NEC vs Ntugasaze Prediction

NEC
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Ntugasaze
MTN Omondi Stadium 27/10/2026
NECNEC
5-1
Finished
NtugasazeNtugasaze

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
NEC Rest
6 days
Ntugasaze Rest
14 days

NEC vs Ntugasaze: the result in context

NEC beat Ntugasaze 5-1 in the Premier League on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.21
X
18%5.00
2
9%11.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
27%3.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'J. Otim
19'I. Musa
45'J. Jarieko
68'F. Bayo
73'J. Jarieko
88'M. Oshaba

Team Comparison

NECNEC
NtugasazeNtugasaze
1618Elo Rating 1488
1.39Attack 0.54
2.30Defense 0.79
39%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+130 Elo

Game State Tendencies

NECNEC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
NtugasazeNtugasaze
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)

Recent Form

NECNEC
5W2D3L
21/10/2026
BULNEC
21
L
14/10/2026
Kigezi HomeBoyzNEC
02
W
08/10/2026
NECExpress
00
D
15/09/2026
NECURA
41
W
11/09/2026
Mbarara CityNEC
00
D
01/09/2026
NECLugazi
31
W
29/08/2026
KCCANEC
02
W
23/05/2026
CalvaryNEC
20
L
20/05/2026
NECSC Villa
14
L
13/05/2026
NECBuhimba Saints
30
W
NtugasazeNtugasaze
1W0D5L
13/10/2026
NtugasazeKCCA
02
L
07/10/2026
NtugasazeMbarara City
10
W
19/09/2026
VipersNtugasaze
30
L
08/09/2026
BULNtugasaze
41
L
02/09/2026
NtugasazeMaroons
13
L
29/08/2026
Blacks PowerNtugasaze
10
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BULBUL761015:4+1119WWDWW
2SC VillaSC Villa853016:3+1318DWWDW
3NECNEC852117:5+1217WLWDW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC74217:2+514WDWDL
5Blacks PowerBlacks Power84139:11-213DWLLL
6VipersVipers632113:2+1111DWDWW
7PolicePolice83237:11-411WDLLW
8MaroonsMaroons731313:8+510WDWLL
9KCCAKCCA63124:4010WWWDL
10KitaraKitara42205:3+28WWDD
11UPDFUPDF72234:6-28LLWWD
12LugaziLugazi72234:9-58DDLLW
13ExpressExpress81436:8-27DDLDD
14URAURA72146:10-47WLDLL
15Mbarara CityMbarara City61232:5-35LWLDD
16KatakaKataka80356:19-133DLLLD
17NtugasazeNtugasaze71064:18-143LLWLL
18Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz70162:12-101LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BULBUL715:419
2SC VillaSC Villa816:318
3NECNEC817:517
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC77:214
5Blacks PowerBlacks Power89:1113
6VipersVipers613:211
7PolicePolice87:1111
8MaroonsMaroons713:810
9KCCAKCCA64:410
10KitaraKitara45:38
11UPDFUPDF74:68
12LugaziLugazi74:98
13ExpressExpress86:87
14URAURA76:107
15Mbarara CityMbarara City62:55
16KatakaKataka86:193
17NtugasazeNtugasaze74:183
18Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz72:121

About the NEC vs Ntugasaze forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NEC and Ntugasaze in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: NEC are 3rd in the Premier League, while Ntugasaze sit 17th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: NEC 17-5, Ntugasaze 4-18. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NEC and Ntugasaze have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.