New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison· F. Dujic 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+10.1%
New York Red Bulls Rest
7 days
Orlando City SC Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.25
X
23%4.00
2
35%2.70
Double Chance
1X
66%1.44
X2
58%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.30
No
39%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.33 = 2.74
Over 1.5
81%1.08
Over 2.5
61%1.30
Over 3.5
37%1.80
Under 1.5
19%7.50
Under 2.5
39%3.40
Under 3.5
63%2.00
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
60%1.44
Over 9.5
46%1.75
Over 10.5
32%2.23
Under 8.5
40%2.50
Under 9.5
54%1.97
Under 10.5
68%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
59%1.45
Over 4.5
36%1.91
Under 3.5
41%2.52
Under 4.5
64%1.79

Match Events

23'M. JimenezAssist: G. Berggren
27'D. Nealis
43'E. ForsbergAssist: C. Cowell
46'A. Gomez INB. Rhein out
46'Tiago INT. Spicer out
52'T. SpicerAssist: B. Ojeda
59'J. Che
60'M. JimenezAssist: C. Cowell
62'E. Atuesta INLuis Otavio out
63'G. DorseyAssist: A. Griezmann
69'I. Angulo
70'M. Jimenez INM. Sofo out
72'G. Dorsey INZ. Taifi out
75'D. Nealis INT. Parker out
75'M. Dos Santos INJ. Marshall-Rutty out
85'C. Cowell INC. Harper out
85'E. Forsberg INN. Benedetti out
87'J. Ellis INH. Sarajian out
88'H. Sarajian
90+6'J. Marshall-Rutty

Lineups

New York Red Bulls
4-3-3
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Coach: Oscar Pareja
Ethan Horvath34E. HorvathEthan Horvath
Dylan Nealis12D. NealisDylan Nealis
Justin Che2J. CheJustin Che
Julián Bazán14J. BazánJulián Bazán
Matthew Dos Santos56M. Dos SantosMatthew Dos Santos
Ronald Donkor48R. DonkorRonald Donkor
Gustav Berggren4G. BerggrenGustav Berggren
Emil Forsberg10E. ForsbergEmil Forsberg
Cade Cowell7C. CowellCade Cowell
Mijahir Jimenez91M. JimenezMijahir Jimenez
Julian Hall16J. HallJulian Hall
Maxime Crépeau71M. CrépeauMaxime Crépeau
Griffin Dorsey24G. DorseyGriffin Dorsey
David Brekalo4D. BrekaloDavid Brekalo
Robin Jansson6R. JanssonRobin Jansson
Adrián Marín3A. MarínAdrián Marín
Iván Angulo77I. AnguloIván Angulo
Braian Ojeda8B. OjedaBraian Ojeda
Eduard Atuesta20E. AtuestaEduard Atuesta
Tiago Souza11T. SouzaTiago Souza
Justin Ellis22J. EllisJustin Ellis
Antoine Griezmann7A. GriezmannAntoine Griezmann

New York Red Bulls Substitutes

77John McCarthyG
3Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyD
6Robert VoloderD
26Tim ParkerD
80Nathan WorthM
17Cameron HarperF
39Nehuen BenedettiM
37Mohammed SofoF
33Roald MitchellF

Orlando City SC Substitutes

12Javier OteroG
57Iago SilvaD
44Bernardo RheinF
19Zakaria TaifiM
5Luis OtávioM
16Wilder CartagenaM
23Harvey SarajianF
65Gustavo CaraballoM
14Tyrese SpicerF

Match Stats

New York Red BullsOrlando City SC
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box16
4Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots8
10Fouls10
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
397Total Passes591
331Passes Accurate527
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
1529Elo Rating 1641
0.64Attack 2.13
2.19Defense 1.65
50%Hit Rate 59%
10.5Shots per Game 12.4
2.8Shots on Target 6.5
4.9Corners per Game 4.1
2.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York Red Bulls 58%Draw 42%0% Orlando City SC
1.89Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
2W1D2L
26/07/2026
New York Red BullsCharlotte
02
L
23/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
31
L
24/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls
12
W
17/05/2026
New York Red BullsNew York City FC
11
D
14/05/2026
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew
32
W
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
3W1D1L
26/07/2026
Orlando City SCNashville SC
10
W
23/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
04
W
24/05/2026
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC
62
L
20/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
41
W
17/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
11
D

Referee Profile

F. Dujic · 54 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 26% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami25129461:46+1545DDDWL
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2561:4645
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Orlando City SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.89 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.