Nõmme United vs Kuressaare Prediction

Nõmme United
3-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Kuressaare
11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.60
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+18.2%
Nõmme United Rest
7 days
Kuressaare Rest
8 days

Nõmme United vs Kuressaare: result, form and history

Nõmme United beat Kuressaare 3-2 in the Meistriliiga on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.88
X
28%3.60
2
29%3.33
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
57%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.44
No
56%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.47
Over 3.5
19%2.19
Under 1.5
37%5.00
Under 2.5
61%2.42
Under 3.5
81%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+1'T. JurisooAssist: S. Prunn
46'B. Vain INH. Jarvelaid out
56'B. Chisala
63'I. Krasnov INK. Matas out
63'B. Chisala INE. Ounapuu out
63'A. Truuvaart INK. Laanelaid out
70'K. Matas
74'A. Kivi INA. Visse out
74'G. Roivassepp INJ. Vahermagi out
75'K. MatasAssist: Y. Morishige
80'K. OostenbrinkAssist: A. Frolov
81'K. Oostenbrink INT. Vendelin out
84'S. Sinilaid INR. Lukas out
84'E. Demidov INM. Leivategija out
90'S. Prunn INJ. Vahermagi out
90+4'Y. MorishigeOG
90+6'Z. BeglarishviliAssist: M. Palts

Team Comparison

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
KuressaareKuressaare
1545Elo Rating 1522
1.77Attack 0.72
1.65Defense 2.11
69%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
KuressaareKuressaare
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
KuressaareKuressaare2Wins · 33%
3.2Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored6 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga20/05/2026
KuressaareNõmme United
21
Meistriliiga25/04/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
21
Meistriliiga28/09/2024
KuressaareNõmme United
41
Meistriliiga01/09/2024
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
22
Meistriliiga16/06/2024
KuressaareNõmme United
11
Meistriliiga04/05/2024
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
11

Recent Form

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
4W0D6L
03/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedKalju Nomme
13
L
20/06/2026
LaagriNõmme United
13
W
17/06/2026
Nõmme UnitedFC Levadia Tallinn
12
L
13/06/2026
Trans NarvaNõmme United
12
W
29/05/2026
Nõmme UnitedFlora Tallinn
04
L
20/05/2026
KuressaareNõmme United
21
L
15/05/2026
TammekaNõmme United
31
L
10/05/2026
Nõmme UnitedPaide
23
L
02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
W
25/04/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
21
W
KuressaareKuressaare
2W2D6L
02/07/2026
KuressaareFlora Tallinn
03
L
26/06/2026
VaprusKuressaare
10
L
16/06/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
D
13/06/2026
LaagriKuressaare
23
W
31/05/2026
PaideKuressaare
11
D
20/05/2026
KuressaareNõmme United
21
W
17/05/2026
KuressaareKalju Nomme
02
L
08/05/2026
TammekaKuressaare
10
L
02/05/2026
KuressaareFC Levadia Tallinn
12
L
25/04/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
21
L

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn35286195:27+6890WWWWW
2PaidePaide351961054:41+1363WLWWW
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn352011466:49+1761WLLWL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme351861159:34+2560WWWLD
5TammekaTammeka351721650:55-553WLWLL
6LaagriLaagri351521850:52-247LLWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United351212258:80-2237LWWWL
8VaprusVaprus351071846:69-2337LDLLD
9KuressaareKuressaare351061935:54-1936LDLLW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva35552526:78-5220LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3595:2790
2PaidePaide3554:4163
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3566:4961
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3559:3460
5TammekaTammeka3550:5553
6LaagriLaagri3550:5247
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3558:8037
8VaprusVaprus3546:6937
9KuressaareKuressaare3535:5436
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3526:7820
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Nõmme United vs Kuressaare forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nõmme United and Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga table

Nõmme United and Kuressaare are close in the Meistriliiga table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Nõmme United 58-80, Kuressaare 35-54. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.