Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon Prediction

Oviedo
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo·Andres Fuentes Molina 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
Oviedo Rest
7 days
Sporting Gijon Rest
8 days

Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon: result, form and history

Oviedo beat Sporting Gijon 2-0 in the Segunda División on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.05
X
30%3.10
2
26%3.90
Double Chance
1X
74%1.24
X2
56%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.05
No
53%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.12 = 2.46
Over 1.5
66%1.44
Over 2.5
41%2.40
Over 3.5
21%4.50
Under 1.5
34%2.62
Under 2.5
59%1.56
Under 3.5
79%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.73
Over 9.5
47%2.20
Over 10.5
37%2.92
Under 8.5
42%2.02
Under 9.5
53%1.62
Under 10.5
63%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

8'Chris RamosAssist: Mikel Goti Lopez
12'Chris Ramos INAlberto Reina out
18'Guillermo RosasArgument
18'Samuel Rodríguez de la RivaArgument
39'Pablo VázquezFoul
45+3'Nikita Iosifov INPablo García out
63'Jacobo GonzálezFoul
65'Pablo Vázquez INAlejo Sarco out
65'Antonio Manuel Casas Marin INGaspar Campos out
66'Álex CorrederaFoul
66'Nicolás Ricardo LarcamónDissent
71'Jacobo González INVíctor García Mingo out
71'Daniel Villahermosa INAritz Aldasoro out
73'Manuel Rodríguez Paz INMamadou Loum out
73'Guillermo Rosas INIker Martinez Martinez out
74'Dani CalvoArgument
74'Aimar DuñabeitiaArgument
75'Card upgrade confirmedCésar Gelabert
76'César GelabertSerious foul
76'Rubén YáñezDissent
77'David Jimenez INAisar Ahmed out
77'Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva INEnzo Pérez Miranda out
82'Enzo Pérez MirandaAssist: Víctor García Mingo
89'Andres CuencaFoul
90'Aisar AhmedFoul

Lineups

Oviedo
4-2-3-1Coach: Julián Calero
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2Coach: N. Larcamón
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.21
Aarón Escandell6.513A. Escandell
David Jiménez6.621D. Jiménez
Dani Calvo6.712D. Calvo
Carlos Domínguez7.023C. Domínguez
S. Rodriguez6.415S. Rodriguez
Y. Didi6.65Y. Didi
Dani Villahermosa6.06D. Villahermosa
Pablo Sáenz6.320P. Sáenz
Mikel Goti7.78M. Goti
Jacobo González6.211J. González
Chris Ramos7.99C. Ramos
Rubén Yáñez6.91R. Yáñez
Guille Rosas5.82G. Rosas
Aimar Duñabeitia6.324A. Duñabeitia
Pablo Vázquez6.415P. Vázquez
Andrés Cuenca5.744A. Cuenca
César Gelabert6.110C. Gelabert
M. Rodriguez6.58M. Rodriguez
Álex Corredera6.714Á. Corredera
N. Iosifov5.920N. Iosifov
J. Otero5.919J. Otero
Antonio Casas6.217A. Casas

Oviedo Substitutes

4David Costas
16Aritz Aldasoro71'for Daniel Villahermosa6.8
2Aisar77'for David Jimenez90'6.1
30Marco Esteban
18V. Mingo71'for Jacobo González6.8
28D. Menendez
32Enzo Perez77'for Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva82'7.5
10Alberto Reina12'for Chris Ramos6.4
1Miguel Narváez

Sporting Gijon Substitutes

13Arana
35C. Ferreres
3Pablo García45+3'for Nikita Iosifov6.4
4E. Gularte
5Diego Sánchez
23Jorge Sáenz
16A. Sarco65'for Pablo Vázquez6.3
27Enol Prendes
26Iker Martínez73'for Guillermo Rosas6.0
6Nacho Martín
21M. Loum73'for Manuel Rodríguez Paz6.0
7Gaspar Campos65'for Antonio Manuel Casas Marin6.2

Match Stats

OviedoSporting Gijon
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots5
7Fouls19
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
372Total Passes400
290Passes Accurate324
18Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

OviedoOviedo
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
1639Elo Rating 1644
1.89Attack 1.78
1.30Defense 1.87
66%Hit Rate 83%
15.6Shots per Game 11.0
6.1Shots on Target 3.7
5.4Corners per Game 4.6
3.4Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

OviedoOviedo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

OviedoOviedo4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon2Wins · 20%
1.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Segunda División11/01/2025
OviedoSporting Gijon
11
Segunda División07/09/2024
Sporting GijonOviedo
31
Segunda División10/02/2024
Sporting GijonOviedo
10
Segunda División09/09/2023
OviedoSporting Gijon
00
Segunda División13/05/2023
Sporting GijonOviedo
11
Segunda División17/12/2022
OviedoSporting Gijon
10
Segunda División16/04/2022
Sporting GijonOviedo
01
Segunda División09/10/2021
OviedoSporting Gijon
11
Segunda División17/04/2021
Sporting GijonOviedo
01
Segunda División11/10/2020
OviedoSporting Gijon
10

Recent Form

OviedoOviedo
3W3D4L
20/09/2026
SabadellOviedo
31
L
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
29/08/2026
AlbaceteOviedo
01
W
22/08/2026
OviedoLeganes
01
L
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D
01/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
21
L
29/07/2026
OviedoPonferradina
40
W
25/07/2026
OviedoDeportivo La Coruna
00
D
23/05/2026
MallorcaOviedo
30
L
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
4W1D5L
19/09/2026
FC AndorraSporting Gijon
13
W
13/09/2026
Sporting GijonEldense
01
L
05/09/2026
Sporting GijonGirona
02
L
28/08/2026
TenerifeSporting Gijon
01
W
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
W
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
L
01/08/2026
Gimnástica TorrelavegaSporting Gijon
05
W
25/07/2026
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
10
L

Referee Profile

Andres Fuentes Molina113 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andres Fuentes Molina5.40
Other referees5.20

5.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 91 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1080220:7+1324WWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
9OviedoOviedo1052313:10+317WWLWL
10SabadellSabadell1044210:8+216LWDDW
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12EldenseEldense1042413:13014WWWLL
13Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
14TenerifeTenerife1034312:14-213DDLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
19Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
20CadizCadiz1014511:13-27LLWDL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC101279:22-135LLDWD
22AlbaceteAlbacete100196:22-161LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1020:724
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8BurgosBurgos1013:1017
9OviedoOviedo1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1010:816
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12EldenseEldense1013:1314
13Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
14TenerifeTenerife1012:1413
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
19Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
20CadizCadiz1011:137
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC109:225
22AlbaceteAlbacete106:221
PromotionRelegation

About the Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon forecast

As a derby, this Segunda División meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Oviedo and Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División table

Sporting Gijon and Oviedo are close in the Segunda División table, 7th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Oviedo 13-10, Sporting Gijon 11-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oviedo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sporting Gijon have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.