Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Sacramento Republic
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 5-3
Monterey Bay
Heart Health Park 07/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.83
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMedium
Sacramento Republic Rest
7 days
Monterey Bay Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.61
X
26%3.61
2
18%4.80
Double Chance
1X
82%1.12
X2
44%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.83
No
56%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.27
Over 2.5
38%1.86
Over 3.5
18%3.20
Under 1.5
36%3.32
Under 2.5
62%1.83
Under 3.5
82%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'K. Egwu
30'J. Timmer
37'K. Edwards INC. Ukaegbu out
45+2'T. Wolff
46'M. Rodriguez INB. Willey out
46'N. Ross INR. Nakamura out
46'L. Malesevic INO. Glasgow out
46'G. Lomtadze INE. Blancas out
53'R. Bidois
58'S. Ritchie
60'M. Benitez(Penalty)
61'S. Lletget INW. Leggett out
61'R. Bidois INI. Paul out
67'D. Crisostomo INM. Malango out
67'D. Wanner INR. Spaulding out
80'T. Wolff INP. Reedy out

Penalty Shootout5 - 3

1M. Kaye(Penalty)
1E. Blancas(Penalty)
2M. Benitez(Penalty)
2I. Paul(Penalty missed)
3L. Desmond(Penalty)
3O. Glasgow(Penalty)
4M. Malango(Penalty)
4W. Leggett(Penalty)
5R. Spaulding(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
1544Elo Rating 1323
1.17Attack 1.14
2.24Defense 1.05
41%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+221 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sacramento Republic 34%Draw 44%23% Monterey Bay
1.91Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
2W1D2L
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
L
24/05/2026
San AntonioSacramento Republic
21
L
17/05/2026
Oakland RootsSacramento Republic
01
W
03/05/2026
Sacramento RepublicOrange County SC
32
W
22/04/2026
BrooklynSacramento Republic
11
D
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
2W0D3L
31/05/2026
Monterey BayLoudoun United
41
W
24/05/2026
Monterey BayBirmingham Legion
20
W
17/05/2026
BoiseMonterey Bay
43
L
09/05/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
31
L
04/05/2026
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
12
L

League Table

USL League One Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Louisville CityLouisville City440013:4+912WDW
2Colorado SpringsColorado Springs440010:1+912WWW
3Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies440010:1+912WWW
4San AntonioSan Antonio44006:1+512WWW
5Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence44008:4+412DWD
6Miami FCMiami FC430111:5+69WL
7Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery43019:4+59DDW
8Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion43018:3+59WWD
9Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic43018:3+59WWW
10Rhode IslandRhode Island43017:3+49DWL
11Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic43017:3+49LDW
12BoiseBoise43019:6+39WLW
13New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United43018:5+39WWL
14Indy ElevenIndy Eleven43017:4+39DWD
15One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville43016:4+29DDL
16Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity43016:609WWW
17BrooklynBrooklyn42029:5+46DWL
18Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds42026:3+36WDD
19LexingtonLexington42028:806LDD
20El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive42025:506LLW
21Detroit CityDetroit City42024:406WDDW
22AltaAlta42025:6-16WWL
23Union OmahaUnion Omaha420210:12-26LWL
24Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine42027:10-36DLW
25Monterey BayMonterey Bay41038:10-23LDL
26Oakland RootsOakland Roots41034:6-23LWL
27Sporting JAXSporting JAX41033:5-23LD
28FC TulsaFC Tulsa41034:7-33LLW
29Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph41034:7-33LLW
30Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights41034:7-33WLL
31Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United41034:7-33LLW
32Forward MadisonForward Madison41036:10-43WLL
33Westchester SCWestchester SC41036:10-43LLL
34Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi41032:6-43DLL
35Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising41033:8-53LLW
36NY CosmosNY Cosmos41035:11-63DLW
37NaplesNaples41033:9-63LLD
38Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers41033:9-63WLL
39Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise41032:9-73LW
40Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves40042:7-50LDD
41Fort WayneFort Wayne40046:12-60LLD
42Orange County SCOrange County SC40043:9-60LLL

Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL League One Cup fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL League One Cup

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.91 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.