhonSurkhon24771019:28-928DDWLW
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191224581124:34-1023LWLLD
15XorazmXorazm24581120:34-1423DDLDL
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2456:2155
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2443:2253
3NavbahorNavbahor2442:2446
4BuxoroBuxoro2437:3240
5OlmaliqOlmaliq2434:3139
6LokomotivLokomotiv2439:3039
7NasafNasaf2435:2238
8QizilqumQizilqum2424:3033
9AndijanAndijan2429:3230
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2435:3830
11SogdianaSogdiana2441:4729
12SurkhonSurkhon2419:2828
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122424:3423
15XorazmXorazm2420:3423
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Navbahor vs Pakhtakor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Navbahor and Pakhtakor in the Super League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Pakhtakor are 2nd in the Super League, 7 points ahead of Navbahor in 3rd. League goal record so far: Navbahor 42-24, Pakhtakor 43-22. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.