NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction

Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb·Patrik Pavlesic 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Rest
20 days
NK Varazdin Rest
21 days

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin: result, form and history

NK Varazdin beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 in the HNL on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.21
X
28%3.41
2
44%2.06
Double Chance
1X
56%1.66
X2
72%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.47 = 2.62
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.78
Over 3.5
31%2.98
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
47%1.97
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.53
Over 9.5
53%1.91
Over 10.5
43%2.42
Under 8.5
36%2.32
Under 9.5
47%1.81
Under 10.5
57%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

25'Marko VešovićDissent
40'luka mamicAssist: Petar Bočkaj
45'matija subotic INFeta Fetai out
45'Marko Vešović INDušan Vuković out
45'jakov vasilj INIvan katic out
55'Ivan Posavec INSven Lesjak out
67'Kristijan ČabrajićFoul
71'Kristijan Čabrajić INKayke Rodrigo Souza de Abreu out
71'Petar Bočkaj INTomislav Duvnjak out
74'dominik thaqiFoul
75'Fran KaračićDissent
78'Mario Marina INDavid Puclin out
80'dominik thaqi INNoel Durkovic out
82'Ivan CanjugaFoul
85'Dušan VukovićDissent

Lineups

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Jelavić
NK Varazdin
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Šafarić
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating7.23
J. Posavec6.512J. Posavec
F. Karačić5.913F. Karačić
J. Gurlica7.32J. Gurlica
T. Triantafyllou6.94T. Triantafyllou
K. Čabrajić5.920K. Čabrajić
L. Belcar6.69L. Belcar
M. Subotić6.810M. Subotić
M. Vešović6.123M. Vešović
J. Vasilj6.429J. Vasilj
Dominik Thaqi6.315D. Thaqi
M. Marić6.324M. Marić
J. Silić7.933J. Silić
F. Maglica7.723F. Maglica
M. Mladenovski7.213M. Mladenovski
N. Tepšić7.616N. Tepšić
E. Duraković7.13E. Duraković
I. Canjuga6.528I. Canjuga
M. Marina6.624M. Marina
P. Bočkaj7.712P. Bočkaj
L. Mamić8.222L. Mamić
I. Posavec7.321I. Posavec
A. Latković6.710A. Latković

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Substitutes

16Kayke71'for Kristijan Čabrajić6.0
7D. Vuković45'for Marko Vešović85'7.1
28N. Đurković80'for dominik thaqi6.2
6F. Fetai45'for matija subotic7.0
8I. Katić45'for jakov vasilj6.1
11Lovre Kulušić
14M. Lorber
26M. Dardan
32L. Savatović
25P. Smiljanic

NK Varazdin Substitutes

44M. Barać
17V. Akrap
11E. Uchegbu
8T. Duvnjak71'for Petar Bočkaj6.8
20G. Sikošek
6D. Puclin78'for Mario Marina6.9
30L. Posinkovic
19L. Lukanić
5Sven Lesjak55'for Ivan Posavec7.1
9S. Jurić
31Rino Grubišić

Match Stats

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots8
17Fouls11
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
486Total Passes357
407Passes Accurate285
84%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
1547Elo Rating 1647
1.38Attack 1.12
2.02Defense 2.40
41%Hit Rate 37%
12.1Shots per Game 13.0
4.7Shots on Target 2.8
4.5Corners per Game 4.4
3.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • No tendency data available
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs27/06/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
21
HNL09/05/2026
NK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
11
HNL07/03/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
11
HNL07/12/2025
NK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
42
HNL20/09/2025
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
10
HNL26/04/2025
NK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
21
HNL21/02/2025
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
10
HNL23/11/2024
NK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
11
HNL01/09/2024
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
01
HNL13/04/2024
NK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
02

Referee Profile

Patrik Pavlesic51 matches

4.67Cards per match
4.38Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patrik Pavlesic4.67
Other referees4.21

4.67 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1071219:9+1022WWLWW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb961223:12+1119WLWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1053214:8+618LWDDD
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1052319:15+417DLDWL
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka952216:12+417WLWDW
6Istra 1961Istra 19611033417:16+112LWLWD
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1031613:17-410WLLDL
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1031612:22-1010LWDLW
9RudesRudes1021713:27-147LWDLL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica101367:15-86DLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1019:922
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb923:1219
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1014:818
4NK OsijekNK Osijek1019:1517
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka916:1217
6Istra 1961Istra 19611017:1612
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1013:1710
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1012:2210
9RudesRudes1013:277
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica107:156
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Varazdin in the HNL table

The table shows a wide gap: NK Varazdin are 3rd in the HNL, while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 7th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 13-17, NK Varazdin 14-8. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.