Pamba Jiji vs Mtibwa Sugar Prediction

Pamba Jiji
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Mtibwa Sugar
CCM Kirumba Stadium, Mwanza 18/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel27%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Pamba Jiji Rest
4 days
Mtibwa Sugar Rest
5 days

Pamba Jiji vs Mtibwa Sugar: the result in context

Pamba Jiji beat Mtibwa Sugar 4-0 in the Ligi kuu Bara on 18 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.61
X
28%3.44
2
26%4.88
Double Chance
1X
74%1.12
X2
54%2.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.00
No
56%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.05
Over 3.5
18%3.58
Under 1.5
36%2.91
Under 2.5
62%1.67
Under 3.5
82%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'M. Tegisi
43'S. Oyugi Siwa
46'M. Tegisi
48'M. Tegisi

Team Comparison

Pamba JijiPamba Jiji
Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar
1437Elo Rating 1366
1.44Attack 0.50
1.58Defense 0.61
19%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Pamba JijiPamba Jiji
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Pamba JijiPamba Jiji0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Ligi kuu Bara25/01/2026
Mtibwa SugarPamba Jiji
10

Recent Form

Pamba JijiPamba Jiji
2W2D6L
14/06/2026
SimbaPamba Jiji
21
L
26/05/2026
Pamba JijiTanzania Prisons
23
L
20/05/2026
KMCPamba Jiji
01
W
14/05/2026
AzamPamba Jiji
20
L
10/05/2026
Pamba JijiDodoma Jiji
00
D
05/05/2026
Singida Black StarsPamba Jiji
31
L
30/04/2026
Fountain GatePamba Jiji
12
W
17/04/2026
Tabora UnitedPamba Jiji
10
L
08/04/2026
Pamba JijiYoung Africans
03
L
04/04/2026
MashujaaPamba Jiji
00
D
Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar
1W3D6L
13/06/2026
Mbeya CityMtibwa Sugar
10
L
24/05/2026
Mtibwa SugarJKT Tanzania
22
D
20/05/2026
Tabora UnitedMtibwa Sugar
21
L
14/05/2026
Mtibwa SugarKMC
43
W
09/05/2026
Singida Black StarsMtibwa Sugar
40
L
06/05/2026
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
01
L
02/05/2026
Mtibwa SugarAzam
03
L
18/04/2026
Fountain GateMtibwa Sugar
21
L
06/04/2026
Coastal UnionMtibwa Sugar
11
D
21/03/2026
Mtibwa SugarYoung Africans
11
D

League Table

Ligi kuu Bara 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Young AfricansYoung Africans30236171:9+6275WWWWW
2SimbaSimba30227154:11+4373WWWWW
3AzamAzam301810246:12+3464WWLWW
4Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars301551047:35+1250LLWWW
5Tabora UnitedTabora United301110933:28+543DLDDW
6JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania301012830:33-342LWDLL
7Pamba JijiPamba Jiji30991232:35-336LLLWL
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union30991231:37-636WLDWD
9Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji308111125:36-1135LDDLL
10NamungoNamungo307131025:32-734WDWDD
11MashujaaMashujaa307121115:27-1233LWWLL
12Fountain GateFountain Gate30961525:44-1933WDLLL
13Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons30951623:41-1832WWLWW
14Mbeya CityMbeya City30791424:41-1730DDWLW
15Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar30691525:48-2327LLLLL
16KMCKMC30232516:53-379LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Young AfricansYoung Africans3071:975
2SimbaSimba3054:1173
3AzamAzam3046:1264
4Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars3047:3550
5Tabora UnitedTabora United3033:2843
6JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania3030:3342
7Pamba JijiPamba Jiji3032:3536
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union3031:3736
9Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji3025:3635
10NamungoNamungo3025:3234
11MashujaaMashujaa3015:2733
12Fountain GateFountain Gate3025:4433
13Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons3023:4132
14Mbeya CityMbeya City3024:4130
15Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar3025:4827
16KMCKMC3016:539
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About the Pamba Jiji vs Mtibwa Sugar forecast

The forecasts for this Ligi kuu Bara match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pamba Jiji and Mtibwa Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara table

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Pamba Jiji are 7th and Mtibwa Sugar 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Pamba Jiji 32-35, Mtibwa Sugar 25-48. The full standings are on the Ligi kuu Bara Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pamba Jiji and Mtibwa Sugar have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.