Superettan Predictions

About Superettan Predictions

Our model analyzes Superettan fixtures in Sweden using Elo ratings, recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and live market movement. Predictions are updated as new data becomes available and ahead of every scheduled kickoff.

As a knockout competition, Superettan also includes two-legged ties, extra-time and penalty scenarios. Our bracket view tracks each tie's aggregate score and the predicted path through to the final.

How to Read the Forecasts

Every Superettan pick comes with a confidence signal ranging from Neutral up through Solid, Good, High and Strong. A Strong signal means the model sees a large, well-supported probability gap behind that pick; a Neutral signal means the match is closer to a coin flip and the forecast should be treated with more caution. We show this openly so you can weigh each forecast against your own read of the match, rather than trusting a single number in the dark.

Superettan Season Statistics

So far this season, Superettan matches have averaged 2.88 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and 55% going over 2.5 total goals.

Home teams have won 39% of Superettan matches this season, compared to 27% draws and 34% away wins.

Since we started covering Superettan, our Best Pick model has correctly forecast 70% of 66 graded predictions.