Okzhetpes vs FK Tobol Kostanay Prediction

Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau· S. Nozhenko 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel10%RiskHighGap+1.5%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel9%RiskHighGap+9.1%
Okzhetpes Rest
8 days
FK Tobol Kostanay Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.45
X
32%3.25
2
36%2.60
Double Chance
1X
64%1.40
X2
68%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.64
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.78
Over 3.5
18%2.83
Under 1.5
37%3.52
Under 2.5
62%1.95
Under 3.5
82%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'M. Vukcevic
11'P. Ndiaye
38'P. Ndiaye
38'P. Ndiaye
46'A. Marochkin INR. Senhadji out
46'A. Zuev INA. Borsic out
48'Z. MukhametkhanovAssist: V. Vasiljev
60'M. Vukcevic INR. Asrankulov out
62'D. Ustimenko
64'S. Mukanov INS. Umarov out
65'Z. MukhametkhanovAssist: S. Umarov
69'A. Tagybergen INA. Cisse out
76'Z. Mukhametkhanov INT. Zhangylyshbay out
76'N. Buribaev INB. Abdumannonov out
77'A. Talal IND. Marat out
80'B. Lototskyi
88'O. Omirtaev INM. Ensebaev out
88'V. Sovpel INV. Vomenko out

Team Comparison

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
1561Elo Rating 1557
2.21Attack 1.92
1.75Defense 1.59
77%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Okzhetpes 0%Draw 0%100% FK Tobol Kostanay
2.21Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Recent Form

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
2W3D0L
13/06/2026
ZhetysuOkzhetpes
22
D
28/05/2026
OkzhetpesAktobe
22
D
22/05/2026
AltayOkzhetpes
01
W
16/05/2026
OkzhetpesFC Astana
10
W
09/05/2026
OkzhetpesAtyrau
00
D
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
1W1D3L
13/06/2026
FK Tobol KostanayKyzyl-Zhar
20
W
28/05/2026
AtyrauFK Tobol Kostanay
11
D
23/05/2026
FK Tobol KostanayOrdabasy
03
L
17/05/2026
KaisarFK Tobol Kostanay
21
L
13/05/2026
KaisarFK Tobol Kostanay
5131
L

Referee Profile

S. Nozhenko · 3 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy25184348:18+3058WLWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty25176251:19+3257LWWWW
3FC AstanaFC Astana24136541:25+1645LWWDW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes26136741:35+645WLWWW
5AktobeAktobe26126838:31+742DWWLW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey25108735:33+238WWLLD
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay261041233:35-234LWWLW
8ZhenysZhenys26881026:32-632LWLLW
9UlytauUlytau26881024:32-832DLLWL
10KaspiyKaspiy26851327:36-929WLLWD
11IrtyshIrtysh25681126:34-826WWLWL
12Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar26671328:39-1125DLLLD
13KaisarKaisar264121022:33-1124DWLLL
14AtyrauAtyrau24411918:25-723LWLLD
15AltayAltay26581325:38-1323LWWLL
16ZhetysuZhetysu26571426:44-1822LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2548:1858
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2551:1957
3FC AstanaFC Astana2441:2545
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2641:3545
5AktobeAktobe2638:3142
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2535:3338
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2633:3534
8ZhenysZhenys2626:3232
9UlytauUlytau2624:3232
10KaspiyKaspiy2627:3629
11IrtyshIrtysh2526:3426
12Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2628:3925
13KaisarKaisar2622:3324
14AtyrauAtyrau2418:2523
15AltayAltay2625:3823
16ZhetysuZhetysu2626:4422
Relegation

Okzhetpes vs FK Tobol Kostanay Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers Kazakhstan football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Okzhetpes and FK Tobol Kostanay have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.21 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.