Trans Narva vs Vaprus Prediction

Trans Narva
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Vaprus
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseHighGap+8.7%
Trans Narva Rest
7 days
Vaprus Rest
7 days

Trans Narva vs Vaprus: the result in context

Trans Narva beat Vaprus 3-1 in the Meistriliiga on 18 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Vaprus had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Trans Narva.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.90
X
28%3.40
2
38%2.15
Double Chance
1X
62%1.57
X2
66%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.70
Over 3.5
19%2.70
Under 1.5
37%3.80
Under 2.5
61%2.00
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'N. BaljabkinAssist: J. Doke
27'A. Gero
38'M. Seppik
40'A. Skinjov
46'J. Poder INM. Villota out
59'Elysee INEriks Santos out
59'A. Skinjov INE. Zuravljov out
61'S. Kapper
65'M. Velijev INV. Kudriashov out
80'S. Viidas INV. Vallik out
80'S. Kapper INK. Kauber out
81'J. Doke INJ. Imeh out
90+1'K. Kauber
90+3'J. Imeh

Team Comparison

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
VaprusVaprus
1419Elo Rating 1484
0.71Attack 1.34
0.75Defense 0.81
0%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VaprusVaprus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Trans NarvaTrans Narva4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
VaprusVaprus1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Meistriliiga09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
Meistriliiga21/03/2026
Trans NarvaVaprus
21
Meistriliiga18/10/2025
Trans NarvaVaprus
11
Meistriliiga12/07/2025
VaprusTrans Narva
00
Meistriliiga11/05/2025
Trans NarvaVaprus
42
Meistriliiga23/04/2025
VaprusTrans Narva
12
Meistriliiga27/10/2024
Trans NarvaVaprus
11
Meistriliiga20/07/2024
VaprusTrans Narva
00
Meistriliiga15/06/2024
VaprusTrans Narva
14
Meistriliiga04/05/2024
Trans NarvaVaprus
00

Recent Form

Trans NarvaTrans Narva
2W1D7L
10/07/2026
LaagriTrans Narva
30
L
04/07/2026
Trans NarvaFC Levadia Tallinn
13
L
21/06/2026
TammekaTrans Narva
10
L
16/06/2026
KuressaareTrans Narva
00
D
13/06/2026
Trans NarvaNõmme United
12
L
10/06/2026
Trans NarvaVana Hea Puur
100
W
30/05/2026
LaagriTrans Narva
30
L
20/05/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
10
W
16/05/2026
Trans NarvaFlora Tallinn
03
L
09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
L
VaprusVaprus
5W1D4L
11/07/2026
VaprusTammeka
51
W
04/07/2026
PaideVaprus
31
L
26/06/2026
VaprusKuressaare
10
W
16/06/2026
VaprusFlora Tallinn
12
L
13/06/2026
TammekaVaprus
00
D
30/05/2026
VaprusKalju Nomme
31
W
24/05/2026
VaprusFC Levadia Tallinn
16
L
16/05/2026
LaagriVaprus
12
W
09/05/2026
VaprusTrans Narva
20
W
02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
L

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn35286195:27+6890WWWWW
2PaidePaide351961054:41+1363WLWWW
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn352011466:49+1761WLLWL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme351861159:34+2560WWWLD
5TammekaTammeka351721650:55-553WLWLL
6LaagriLaagri351521850:52-247LLWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United351212258:80-2237LWWWL
8VaprusVaprus351071846:69-2337LDLLD
9KuressaareKuressaare351061935:54-1936LDLLW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva35552526:78-5220LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3595:2790
2PaidePaide3554:4163
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3566:4961
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3559:3460
5TammekaTammeka3550:5553
6LaagriLaagri3550:5247
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3558:8037
8VaprusVaprus3546:6937
9KuressaareKuressaare3535:5436
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3526:7820
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Trans Narva vs Vaprus forecast

The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Trans Narva and Vaprus in the Meistriliiga table

Vaprus and Trans Narva are close in the Meistriliiga table, 8th and 10th, with 17 points between them. League goal record so far: Trans Narva 26-78, Vaprus 46-69. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.