Orsomarso vs Bogota FC Prediction

Orsomarso
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Bogota FC
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-7.2%
Orsomarso Rest
3 days
Bogota FC Rest
5 days

Orsomarso vs Bogota FC: the result in context

Bogota FC beat Orsomarso 1-0 in the Primera B on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.05
X
27%3.17
2
28%3.40
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
55%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.85
No
51%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.96 = 2.27
Over 1.5
68%1.34
Over 2.5
44%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.58
Under 1.5
32%2.92
Under 2.5
56%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Y. Mosquera
11'J. Barreiro
20'S. Diaz
36'Y. Mosquera
36'Y. Mosquera
39'K. Aladesanmi
44'A. Ruiz
45+2'J. Contreras
46'S. Gonzalez INJ. Villarreal out
46'A. Ruiz INS. Martinez out
46'D. Estupinan INH. Sandoval Lasso out
54'J. Arango INS. Perea out
66'S. Arrechea INB. Campaz out
71'H. Ramos Jaramillo INJ. Palacios out
74'J. Barreiro INN. Vargas out
80'J. Contreras INM. Preciado out
81'J. Perez INJ. Velasco out
81'K. Aladesanmi INN. Segura out
87'J. Villarreal
90+2'
90+4'

Team Comparison

OrsomarsoOrsomarso
Bogota FCBogota FC
1368Elo Rating 1379
0.90Attack 0.92
2.17Defense 2.31
44%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

OrsomarsoOrsomarso
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
Bogota FCBogota FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

OrsomarsoOrsomarso3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Bogota FCBogota FC4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera B13/04/2026
Bogota FCOrsomarso
20
Primera B16/07/2025
OrsomarsoBogota FC
11
Primera B01/02/2025
Bogota FCOrsomarso
22
Primera B23/10/2024
Bogota FCOrsomarso
23
Primera B12/05/2024
OrsomarsoBogota FC
20
Primera B25/09/2023
OrsomarsoBogota FC
20
Primera B19/04/2023
Bogota FCOrsomarso
30
Primera B23/09/2022
Bogota FCOrsomarso
10
Primera B23/04/2022
OrsomarsoBogota FC
11
Primera B21/08/2021
Bogota FCOrsomarso
30

Recent Form

OrsomarsoOrsomarso
2W3D5L
16/10/2026
Internacional PalmiraOrsomarso
11
D
12/10/2026
OrsomarsoPopayan
10
W
06/10/2026
OrsomarsoQuindio
01
L
01/10/2026
EnvigadoOrsomarso
00
D
28/09/2026
Ind. YumboOrsomarso
43
L
22/09/2026
Real SantanderOrsomarso
00
D
15/09/2026
OrsomarsoDepor FC
02
L
11/09/2026
OrsomarsoTigres FC
02
L
05/09/2026
OrsomarsoReal Cartagena
01
L
25/08/2026
OrsomarsoReal Cundinamarca
20
W
Bogota FCBogota FC
2W4D4L
15/10/2026
Real CundinamarcaBogota FC
00
D
11/10/2026
Bogota FCPatriotas
00
D
06/10/2026
Bogota FCEnvigado
33
D
29/09/2026
QuindioBogota FC
10
L
21/09/2026
Bogota FCBarranquilla
21
W
14/09/2026
Tigres FCBogota FC
00
D
05/09/2026
Bogota FCInd. Yumbo
02
L
29/08/2026
Depor FCBogota FC
21
L
25/08/2026
PopayanBogota FC
12
W
21/08/2026
Real CartagenaBogota FC
20
L

