Orebro SK vs IFK Varnamo Prediction

Orebro SK
1-3
Finished
HT 1-0
IFK Varnamo
Behrn Arena, Orebro·Erik Mattsson, Sweden 03/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Orebro SK Rest
7 days
IFK Varnamo Rest
9 days

Orebro SK vs IFK Varnamo: result, form and history

IFK Varnamo beat Orebro SK 3-1 in the Superettan on 3 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.38
X
27%3.35
2
27%2.75
Double Chance
1X
73%1.40
X2
54%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.23 = 3.06
Over 1.5
81%1.22
Over 2.5
60%1.76
Over 3.5
37%2.80
Under 1.5
19%3.80
Under 2.5
40%2.00
Under 3.5
63%1.39
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Rasmus Wiedesheim Paul
47'Manasse Kusu INEdwin Ibrahimbegovic out
50'Axel Björnström
54'Viktor Claesson
57'Kai Meriluoto
60'Ahmed Yasin INSamuel Wikman out
68'Lowe Astvald INErik McCue out
69'Hugo Andersson Mella INSigge Jansson out
85'Edwin Ibrahimbegovic
86'Carl Johansson INErik Freij out
88'Karl Holmberg
90'Rasmus Wiedesheim Paul INFabian Wahlström out

Lineups

Orebro SK
Coach: Patrik Haginge
IFK Varnamo
Coach: Kim Bergstrand

Orebro SK Starting XI

75Jakub Ojrzyński
22Giuseppe Bovalina
3Victor Sandberg
15Lowe Astvald68'replaced by Erik McCue
11Christopher Redenstrand
8Manasse Kusu47'replaced by Edwin Ibrahimbegovic
5Jacob Ortmark
9Antonio Yakoub
10Rasmus Wiedesheim Paul3'90'replaced by Fabian Wahlström
99Ahmed Yasin60'replaced by Samuel Wikman
17Karl Holmberg88'

IFK Varnamo Starting XI

1Hugo Keto
18Motaraghebjafarpour Arash
5Douglas Bergqvist
2Johan Rapp
3Axel Björnström50'
7Carl Johansson86'replaced by Erik Freij
10Viktor Claesson54'
4Samuel Ohlsson
9Kai Meriluoto57'
14Marcus Antonsson
8Hugo Andersson Mella69'replaced by Sigge Jansson

Orebro SK Substitutes

6Edwin Ibrahimbegovic47'for Manasse Kusu85'
7Samuel Wikman60'for Ahmed Yasin
4Erik McCue68'for Lowe Astvald
21Fabian Wahlström90'for Rasmus Wiedesheim Paul
30Buster Runheim
2Alai Ghasem
12Dino Salihović
14Hasan Dana
18Erman Hrastovina

IFK Varnamo Substitutes

13Sigge Jansson69'for Hugo Andersson Mella
19Erik Freij86'for Carl Johansson
39Blażej Sapielak
15Souleymane Coulibaly
21Ishaq Abdulrazak
28Mamadou Cellou Diallo
16Antonio Kujundzic
33Musa Akinfenwa
34Benjamin Zulovic

Team Comparison

Orebro SKOrebro SK
IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
1481Elo Rating 1477
1.39Attack 0.90
1.54Defense 1.75
27%Hit Rate 39%
11.1Shots per Game 10.5
4.8Shots on Target 4.3
4.6Corners per Game 4.4
1.7Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Orebro SKOrebro SK
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Orebro SKOrebro SK1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Superettan12/05/2026
IFK VarnamoOrebro SK
01

Recent Form

Orebro SKOrebro SK
1W3D6L
IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
0W2D8L
25/07/2026
IFK VarnamoIK brage
00
D
19/07/2026
IFK VarnamoLjungskile SK
23
L
13/07/2026
IFK VarnamoNaestved
02
L
28/06/2026
Landskrona BoISIFK Varnamo
10
L
21/06/2026
IK brageIFK Varnamo
51
L
16/06/2026
IFK VarnamoHelsingborg
01
L
09/06/2026
Osters IFIFK Varnamo
30
L
31/05/2026
IFK VarnamoUnited Nordic
02
L
23/05/2026
Falkenbergs FFIFK Varnamo
31
L
17/05/2026
IFK VarnamoNorrby IF
22
D

Referee Profile

Erik Mattsson99 matches

3.41Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erik Mattsson3.41
Other referees3.78

3.41 cards a match, 0.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superettan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping29205461:18+4365WWDWW
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF29166754:39+1554WLWWD
3Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC29139748:37+1148DDDDW
4Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK291212538:29+948LWDDD
5OddevoldOddevold29129850:38+1245WWLWL
6Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS28128846:33+1344DLWWW
7Osters IFOsters IF281331246:45+142WWLLW
8United NordicUnited Nordic29119945:49-442WLWLL
9SandvikenSandviken291081145:40+538LWDLW
10IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo291051438:48-1035WLWLW
11Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK298101139:40-134DDWDL
12HelsingborgHelsingborg28881237:48-1132DDLDL
13Orebro SKOrebro SK286111131:42-1129WDDLD
14Norrby IFNorrby IF295121231:44-1327LLLWD
15IK brageIK brage29681546:57-1126LLLWL
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall29612221:69-4819LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping2961:1865
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF2954:3954
3Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC2948:3748
4Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK2938:2948
5OddevoldOddevold2950:3845
6Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS2846:3344
7Osters IFOsters IF2846:4542
8United NordicUnited Nordic2945:4942
9SandvikenSandviken2945:4038
10IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo2938:4835
11Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK2939:4034
12HelsingborgHelsingborg2837:4832
13Orebro SKOrebro SK2831:4229
14Norrby IFNorrby IF2931:4427
15IK brageIK brage2946:5726
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall2921:6919
PromotionRelegation

About the Orebro SK vs IFK Varnamo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Orebro SK and IFK Varnamo in the Superettan table

In the Superettan table, IFK Varnamo are 10th and Orebro SK 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Orebro SK 31-42, IFK Varnamo 38-48. The full standings are on the Superettan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Orebro SK have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Orebro SK and IFK Varnamo have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.