Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk Prediction

Neftchi Baku
2-4
Finished
HT 2-1
Dinamo Minsk
Neftçi Arena, Baku·Constantinos Fellas, Cyprus 22/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.43
SignalGOODModel39%SurpriseHighGap+6.6%
Neftchi Baku Rest
12 days
Dinamo Minsk Rest
5 days

Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk: result, form and history

Dinamo Minsk beat Neftchi Baku 4-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%1.95
X
22%3.15
2
40%3.95
Double Chance
1X
60%1.21
X2
61%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.05
No
53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.42 = 2.55
Over 1.5
70%1.43
Over 2.5
49%2.35
Over 3.5
21%4.35
Under 1.5
30%2.61
Under 2.5
51%1.54
Under 3.5
79%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'E. MahmudovAssist: Gustavo Klismahn
8'A. SelyavaOG
36'K. VardanyanAssist: E. Malashevich
45+2'F. Abdullahi
46'E. Balayev INR. Cafarov out
47'E. MalashevichAssist: K. Vardanyan
54'F. Sacko
57'K. VardanyanAssist: M. Djimet
59'A. Zhechko INA. Sokolovskiy out
60'E. Mahmudov INI. Mathew out
60'M. Seck INR. Abbasov out
60'S. D'Almeida INE. Safarov out
66'Breno Almeida INB. Sambou out
73'M. Djimet ING. Alykulov out
73'K. Vardanyan INL. Gweth out
76'G. Alykulov(Penalty missed)
76'G. Alykulov
90+2'A. Toure INA. Vakulich out

Lineups

Neftchi Baku
4-3-3Coach: Yuri Vernidub
Dinamo Minsk
4-3-3Coach: Aleksandr Shagoyko
Emil Balayev1E. Balayev
Falaye Sacko77F. Sacko
Andreaw Gravillon55A. Gravillon
Igor5Igor
Moustapha Seck24M. Seck
Gustavo Klismahn20G. Klismahn
Sessi D'Almeida6S. D'Almeida
Emin Mahmudov8E. Mahmudov
Breno Almeida33B. Almeida
Lubomir Tupta29L. Tupta
Imad Faraj11I. Faraj
Ivan Shimakovich1I. Shimakovich
Gleb Gurban44G. Gurban
Aleksey Ivanov12A. Ivanov
Vladislav Kalinin26V. Kalinin
Abdoul Aziz Toure25A. Aziz Toure
Aleksey Zhechko23A. Zhechko
Aleksandr Selyava8A. Selyava
Fawaz Abdullahi42F. Abdullahi
Moustapha Djimet30M. Djimet
Karen Vardanyan10K. Vardanyan
Yevgeniy Malashevich7Y. Malashevich

Neftchi Baku Substitutes

93Rza Cəfərov46'for E. Balayev
3Rüfat Abbasov60'for M. Seck
7Emil Safarov
18Ifeanyi Mathew60'for E. Mahmudov
97Bassala Sambou66'for Breno Almeida
13Kenan Pirić
14Elvin Badalov
17Murad Khachayev
80Aslan Shirinov
82Mahammad Mammadli
4Elvin Camalov
91Agadadas Salyanskiy

Dinamo Minsk Substitutes

78Artem Sokolovskiy59'for A. Zhechko
11Gulzhigit Alykulov73'for M. Djimet76'
21Danila Radkevich
24Aleksey Vakulich90+2'for A. Toure
3Maksim Shvetsov
27Mikhail Aleksandrov
2Matsvei Dubatouka
5Daniil Dushevskiy
13Vladislav Poloz
19Rayan-Elie Guibero
9Andrei Lutskovich
80Leonard Chatelin Gweth73'for K. Vardanyan

Team Comparison

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
1674Elo Rating 1700
1.88Attack 2.36
1.76Defense 2.20
31%Hit Rate 100%
-Shots per Game 10.8
-Shots on Target 5.0
-Corners per Game 6.2
-Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)

Recent Form

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
7W1D2L
10/07/2026
Radnicki NISNeftchi Baku
03
W
06/07/2026
FK PartizanNeftchi Baku
10
L
23/05/2026
KapazNeftchi Baku
01
W
17/05/2026
Sabah FANeftchi Baku
12
W
10/05/2026
Neftchi BakuŞamaxı FK
30
W
05/05/2026
KarvanNeftchi Baku
03
W
30/04/2026
Neftchi BakuQarabag
21
W
26/04/2026
Neftchi BakuQarabag
15
L
17/04/2026
ZiraNeftchi Baku
11
D
11/04/2026
Neftchi BakuAraz
21
W
Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
7W2D1L
16/07/2026
SileksDinamo Minsk
5061
W
09/07/2026
Dinamo MinskSileks
01
L
02/07/2026
FC MinskDinamo Minsk
03
W
27/06/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Vitebsk
11
D
21/06/2026
NemanDinamo Minsk
13
W
17/06/2026
FC SlutskDinamo Minsk
02
W
13/06/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Gomel
21
W
30/05/2026
ArsenalDinamo Minsk
01
W
24/05/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Dnepr Mogilev
31
W
20/05/2026
Bate BorisovDinamo Minsk
00
D

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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Larne
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Brighton
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KI Klaksvik
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PAOK
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Vikingur Reykjavik
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Gornik Zabrze
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Monaco
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Hradec Králové
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SC Freiburg
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Atalanta
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Heart Of Midlothian
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Rangers
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Shamrock Rovers
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KuPS
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Pafos
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Getafe
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Tromso
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HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
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Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
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Twente
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FC Midtjylland
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Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
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Floriana
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Drita
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Atert Bissen
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Gyori ETO FC
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Neftchi Baku
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Başakşehir
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Vardar Skopje
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Riga
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Spartak Trnava
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CSKA 1948
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Železničar Pančevo
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SC Braga
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Hibernian
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Austria Vienna
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CFR 1907 Cluj
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Panevėžys
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FK Tobol Kostanay
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HJK Helsinki
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Coleraine FC
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Flora Tallinn
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The New Saints
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Debreceni VSC
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Apollon Limassol
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AEK Larnaca
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Beitar Jerusalem
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Raków Częstochowa
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Valletta FC
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Dunajska Streda
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Vestri
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Gais
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FC Nordsjaelland
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FC Sion
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Rapid Vienna
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Zimbru
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FC Noah
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ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded

About the Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Neftchi Baku have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Dinamo Minsk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Neftchi Baku and Dinamo Minsk have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.