Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania Prediction

Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Tanzania Prisons Rest
4 days
Polisi Tanzania Rest
4 days

Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania: the result in context

Tanzania Prisons beat Polisi Tanzania 1-0 in the Ligi kuu Bara on 16 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.85
X
27%3.00
2
30%4.20
Double Chance
1X
70%1.18
X2
57%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.83
No
56%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.24
Over 2.5
38%2.10
Over 3.5
18%3.34
Under 1.5
37%3.34
Under 2.5
62%1.60
Under 3.5
82%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

87'

Team Comparison

Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons
Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania
1432Elo Rating 1480
0.41Attack 1.17
1.75Defense 1.83
41%Hit Rate 17%
0.0Shots per Game -
0.0Shots on Target -
6.0Corners per Game -
1.0Cards per Game -

Game State Tendencies

Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons3Wins · 43%
Draws00%
Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania4Wins · 57%
1.9Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Ligi kuu Bara12/07/2026
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
40
Ligi kuu Bara19/02/2023
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
10
Ligi kuu Bara25/10/2022
Tanzania PrisonsPolisi Tanzania
20
Ligi kuu Bara01/05/2022
Tanzania PrisonsPolisi Tanzania
10
Ligi kuu Bara04/12/2021
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
10
Ligi kuu Bara18/04/2021
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
12
Ligi kuu Bara31/10/2020
Tanzania PrisonsPolisi Tanzania
01

Recent Form

Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons
5W1D4L
12/07/2026
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
40
L
08/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
00
D
05/07/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMbeya City
02
L
30/06/2026
MashujaaTanzania Prisons
01
W
27/06/2026
Tanzania PrisonsMtibwa Sugar
21
W
24/06/2026
Singida Black StarsTanzania Prisons
31
L
18/06/2026
JKT TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
01
W
14/06/2026
Tanzania PrisonsDodoma Jiji
31
W
26/05/2026
Pamba JijiTanzania Prisons
23
W
22/05/2026
AzamTanzania Prisons
20
L
Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania
5W0D5L
12/07/2026
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
40
W
05/07/2026
Polisi TanzaniaMbeya Kwanza
31
W
09/06/2023
AzamPolisi Tanzania
80
L
06/06/2023
SimbaPolisi Tanzania
61
L
15/05/2023
Polisi TanzaniaMtibwa Sugar
31
W
21/04/2023
Polisi TanzaniaIhefu
21
W
07/04/2023
Fountain GatePolisi Tanzania
30
L
12/03/2023
Dodoma JijiPolisi Tanzania
21
L
23/02/2023
Polisi TanzaniaMbeya City
01
L
19/02/2023
Polisi TanzaniaTanzania Prisons
10
W

Bracket

Semi-finals
Final
Polisi Tanzania3
Mbeya Kwanza1

League Table

Ligi kuu Bara 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Young AfricansYoung Africans30236171:9+6275WWWWW
2SimbaSimba30227154:11+4373WWWWW
3AzamAzam301810246:12+3464WWLWW
4Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars301551047:35+1250LLWWW
5Tabora UnitedTabora United301110933:28+543DLDDW
6JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania301012830:33-342LWDLL
7Pamba JijiPamba Jiji30991232:35-336LLLWL
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union30991231:37-636WLDWD
9Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji308111125:36-1135LDDLL
10NamungoNamungo307131025:32-734WDWDD
11MashujaaMashujaa307121115:27-1233LWWLL
12Fountain GateFountain Gate30961525:44-1933WDLLL
13Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons30951623:41-1832WWLWW
14Mbeya CityMbeya City30791424:41-1730DDWLW
15Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar30691525:48-2327LLLLL
16KMCKMC30232516:53-379LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Young AfricansYoung Africans3071:975
2SimbaSimba3054:1173
3AzamAzam3046:1264
4Singida Black StarsSingida Black Stars3047:3550
5Tabora UnitedTabora United3033:2843
6JKT TanzaniaJKT Tanzania3030:3342
7Pamba JijiPamba Jiji3032:3536
8Coastal UnionCoastal Union3031:3736
9Dodoma JijiDodoma Jiji3025:3635
10NamungoNamungo3025:3234
11MashujaaMashujaa3015:2733
12Fountain GateFountain Gate3025:4433
13Tanzania PrisonsTanzania Prisons3023:4132
14Mbeya CityMbeya City3024:4130
15Mtibwa SugarMtibwa Sugar3025:4827
16KMCKMC3016:539
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About the Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania forecast

As a knockout tie in the Ligi kuu Bara, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligi kuu Bara

More Ligi kuu Bara fixtures and forecasts are on the Ligi kuu Bara Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.