NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin Prediction

Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš, Koprivnica· Duje Strukan, Croatia 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.74
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+11.9%
NK Slaven Belupo Rest
8 days
NK Varazdin Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%2.46
X
25%3.25
2
51%2.67
Double Chance
1X
49%1.40
X2
76%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.67
No
46%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.78 = 2.83
Over 1.5
81%1.27
Over 2.5
57%1.85
Over 3.5
32%3.20
Under 1.5
19%3.50
Under 2.5
43%1.85
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
62%1.66
Over 9.5
50%2.04
Over 10.5
39%2.67
Under 8.5
38%2.13
Under 9.5
50%1.69
Under 10.5
61%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.33
Over 4.5
31%1.74
Under 3.5
49%2.72
Under 4.5
69%1.92

Match Events

19'L. SkaricicFoul
26'I. CanjugaAssist: G. Sikosek
28'L. MamicAssist: G. Sikosek
29'L. Skaricic INN. Tepsic out
44'A. LatkovicAssist: I. Mamut
46'A. Jonsson INL. Bosnjak out
46'A. Adeshina INM. Dabro out
69'M. Marina INT. Duvnjak out
69'A. Latkovic INM. Vuk out
69'F. Maglica INL. Posinkovic out
71'I. NestorovskiAssist: M. Dabro
78'I. CanjugaAssist: M. Vuk
82'D. KovacicFoul
83'J. Mitrovic INA. Grgic out
83'L. Crepulja IND. Bosak out
85'I. Tavares INE. Uchegbu out
90+2'L. Banovec INP. Maric out

Lineups

NK Slaven Belupo
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Gregurina
NK Varazdin
4-2-3-1Coach: Nikola Safaric
Karlo Sentić30K. SentićKarlo Sentić
Filip Krušelj18F. KrušeljFilip Krušelj
Dominik Kovačić4D. KovačićDominik Kovačić
Ivan Cvetko5I. CvetkoIvan Cvetko
Itsuki Urata77I. UrataItsuki Urata
Arnór Gauti Jónsson23A. Gauti JónssonArnór Gauti Jónsson
Ljuban Crepulja21L. CrepuljaLjuban Crepulja
Josip Mitrović11J. MitrovićJosip Mitrović
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina22A. Rasaq AdeshinaAdetunji Rasaq Adeshina
Lovro Banovec8L. BanovecLovro Banovec
Ilija Nestorovski90I. NestorovskiIlija Nestorovski
Josip Silić33J. SilićJosip Silić
Frane Maglica23F. MaglicaFrane Maglica
Mario Mladenovski13M. MladenovskiMario Mladenovski
Luka Škaričić4L. ŠkaričićLuka Škaričić
Gregor Sikošek20G. SikošekGregor Sikošek
Mario Marina24M. MarinaMario Marina
Ivan Canjuga28I. CanjugaIvan Canjuga
Aleksa Latković10A. LatkovićAleksa Latković
Luka Mamić22L. MamićLuka Mamić
Iuri Tavares38I. TavaresIuri Tavares
Ivan Mamut17I. MamutIvan Mamut

NK Slaven Belupo Substitutes

32Ivan ČovićG
13Ante BilobrkD
20Marko PetrovićD
88David BosakM
99Filip KutlešaD
16Leon GeciM
24Leon BošnjakM
27Alen GrgićF
45Vito PapacF
7Marko DabroF
28Patrik MarićF
29Lovre LončarF

NK Varazdin Substitutes

16Novak TepšićD
1Oliver ZelenikaG
5Sven LesjakD
12Petar BočkajD
30Luka PosinkovićD
6David PuclinM
7Matej VukF
8Tomislav DuvnjakM
11Emma UchegbuF
21Ivan PosavecM
9Stipe JurićF
18Filipe Jose QuissequelF

Match Stats

NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots24
6Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box16
7Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots7
8Fouls12
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
481Total Passes375
403Passes Accurate305
84%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
1489Elo Rating 1643
1.84Attack 1.52
1.64Defense 2.54
36%Hit Rate 34%
13.4Shots per Game 14.9
3.0Shots on Target 4.3
4.9Corners per Game 6.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

NK Slaven Belupo 36%Draw 0%64% NK Varazdin
2.85Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Recent Form

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
1W1D3L
31/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
20
L
25/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSesvete
40
W
21/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoShakhtar Donetsk
22
D
16/07/2026
PaksNK Slaven Belupo
53
L
14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
13
L
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
4W0D1L
02/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
21
W
30/07/2026
FK JablonecNK Varazdin
20
L
23/07/2026
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
32
W
12/07/2026
Bihor OradeaNK Varazdin
13
W
10/07/2026
RadomljeNK Varazdin
01
W

Referee Profile

Duje Strukan, Croatia · 5 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 13% of referees analysed

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb751117:9+816WLWDW
2HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split851216:8+816LWWWW
3NK OsijekNK Osijek851217:11+616DWLWL
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin843113:7+615DDDWL
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka742113:7+614WDWDW
6Istra 1961Istra 1961823314:13+19LWDDL
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb821511:16-57LDLLL
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo82157:16-97DLWLW
9HNK GoricaHNK Gorica81255:12-75WDLDL
10RudesRudes811610:24-144DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb717:916
2HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split816:816
3NK OsijekNK Osijek817:1116
4NK VarazdinNK Varazdin813:715
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka713:714
6Istra 1961Istra 1961814:139
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb811:167
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo87:167
9HNK GoricaHNK Gorica85:125
10RudesRudes810:244
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NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this HNL fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About HNL

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Key Factors for This Match

NK Slaven Belupo and NK Varazdin have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.85 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.