New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction

New York City II
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 8-7
Philadelphia Union II
Belson Stadium 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalGOODModel33%RiskHighGap+7.6%
New York City II Rest
6 days
Philadelphia Union II Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.35
X
25%3.70
2
35%2.42
Double Chance
1X
66%1.45
X2
60%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.38
No
40%2.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.46 = 3.16
Over 1.5
83%1.09
Over 2.5
63%1.42
Over 3.5
37%2.06
Under 1.5
17%5.60
Under 2.5
37%2.57
Under 3.5
63%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'J. Griffin
51'I. MendozaOG
58'S. Korzeniowski
63'S. Reid INJ. Bilden out
65'K. LeBlanc ING. Sequera out
66'J. Ponce
67'G. Sequera
69'O. Benitez
80'M. De Paula
82'J. Griffin INK. Moore out
82'S. Korzeniowski INS. Olivas out
82'I. Mendoza INA. Diop out
85'A. Campos INL. Sunjic out
85'E. Samb INJ. Suchecki out
90+1'E. Davis III INW. Ferreira out
90+5'L. Sunjic
90+8'O. Benitez
90+8'O. Benitez
90+10'J. Loiola
90+10'K. Moore
90+10'G. Sequera
90+10'G. Sequera

Penalty Shootout8 - 7

1C. Flax(Penalty)
1M. Jakupovic(Penalty)
2P. Molinari(Penalty)
2R. Uzcategui(Penalty)
3K. Pierre(Penalty)
3K. Moore(Penalty)
4J. Suchecki(Penalty)
4W. Ferreira(Penalty)
5J. Ponce(Penalty)
5M. De Paula(Penalty)
6J. Lopez(Penalty)
6F. Sundstrom(Penalty)
7L. Sunjic(Penalty)
7A. Diop(Penalty)
8M. Murray(Penalty)
8S. Olivas(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

New York City IINew York City II
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II
1496Elo Rating 1524
1.86Attack 2.25
1.29Defense 1.26
64%Hit Rate 83%

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend39% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

New York City IINew York City II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York City II 27%Draw 0%73% Philadelphia Union II
3.23Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Recent Form

New York City IINew York City II
2W0D3L
26/07/2026
Atlanta United IINew York City II
32
L
23/07/2026
New England IINew York City II
30
L
12/07/2026
Crown LegacyNew York City II
03
W
27/06/2026
Connecticut FCNew York City II
14
W
22/06/2026
New York City IIChattanooga
4151
L
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II
2W0D3L
26/07/2026
ChattanoogaPhiladelphia Union II
40
L
19/07/2026
Columbus Crew IIPhiladelphia Union II
20
L
12/07/2026
Philadelphia Union IIHuntsville City
5030
W
05/07/2026
New England IIPhiladelphia Union II
04
W
29/06/2026
New York RB IIPhiladelphia Union II
50
L

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Mls Next Pro — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II281701149:43+648DDLWL
2New England IINew England II281601247:42+548WDDLL
3New York City IINew York City II281601250:44+647DWWLL
4Connecticut FCConnecticut FC281601259:52+746WLLLW
5New York RB IINew York RB II281501358:48+1046LDLWW
6Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II281401437:40-343DWWWL
7Toronto IIToronto II281301548:56-839LLWWL
8FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II28702132:62-3020LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II2849:4348
2New England IINew England II2847:4248
3New York City IINew York City II2850:4447
4Connecticut FCConnecticut FC2859:5246
5New York RB IINew York RB II2858:4846
6Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II2837:4043
7Toronto IIToronto II2848:5639
8FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II2832:6220

Mls Next Pro — Group 5

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy28200867:39+2858WDWLW
2ChattanoogaChattanooga28190956:39+1756WWWWL
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II281501362:46+1648WLWDW
4Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II281701149:43+648DDLWL
5New England IINew England II281601247:42+548WDDLL
6New York City IINew York City II281601250:44+647DWWLL
7Connecticut FCConnecticut FC281601259:52+746WLLLW
8New York RB IINew York RB II281501358:48+1046LDLWW
9Huntsville CityHuntsville City281401449:47+244WWLWW
10Orlando City IIOrlando City II281501355:56-144LWWWL
11Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II281401437:40-343DWWWL
12Toronto IIToronto II281301548:56-839LLWWL
13Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II281301550:48+239LLLLW
14Carolina CoreCarolina Core281001840:53-1331DDDLL
15FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II28702132:62-3020LDLLW
16Inter Miami IIInter Miami II28402430:74-4415LLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy2867:3958
2ChattanoogaChattanooga2856:3956
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II2862:4648
4Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II2849:4348
5New England IINew England II2847:4248
6New York City IINew York City II2850:4447
7Connecticut FCConnecticut FC2859:5246
8New York RB IINew York RB II2858:4846
9Huntsville CityHuntsville City2849:4744
10Orlando City IIOrlando City II2855:5644
11Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II2837:4043
12Toronto IIToronto II2848:5639
13Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II2850:4839
14Carolina CoreCarolina Core2840:5331
15FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II2832:6220
16Inter Miami IIInter Miami II2830:7415
Promotion

New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this MLS Next Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About MLS Next Pro

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

New York City II and Philadelphia Union II have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.23 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.