League Table

Primera B 2026

Primera B: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1QuindioQuindio371910840:26+1467W
2EnvigadoEnvigado381713851:33+1864WWWDD
3Real CartagenaReal Cartagena381613960:43+1761DWDDL
4Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena361710950:34+1661DWWDD
5Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira361710943:33+1061WWWWW
6Tigres FCTigres FC3612121235:31+448LDDDW
7Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo301211733:23+1047LLWDD
8Bogota FCBogota FC3610141230:36-644WWDWL
9Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca3110111034:32+241L
10BarranquillaBarranquilla3610101644:48-440WLWLW
11PatriotasPatriotas30981330:40-1035LWWLD
12PopayanPopayan308101235:40-534DWLLL
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso308101224:31-734DLLDW
14Depor FCDepor FC30691528:44-1627LLLDW
15Real SantanderReal Santander305121326:43-1727LLLLL
16Leones FCLeones FC30591620:46-2624DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1QuindioQuindio3740:2667
2EnvigadoEnvigado3851:3364
3Real CartagenaReal Cartagena3860:4361
4Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena3650:3461
5Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira3643:3361
6Tigres FCTigres FC3635:3148
7Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo3033:2347
8Bogota FCBogota FC3630:3644
9Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca3134:3241
10BarranquillaBarranquilla3644:4840
11PatriotasPatriotas3030:4035
12PopayanPopayan3035:4034
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso3024:3134
14Depor FCDepor FC3028:4427
15Real SantanderReal Santander3026:4327
16Leones FCLeones FC3020:4624

Primera B: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira15122129:13+1638WWWWW
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena15102327:15+1232DWWDD
3QuindioQuindio1594220:10+1031W
4EnvigadoEnvigado1592424:14+1029WWWDD
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1575323:15+826DWDDL
6Bogota FCBogota FC1565416:14+223WWDWL
7BarranquillaBarranquilla1562721:20+120WLWLW
8Tigres FCTigres FC1555515:14+120LDDDW
9Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1547413:14-119LLWDD
10OrsomarsoOrsomarso1545613:17-417DLLDW
11PatriotasPatriotas1545613:17-417LWWLD
12PopayanPopayan1527615:20-513DWLLL
13Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1527614:19-513L
14Leones FCLeones FC152498:24-1610DWLLL
15Depor FCDepor FC1516812:23-119LLLDW
16Real SantanderReal Santander1514109:23-147LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira1529:1338
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena1527:1532
3QuindioQuindio1520:1031
4EnvigadoEnvigado1524:1429
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1523:1526
6Bogota FCBogota FC1516:1423
7BarranquillaBarranquilla1521:2020
8Tigres FCTigres FC1515:1420
9Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1513:1419
10OrsomarsoOrsomarso1513:1717
11PatriotasPatriotas1513:1717
12PopayanPopayan1515:2013
13Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1514:1913
14Leones FCLeones FC158:2410
15Depor FCDepor FC1512:239
16Real SantanderReal Santander159:237

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Real CartagenaReal Cartagena64118:6+213DWDDL
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena62318:4+49DWWDD
3BarranquillaBarranquilla61325:6-16WLWLW
4Bogota FCBogota FC60333:8-53WWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Real CartagenaReal Cartagena68:613
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena68:49
3BarranquillaBarranquilla65:66
4Bogota FCBogota FC63:83

Primera B: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1584320:9+1128LLWDD
2Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1584320:11+928L
3Tigres FCTigres FC1566316:9+724LDDDW
4QuindioQuindio1565414:13+123W
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1556426:18+821DWDDL
6PopayanPopayan1563620:20021DWLLL
7EnvigadoEnvigado1548317:13+420WWWDD
8Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena1555515:15020DWWDD
9Real SantanderReal Santander1548317:20-320LLLLL
10Bogota FCBogota FC1546511:14-318WWDWL
11Depor FCDepor FC1553716:21-518LLLDW
12PatriotasPatriotas1553717:23-618LWWLD
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso1545611:14-317DLLDW
14Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira1544711:17-616WWWWW
15BarranquillaBarranquilla1535718:22-414WLWLW
16Leones FCLeones FC1535712:22-1014DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1520:928
2Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1520:1128
3Tigres FCTigres FC1516:924
4QuindioQuindio1514:1323
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1526:1821
6PopayanPopayan1520:2021
7EnvigadoEnvigado1517:1320
8Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena1515:1520
9Real SantanderReal Santander1517:2020
10Bogota FCBogota FC1511:1418
11Depor FCDepor FC1516:2118
12PatriotasPatriotas1517:2318
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso1511:1417
14Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira1511:1716
15BarranquillaBarranquilla1518:2214
16Leones FCLeones FC1512:2214
Promotion

About the Orsomarso vs Bogota FC forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Orsomarso and Bogota FC in the Primera B table

In the Primera B table, Bogota FC are 8th and Orsomarso 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Orsomarso 24-31, Bogota FC 30-36. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.