New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park 07/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.39
SignalSTRONGModel9%SurpriseHigh
New Mexico United Rest
7 days
Phoenix Rising Rest
6 days

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: result, form and history

New Mexico United beat Phoenix Rising 4-0 in the USL League One Cup on 7 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

New Mexico United have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.19
X
32%3.45
2
35%2.79
Double Chance
1X
65%1.35
X2
67%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.53
No
56%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.65
Over 3.5
19%2.62
Under 1.5
37%4.05
Under 2.5
61%2.08
Under 3.5
81%1.39
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+1'N. Reid-StephenAssist: C. Gloster
46'D. Flores INC. Smith out
46'D. Gomez ING. Rivera out
53'O. Jabang
64'P. Mar Boye INJ. Moursou out
64'G. Studenhofft INI. Sacko out
66'O. Jabang ING. Zelalem out
66'N. Reid-Stephen INC. Nava out
66'M. Howell INC. Wilkerson out
70'V. NoelAssist: C. Nava
75'N. Cross IND. Rivera out
76'C. Smith
81'G. Hurst INJ. Rennicks out
85'D. Harris
86'V. Noel INT. Blackett out

Team Comparison

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
1581Elo Rating 1460
2.15Attack 1.91
2.69Defense 0.97
83%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

USL Championship12/04/2026
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
30
USL Championship05/10/2025
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
01
USL Championship11/05/2025
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
12
USL Championship04/11/2024
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
21
USL Championship10/10/2024
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
12
USL Championship31/03/2024
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
01
USL Championship08/10/2023
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
12
USL Championship22/06/2023
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
13
US Open Cup27/04/2023
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
21
USL Championship25/05/2022
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
70

Recent Form

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
4W2D4L
31/05/2026
Hartford AthleticNew Mexico United
00
D
24/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedCharleston Battery
10
W
21/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
01
L
17/05/2026
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico United
40
L
10/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
31
W
07/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
22
D
12/04/2026
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
30
L
05/04/2026
Orange County SCNew Mexico United
01
W
02/04/2026
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso Locomotive
04
L
28/03/2026
New Mexico UnitedColorado Springs
32
W
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
6W1D3L
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
W
24/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
30
L
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
W
10/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
11
D
03/05/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPhoenix Rising
01
W
19/04/2026
Miami FCPhoenix Rising
03
W
16/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
20
L
12/04/2026
Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United
30
W
05/04/2026
Sacramento RepublicPhoenix Rising
20
L
02/04/2026
Orange County SCPhoenix Rising
1121
W

League Table

USL League One Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Louisville CityLouisville City440013:4+912WDW
2Colorado SpringsColorado Springs440010:1+912WWW
3Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies440010:1+912WWW
4San AntonioSan Antonio44006:1+512WWW
5Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence44008:4+412DWD
6Miami FCMiami FC430111:5+69WL
7Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery43019:4+59DDW
8Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion43018:3+59WWD
9Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic43018:3+59WWW
10Rhode IslandRhode Island43017:3+49DWL
11Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic43017:3+49LDW
12BoiseBoise43019:6+39WLW
13New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United43018:5+39WWL
14Indy ElevenIndy Eleven43017:4+39DWD
15One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville43016:4+29DDL
16Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity43016:609WWW
17BrooklynBrooklyn42029:5+46DWL
18Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds42026:3+36WDD
19LexingtonLexington42028:806LDD
20El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive42025:506LLW
21Detroit CityDetroit City42024:406WDDW
22AltaAlta42025:6-16WWL
23Union OmahaUnion Omaha420210:12-26LWL
24Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine42027:10-36DLW
25Monterey BayMonterey Bay41038:10-23LDL
26Oakland RootsOakland Roots41034:6-23LWL
27Sporting JAXSporting JAX41033:5-23LD
28FC TulsaFC Tulsa41034:7-33LLW
29Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph41034:7-33LLW
30Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights41034:7-33WLL
31Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United41034:7-33LLW
32Forward MadisonForward Madison41036:10-43WLL
33Westchester SCWestchester SC41036:10-43LLL
34Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi41032:6-43DLL
35Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising41033:8-53LLW
36NY CosmosNY Cosmos41035:11-63DLW
37NaplesNaples41033:9-63LLD
38Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers41033:9-63WLL
39Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise41032:9-73LW
40Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves40042:7-50LDD
41Fort WayneFort Wayne40046:12-60LLD
42Orange County SCOrange County SC40043:9-60LLL

About the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising in the USL League One Cup table

In the USL League One Cup table, New Mexico United are 13th and Phoenix Rising 35th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: New Mexico United 8-5, Phoenix Rising 3-8. The full standings are on the USL League One Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

New Mexico United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Phoenix Rising have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.