Vardar Skopje vs Riga Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 2
Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje· Philip Farrugia, Malta 22/07/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+6.0%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42SignalGOODModel39%RiskHighGap+13.4%
Vardar Skopje Rest
8 days
Riga Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%3.10
X21%3.40
241%2.15
Double Chance
1X59%1.64
X262%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.57
No53%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.17 = 2.63
Over 1.571%1.21
Over 2.552%1.70
Over 3.523%2.65
Under 1.529%3.95
Under 2.548%2.08
Under 3.577%1.42
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
15'Mislav MatićFoul
20'Baba MusahFoul
21'Orlando GaloFoul
28'D. Castaneda
35'O. GaloAssist: R. Jurkovskis
39'Iago SiqueiraAssist: O. Galo
43'Raivis JurkovskisFoul
52'Salah Oulad M'HandFoul
57'S. Oulad M'Hand INCaio Ferreira out
59'Miguel Pires ING. Zakaric out
59'B. Nikolov INN. Bosancic out
66'G. RodriguesAssist: G. Zakaric
67'M. Badamosi INReginaldo Ramires out
67'R. Aouani INPaulo Eduardo out
81'Iago SiqueiraAssist: A. Salazar
87'O. Galo INK. Wassom out
90+1'Filip NajdovskiFoul
Lineups
Vardar SkopjeRiga
3-5-2Coach: Adrian Gula
95D. TaleskiDavor Taleski
21G. JankulovGeorgije Jankulov
5F. NajdovskiFilip Najdovski
4M. MatićMislav Matić
3M. ManevskiMihail Manevski
8B. NikolovBoban Nikolov
6D. BabunskiDavid Babunski
32D. CastañedaDiego Castañeda
71M. PiresMiguel Pires
9A. OmeragikjAzer Omeragikj
7G. RodriguesGerson Rodrigues
91F. OrolsFrenks Orols
13R. JurkovskisRaivis Jurkovskis
21B. MusahBaba Musah
34A. ČernomordijsAntonijs Černomordijs
4O. GaloOrlando Galo
18S. Oulad M'HandSalah Oulad M'Hand
40A. AnkrahAhmed Ankrah
8I. Siqueira AugustoIago Siqueira Augusto
17A. SalazarAndrés Salazar
19M. BadamosiMuhammed Badamosi
7R. AouaniRaki AouaniVardar Skopje Substitutes
88Nemanja BosančićM
10Goran ZakarićF
1Daniel DikovskiG
18Nenad MiskovskiD
27Filip CvetkovskiD
22Dimitar TodorovskiM
23Filip DuranskiM
34Ian PuleioM
17Ediz SpahiuF
49Dimitar DanevF
31Ivo MarkovskiF
Riga Substitutes
99Caio FerreiraF
33PauloD
10Reginaldo RamiresF
5Karl Gameni WassomD
31Athanasios PapadoudisG
44Marcis KazainisG
3AbnerD
23Maksims TonisevsD
11Brian PeñaM
22Meïssa DiopM
25Abdulrahman TaiwoF
Team Comparison
Vardar SkopjeRiga1677Elo Rating 1756
2.97Attack 1.97
1.88Defense 1.20
56%Hit Rate 34%
-Shots on Target 5.0
-Corners per Game 8.0
-Cards per Game 4.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
Game State Tendencies
Vardar Skopje- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Riga- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Vardar Skopje3W1D1L
14/07/2026
KuPSVardar Skopje
07/07/2026KuPSVardar Skopje2012
WVardar SkopjeKuPS02
L30/06/2026
VirtusVardar Skopje
VirtusVardar Skopje23
W27/06/2026
La FioritaVardar Skopje
La FioritaVardar Skopje11
D23/05/2026Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
Vardar SkopjeShkendija30
WRiga4W0D1L
18/07/2026Riga
Tukums
14/07/2026RigaTukums31
WRiga
Ararat-Armenia32
W10/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga
07/07/2026Leevon / PPKRiga23
WArarat-ArmeniaRiga20
L03/07/2026Riga
FS Jelgava
RigaFS Jelgava30
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 2 |  Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 3 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 4 |  Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 5 |  SC Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 6 |  Brann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 7 |  Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 8 |  FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 9 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 10 |  CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 11 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 12 |  SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 13 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 14 |  Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 15 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 16 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 17 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 18 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 19 |  FK Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 20 |  Kairat Almaty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 21 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 22 | KuPS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 23 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 24 |  FC Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 26 |  Mjallby AIF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 27 |  Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 28 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 29 |  Pafos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 30 |  Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 31 | Riga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 32 |  St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 33 |  FC Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 34 |  Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 35 |  Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| 36 |  Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aarhus | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ajax | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Braga | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Brann | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Brighton | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Gent | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Getafe | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | FK Jablonec | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Kairat Almaty | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | KuPS | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | FC Lugano | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Mjallby AIF | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | Monaco | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | Pafos | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 30 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 31 | Riga | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 32 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 33 | FC Thun | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 34 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 35 | Twente | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 36 | Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonacoSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hradec KrálovéAtalanta
RangersHeart Of Midlothian
Shamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafos
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Hammarby FFInter Club d'Escaldes
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
BaşakşehirVardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC Nordsjaelland
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Universitatea ClujBrann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
PaksPanathinaikos
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
Aluminij
VojvodinaAjax
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
DukagjiniBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenHammarby FFInter Club d'EscaldesDynamo KyivQarabagTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenHammarby FFInter Club d'EscaldesDynamo KyivQarabagTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriVardar Skopje vs Riga Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa Conference League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Vardar Skopje and Riga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.