Orsomarso vs Popayan Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 5
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja 12/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-9.6%
Orsomarso Rest
6 days
Popayan Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.15
X29%3.00
230%3.27
Double Chance
1X69%1.26
X259%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.95
No51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.22 = 2.32
Over 1.567%1.40
Over 2.541%2.24
Over 3.522%4.10
Under 1.533%2.67
Under 2.559%1.57
Under 3.578%1.17
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
38'
51'B. Caicedo
Team Comparison
Orsomarso
Popayan1368Elo Rating 1408
0.90Attack 0.73
2.17Defense 1.61
44%Hit Rate 23%
Game State Tendencies
Orsomarso- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
Popayan- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Orsomarso2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Popayan5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
18/02/2026PopayanOrsomarso22
29/09/2025OrsomarsoPopayan03
23/04/2025PopayanOrsomarso01
29/09/2024PopayanOrsomarso00
26/04/2024OrsomarsoPopayan12
27/08/2023OrsomarsoPopayan01
13/03/2023PopayanOrsomarso00
18/07/2022PopayanOrsomarso21
14/02/2022OrsomarsoPopayan20
23/10/2021PopayanOrsomarso21
Recent Form
Orsomarso1W4D5L
06/10/2026Orsomarso
Quindio
EnvigadoOrsomarso
Union MagdalenaOrsomarso
OrsomarsoQuindio01
L01/10/2026EnvigadoOrsomarso00
D28/09/2026
Ind. YumboOrsomarso
Ind. YumboOrsomarso43
L22/09/2026
Real SantanderOrsomarso
Real SantanderOrsomarso00
D15/09/2026Orsomarso
Depor FC
OrsomarsoDepor FC02
L11/09/2026Orsomarso
Tigres FC
OrsomarsoTigres FC02
L05/09/2026Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
OrsomarsoReal Cartagena01
L25/08/2026Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
OrsomarsoReal Cundinamarca20
W20/08/2026
PatriotasOrsomarso
01/08/2026PatriotasOrsomarso11
DUnion MagdalenaOrsomarso00
DPopayan4W3D3L
08/10/2026PopayanUnion MagdalenaReal CartagenaPopayanPopayanTigres FC
PopayanUnion Magdalena11
D04/10/2026Real CartagenaPopayan23
W27/09/2026PopayanPatriotas
PopayanPatriotas41
W19/09/2026
Leones FCPopayan
Leones FCPopayan12
W13/09/2026PopayanReal Santander
PopayanReal Santander20
W06/09/2026PopayanEnvigado
PopayanEnvigado22
D02/09/2026
BarranquillaPopayan
BarranquillaPopayan21
L25/08/2026Popayan
Bogota FC
PopayanBogota FC12
L06/08/2026Real SoachaPopayan
01/08/2026Real SoachaPopayan31
LPopayanTigres FC00
DLeague Table
Primera B: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 53:33 | +20 | 67 | W |
| 2 | Quindio | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:26 | +14 | 67 | W |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 60:43 | +17 | 62 | W |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 51:35 | +16 | 62 | D |
| 5 |  Internacional Palmira | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 43:33 | +10 | 61 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 35:31 | +4 | 49 | D |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 33:25 | +8 | 47 | D |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 44 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 41 | L |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:48 | -4 | 40 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Popayan | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 35 | L |
| 12 | Patriotas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 35 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:31 | -7 | 34 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 24 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 39 | 53:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Quindio | 37 | 40:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 39 | 60:43 | 62 |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 37 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 43:33 | 61 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 37 | 35:31 | 49 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 31 | 33:25 | 47 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 30:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 31 | 34:32 | 41 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 44:48 | 40 |
| 11 | Popayan | 31 | 36:41 | 35 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 30 | 30:40 | 35 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 24:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 28:44 | 27 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 26:43 | 27 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 20:46 | 24 |
Primera B: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | +12 | 32 | D |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 31 | W |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | +10 | 29 | W |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 26 | W |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 23 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 20 | WLWLW |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | +1 | 20 | D |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 | D |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | L |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 | L |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 9 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 9:23 | 7 |
Primera B: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 28 | D |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 28 | L |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | +7 | 24 | D |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 23 | W |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 21 | W |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 | L |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 20 | W |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 | D |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 18 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | WLWLW |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 20:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 20:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 26:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 20:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 17:20 | 20 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 11:14 | 18 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 11:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 11:17 | 16 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 12:22 | 14 |
Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 3 | Popayan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | D |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Popayan | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera B matches
- Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander 09/10/26
- Envigado vs Internacional Palmira 11/10/26
- Barranquilla vs Quindio 12/10/26
- Union Magdalena vs Leones FC 12/10/26
- Real Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC 15/10/26
- Envigado vs Real Santander 15/10/26
- Barranquilla vs Tigres FC 15/10/26
- Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo 16/10/26
About the Orsomarso vs Popayan forecast
The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Orsomarso and Popayan in the Primera B table
Popayan and Orsomarso are close in the Primera B table, 11th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Orsomarso 24-31, Popayan 36-41. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.